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UFN 87 - Netherlands - AA vs Reem

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UFC Fight Night 87 - Heavyweight 5 rounds - Ahoy Rotterdam - Rotterdam, Netherlands - FS1
Sun 5/8 1001 Andrei Arlovski +185 o1½ +100
4:30PM 1002 Alistair Overeem -225 u1½ -120
UFC Fight Night 87 - Heavyweight 3 rounds - Ahoy Rotterdam - Rotterdam, Netherlands - FS1
Sun 5/8 1101 Antonio Silva +165 o1½ +145
4:00PM 1102 Stefan Struve -190 u1½ -165
UFC Fight Night 87 - Welterweight 3 rounds - Ahoy Rotterdam - Rotterdam, Netherlands - FS1
Sun 5/8 1201 Gunnar Nelson +150 o1½ -200
3:30PM 1202 Albert Tumenov -170 u1½ +170
UFC Fight Night 87 - Bantamweight 3 rounds - Ahoy Rotterdam - Rotterdam, Netherlands - FS1
Sun 5/8 1301 Anna Elmose +260 o2½ -140
3:00PM 1302 Germaine de Randamie -380 u2½ +100
UFC Fight Night 87 - Light Heavyweight 3 rounds - Ahoy Rotterdam - Rotterdam, Netherlands - FS1
Sun 5/8 1401 Francimar Barroso +135 o1½ -160
2:30PM 1402 Nikita Krylov -175 u1½ +120
UFC Fight Night 87 - Strawweight 3 rounds - Ahoy Rotterdam - Rotterdam, Netherlands - FS1
Sun 5/8 1501 Heather Jo Clark +200 o2½ -260
2:00PM 1502 Karolina Kowalkiewicz -280 u2½ +180
UFC Fight Night 87 - Lightweight 3 rounds - Ahoy Rotterdam - Rotterdam, Netherlands - FS1
Sun 5/8 1601 Chris Wade +175 o2½ -230
1:30PM 1602 Rustam Khabilov -210 u2½ +190
UFC Fight Night 87 - Middleweight 3 rounds - Ahoy Rotterdam - Rotterdam, Netherlands - FS1
Sun 5/8 1701 Garreth McLellan +225 o1½ -135
1:00PM 1702 Magnus Cedenblad -305 u1½ -105
UFC Fight Night 87 - Lightweight 3 rounds - Ahoy Rotterdam - Rotterdam, Netherlands - FS1
Sun 5/8 1801 Jon Tuck +180 o2½ -210
12:30PM 1802 Nick Hein -220 u2½ +175
UFC Fight Night 87 - Lightweight 3 rounds - Ahoy Rotterdam - Rotterdam, Netherlands - FS1
Sun 5/8 1901 Reza Madadi +125 o2½ -190
12:00PM 1902 Yan Cabral -165 u2½ +150
UFC Fight Night 87 - Flyweight 3 rounds - Ahoy Rotterdam - Rotterdam, Netherlands - UFC Fight Pass
Sun 5/8 2001 Neil Seery +325 o2½ -215
11:30AM 2002 Kyogi Horiguchi -475 u2½ +165
UFC Fight Night 87 - Welterweight 3 rounds - Ahoy Rotterdam - Rotterdam, Netherlands - UFC Fight Pass
Sun 5/8 2101 Dominic Waters +180 o1½ -170
11:00AM 2102 Leon Edwards -260 u1½ +130
UFC Fight Night 87 - Flyweight 3 rounds - Ahoy Rotterdam - Rotterdam, Netherlands - UFC Fight Pass
Sun 5/8 2201 Yuta Sasaki +125 o1½ -125
10:30AM 2202 Willie Gates -165 u1½ -115


i like barroso +135

sad KK is -280

sad cedenblad is -305, tho i wouldn't touch him -205 prolly, either, for that matter
 
tempted by sasaki +125, but man.. short notice & his first cut to 125? maybe better off passing...

KK-heather jo clark prolly goes o2.5 pretty safely, but -260, blech..

wish leon edwards was cheaper, too.
 
whoa, barroso up to +155 now? guess i'm adding more

am i just wrong on this line!?
 
whoa, barroso up to +155 now? guess i'm adding more

am i just wrong on this line!?

you're not wrong on that line. fight should be closer. but not wiling to bet on Barroso and not willing to bet on Krylov. Pass for me. Hard to get a read on Krylov.
 
you're not wrong on that line. fight should be closer. but not wiling to bet on Barroso and not willing to bet on Krylov. Pass for me. Hard to get a read on Krylov.

pretty straight forward to me.. dangerous guy early, but he doesn't win if he doesn't get an early finish & barroso has been durable and hard to get out of there so far in the ufc (4 fights, 4 decisions)
 
there's no way i'm taking leon edwards at those odds. he's too easily grindable and facing a good wrestler who looks to be physically stronger.

rewatched his fight vs claudio silva. his striking can't be denied but i dont think his grappling is up to scratch.
 
$165 to win $100 Cedenblad + Kyoji

$100 to win $115 Waters/Edwards o1.5 + Karolina/Clark o2.5

Think thats its for now. Was very tempted to hit Gates, still might. Sasaki at +125 would be real square imo. Gonna be a tough fight for him regardless, plus the drastic cut and short notice

EDIT yeah bet Gates actually. $82.50 to win $50
 
there's no way i'm taking leon edwards at those odds. he's too easily grindable and facing a good wrestler who looks to be physically stronger.

rewatched his fight vs claudio silva. his striking can't be denied but i dont think his grappling is up to scratch.
I think Leon wins, but the price is def out of whack. Waters by dec will have value for sure when that is released.
 
$165 to win $100 Cedenblad + Kyoji

$100 to win $115 Waters/Edwards o1.5 + Karolina/Clark o2.5

Think thats its for now. Was very tempted to hit Gates, still might. Sasaki at +125 would be real square imo. Gonna be a tough fight for him regardless, plus the drastic cut and short notice

EDIT yeah bet Gates actually. $82.50 to win $50

idk if i agree about sasaki being square.. he has a clear path to victory - create scrambles and try to take gates' back

no bet for me on that one atm
 
pretty straight forward to me.. dangerous guy early, but he doesn't win if he doesn't get an early finish & barroso has been durable and hard to get out of there so far in the ufc (4 fights, 4 decisions)

Its those kind of fights that mind fuck me. Last week, Pezao Headbussa was that same example. 50/50 dont know which way to lean.
 
idk if i agree about sasaki being square.. he has a clear path to victory - create scrambles and try to take gates' back

no bet for me on that one atm
At +125 though? All things considered, personally don't like that at all. I'd be surprised if he gets bet, so you'll prob get better at some point
 
Guys, that fight will prob end up at catchweight. Maybe like 130 or so. I can't see Sasaki cutting to 125 on short notice
 
At +125 though? All things considered, personally don't like that at all. I'd be surprised if he gets bet, so you'll prob get better at some point

yea, i'll prolly bite on sasaki if/when he climbs a bit. TBD.
 
Guys, that fight will prob end up at catchweight. Maybe like 130 or so. I can't see Sasaki cutting to 125 on short notice
That shit is going to look sickly.

Reem + Kyoji + Cedenblad returns +132. God i'm holding myself back from unloading on this. Love these 3 to win.
 
sasaki-gates? maybe.. first movement agrees w/you... i'm scared of that fight, personally
Yeah, it has finish written all over it, but I can't pass up o1.5 at -125 in a 125lb fight (possible catchweight)
 
I think I really love this card for betting. Happy with my plays, and I see some good livebet opportunities.
 
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