UFN 103: Rodriguez vs. Penn - Phoenix

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Sham5916910 said:
Lol. Pettis aint dominated anyone always drops a round or finds a way to lose
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Pettis wins this easy. Moraga needs a finish to win, he's gonna get chewed up on the feet. Moraga is old and was never that good, short notice doesn't help him either.
 
Marcin Held is being underrated. He was overhyped in his debut, Diego was a bad match up and elevation made things worse. Lauzon is a much more favourable match up for Held, I expect him to get top position.
 
MMA Gambling Expert said:
Pettis wins this easy. Moraga needs a finish to win, he's gonna get chewed up on the feet. Moraga is old and was never that good, short notice doesn't help him either.
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Pettis would lose to everyone moraga has lost to. Its a pick 'em no idea how you can trust someone who routinely makes bad decisions. If sergio drops to +100 i might be tempted. Granted the retirement/feeling old talk is a big red flag.
 
Sham5916910 said:
Pettis would lose to everyone moraga has lost to.
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I never like that argument and I don't agree with it here. Sergio is still improving obviously and his last two fights have been his best in the UFC. This fight is going to be so one sided. Moraga's looked bad in his last fight, no reason to think he looks any better here. 30-27 Pettis
 
MMA Gambling Expert said:
I never like that argument and I don't agree with it here. Sergio is still improving obviously and his last two fights have been his best in the UFC. This fight is going to be so one sided. Moraga's looked bad in his last fight, no reason to think he looks any better here. 30-27 Pettis
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Pettis never wins 30 27 except his last fight which was another easy fight for him.
 
Just noticed that Smolyakov is from Kaliningrad, a Russian territory between Poland and Lithuania. He also came up the Baltic regional circuit and mainly fought cans, fought 3 people with winning records (one of them was 1-0).
 
Sham5916910 said:
Pettis never wins 30 27 except his last fight which was another easy fight for him.
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John Moraga moves like a 40 year old man now. He's doesn't have the skill or athleticism required to win this fight over 3 rounds. It's gonna stay on the feet and Pettis will dominate, only way Moraga wins is with a lucky sub, like against Scoggins.
 
Basek said:
That card is a trap especially HWs .
I spend 2 hours yesterday with tapes, blogs, wikis and YT . This is 50:50 I pass.
Plus I don't see any sense to bet on guys that lost to this bum Frankenstein also via sub lol .
My only bets goes to Yair , Lauzon.
Don't believe in sea lvl Held - I am from PL I was following his preparation blog for Diego fight. He spend like more than month in Mexico to prepare for this conditions and especially cardio. He's very talented prospect but Lauzon exp will be too much (Except some early luck sub ). Still love the kid and don't know why UFC test him so much instead of build his brand - young , explosive bjj etc should be feed by some 2:2 or new comers in division.

Also I read that some of you want to go big on this amateur women's fight, this is fockin coin flip- let me remind you summary of 2016 and all this " never wmmma again bla bla "
I better save money for 208 .
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Held also could have had adrenaline dump. Bellator is fine, but there are guys who get too excited prior to their UFC debut (even vets) and just gas out horribly due to it. Not saying that is what happened, but it could have played a part.
 
Definitely a bad betting card in my eyes. Probably just gonna chuck some props in some cheap round robins so I have a little action to get hyped about while watching.
 
mkess101 said:
Held also could have had adrenaline dump. Bellator is fine, but there are guys who get too excited prior to their UFC debut (even vets) and just gas out horribly due to it. Not saying that is what happened, but it could have played a part.
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Held didn't show his potential in his UFC debut. elevation impacted his already questionable cardio and Diego was just a tough style match up for him. Held has decent offensive wrestling and I think he can use it effectively against Lauzon, very evenly matched fight but I think Held will take it.
 
MMA Gambling Expert said:
Typical casual bettor
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I have a little advice for you Cowherd. If you come in here acting like you know more than everyone and acting like a dbag 7 posts in, it's not gonna play very well. Now, it's an internet forum so maybe you don't care if you come in, piss a bunch of people off, and get banned. If so, carry on for the next week or two and then you'll be gone. But if you actually want to contribute here, an attitude adjustment is a really good idea for you. We are here to help each other out, share ideas and views, etc. Making condescending comments is bad enough. Making them when you have zero credibility here is even worse.

For the record, in general I think this card IS fairly weak for betting purposes. There's a few spots maybe with potential, but overall it's not amazing. I've been betting MMA for quite awhile, and while I don't claim to be "an expert" nor do I do it for a living, I've been pretty profitable over the years. Knowing when you don't have strong leans and that capping a particular card is more challenging and then limiting your bets or passing on a lot of fights isn't being a "typical casual bettor". It's being smart.
 
Sham5916910 said:
Wheres all the value then mystic meg besides sergio 'wet the bed' pettis?
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Honestly it's not a very good card for betting like people are saying, a lot of bad, unreliable and unproven fighters. I'm always looking for dogs but not seeing anything I really like. I do like Pettis though. I'd like Harris, Nina, Held if there prices were a little better.
 
mkess101 said:
I have a little advice for you Cowherd. If you come in here acting like you know more than everyone and acting like a dbag 7 posts in, it's not gonna play very well. Now, it's an internet forum so maybe you don't care if you come in, piss a bunch of people off, and get banned. If so, carry on for the next week or two and then you'll be gone. But if you actually want to contribute here, an attitude adjustment is a really good idea for you. We are here to help each other out, share ideas and views, etc. Making condescending comments is bad enough. Making them when you have zero credibility here is even worse.

For the record, in general I think this card IS fairly weak for betting purposes. There's a few spots maybe with potential, but overall it's not amazing. I've been betting MMA for quite awhile, and while I don't claim to be "an expert" nor do I do it for a living, I've been pretty profitable over the years. Knowing when you don't have strong leans and that capping a particular card is more challenging and then limiting your bets or passing on a lot of fights isn't being a "typical casual bettor". It's being smart.
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It sounded obnoxious but it was a joke. no offence intended honestly.
 
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