UFN 92 - Caceres vs Rodriguez - Utah

[Sham5916910]

I defo wouldnt go big on camozzi here this fight screams lb to me. I know i said his td success is only 27% but that may be majorly skewed by the bisping and mousasi fights as im sure he had any td attempts stuffed in both fights. I do recall he secured multiple takedowns on herman watson and boetsch so im not entirely convinced camozzi can remain upright.

Camozzi does train at elevation so we could see him come on strong latter part of this fight.

 

[Joseph Budden]

Any fight where he's KO'd someone is better than just walking forward with no skill winging punches for 5 rounds. Forget Bisping KO'd Rockhold for a sec, it was close because Bisping was running.

Again i'd need to rewatch, but you are really reaching saying he has no skill lol. You don't stay on the feet with someone as good as Bisping for 25 mins and take it to a split without being good on the feet.

 

[EzFlyer]

http://www.mmaoddsbreaker.com/news/full-ufc-fight-night-92-betting-odds/

PRELIMINARY CARD (Fox Sports 1, 8pm ET)

Preliminary Card
FS1, 8 p.m. ET

Dominique Steele +175
Court McGee -245

Over 2.5 -110
Under 2.5 -130
–

Marcin Tybura -110
Viktor Pesta -130

Over 1.5 -170
Under 1.5 +130
–

Jason Novelli +100
David Teymur -140

Over 2.5 -150
Under 2.5 +110
–

Horacio Gutierrez +180
Teruto Ishihara -260

Over 1.5 -180
Under 1.5 +140

——————–

PRELIMINARY CARD (UFC Fight Pass, 7pm ET)

Tatsuya Kawajiri +160
Cub Swanson -210

Over 2.5 -155
Under 2.5 +115
–

Chase Sherman +110
Justin Ledet -150

Over 1.5 +140
Under 1.5 -180

---


sad about prices on cub, mcgee, ishihara. had high hopes for those 3.

i'm betting novelli +100 for sure. he's gonna have a big size edge and he can absolutely hang on the feet with teymur. he's for sure better on the ground. more ways to win. hopefully he doesn't get flat-robbed like his last fight (the draw).

mcgee O2.5 -110 for SURE.

 

[Joseph Budden]

Agree EZ!!!! o2.5 for Court fight at -110 is amazing. I kind of like Steele at those odds, but idk just the over for now

Also like Tybura. Kind of like Teymur, opened exactly where I expected but i'll pass on him for now

My boy Ishihara is getting parlayed

 

[Sham5916910]

Im happy with that cub line him and bermudez will pay above +100 long as the line doesnt drastically change.

 

[Joseph Budden]

Fucking work. That over is already up to -175

 

[EzFlyer]

Fucking work. That over is already up to -175

yea they capped me small at the -110, but i bet it again at -150

now already -190

Edit*: make that -210

 

[robbiedawg]

Again i'd need to rewatch, but you are really reaching saying he has no skill lol. You don't stay on the feet with someone as good as Bisping for 25 mins and take it to a split without being good on the feet.

I'm not saying he has no skill overall. I'm saying in his fight with Bisping he showed no striking skill, he was just winging punches. Seriously, rewatch it

 

[Joseph Budden]

yea they capped me small at the -110, but i bet it again at -150

now already -190

Edit*: make that -210

No surprise. Idk what oddsmakers were thinking with the openers on overs for that fight and Camozzi vs Leites

 

[Joseph Budden]

Teymur about to flip to the dog. I'll play him when he does.

 

[Sham5916910]

Ishihara gutierrez have i missed a trick here? Someone bd this fight pls.

 

[Oblivian]

I hit the over 2.5 on McGee/Steele quick.

 

[Joseph Budden]

Im happy with that cub line him and bermudez will pay above +100 long as the line doesnt drastically change.

Cub -300 now my man. Glad I jumped on that double immediately

 

[Oblivian]

I played Teymur at pick em. He's pretty vicious and I think he can be a force if he ever puts it all together.

 

[Oblivian]

Cub -300 now my man. Glad I jumped on that double immediately

The line was pulled when I logged on almost immediately. Not sure what I'll do on that fight now. I actually think Cub finishes him.

 

[Joseph Budden]

Ishihara gutierrez have i missed a trick here? Someone bd this fight pls.

Honestly odds might be a bit off, I just love the fuck out of Ishihara (but I also loved the fuck out of Lawler and my account paid dearly for that ) but should be a striking battle where Ishihara is more experienced and has much better boxing.

 

[Joseph Budden]

The line was pulled when I logged on almost immediately. Not sure what I'll do on that fight now. I actually think Cub finishes him.

I think so too. Kawajiri is pretty hittable.

 

[EzFlyer]

I really like novelli here. And this is someone who bet pretty big on teymur in his last fight. This is a much tougher fight. Novelli can definitely strike with him.. and if he gets a takedown he's got a very big advantage

 

[oliverinsix]

Honestly odds might be a bit off, I just love the fuck out of Ishihara (but I also loved the fuck out of Lawler and my account paid dearly for that ) but should be a striking battle where Ishihara is more experienced and has much better boxing.

Agree with Budden. Wouldn't be surprised if Ishihara also mixed in some grappling too considering how easy it was for Barzola to dominate him once he got him down. Ishihara also trains out Team Alpha Male so that's another plus for him.

 

[Joseph Budden]

I really like novelli here. And this is someone who bet pretty big on teymur in his last fight. This is a much tougher fight. Novelli can definitely strike with him.. and if he gets a takedown he's got a very big advantage

I'm not going crazy on Teymur since too many question marks on both guys for me, but idk if Novelli is UFC caliber. I thought he beat Cedeno, but it was a close fight vs a guy who is not good, hes in his mid 30s (I think), and just a year ago lost to Ben Fodor who is a horrible fighter. On the flipside, I agree with O, think as Teymur puts his game together he is a very bright prospect who will be more athletic and the better striker. No surprise with Novelli winning here though.

EDIT fuckk Teymur back to -135. Hoping he drops again, but not counting on it. Will wait for a day though before media/touts start making their predictions