UFN 103: Rodriguez vs. Penn - Phoenix

[Ukram]

Good points about Chase, a decent underdog for sure.

I think walt should have the power and size advantage here and those 2 count big time for a hw.
But good points by jb he could easily decision walt, maybe split d prop worth a flyer ?

 

[HeDucking]

Line for BJ Penn is getting better. Hopefully gets closer to the +400 I really want to play.

 

[Cord]

Line for BJ Penn is getting better. Hopefully gets closer to the +400 I really want to play.

What would make you lean towards Oenn if his odds improve?

 

[wack3d]

tempted to hit Klose hard maybe in some parlay.. how Powell got in the ufc is beyond me? looks like one of the least athletic guys i have seen with Ronda Rousy level striking and poor wrestling.. only positive i see is he has a very active guard from the bottom

 

[cCrown]

Penn saying and doing the right things. Might consider a little bet here.

 

[Timurd123]

Typical casual bettor

Dont know who you are but you will last a few weeks in here max, I cant even think of all the "Pros" that come into this thread, get their shit pushed in and catch a ban

Enjoy it while it lasts

 

[wack3d]

 

[Timurd123]

I have zero interest in putting money on 2 very low level HW's like Sherm and Harris, but I think Sherm is being overrated on here, his skills are WEAK, I know Harris is awful too, but lets not pretend like Sherm is even a mid tier level fighter, and I doubt u1.5 will be playable

 

[HeDucking]

What would make you lean towards Oenn if his odds improve?

Honestly Yair is an amazing prospect but he is undoubtedly green. BJ Penn looked atrocious in his outing against Frankie and he did say his heart wasn't in it. No way should Yair be -500, heck mismatches in the past were no more than -400. Its gone outrageous in recent years. BUT his experience, world class BJJ, better overall striker than Yair aswell as Yair's defensive gaps ontop of +400 (when it reaches there) makes it the only play imma make for this lacklustre card.

 

[MMA Gambling Expert]

I don't bet props often but Yair decision +345 is ridiculous. I think him winning by decision is the most likely outcome in this fight. Besides kicking Fili in the face Yair hasn't really come close to finishing a fight in the UFC. Highly unlikely Yair subs BJ. Could KO him but would need to land some flashy kick or knee, hasn't shown punching power. BJ has always been tough and has only been stopped 3 times in his career, all TKO's. He is also 3-7 on the scorecards.

 

[SBJJ]

I already have the over and Penn ML

 

[Rebel_LioN]

Penn saying and doing the right things. Might consider a little bet here.

The part where he says he wants the title makes it seems like he's delusional.

Cmon BJ you ain't getting anywhere near that title.

I think it would've been better if he said he'd just take it 1 fight at a time. That's just my opinion anyway...

Edit: I also don't like that the first reason he gave on why he's coming back was "to make an honest living" like he's doing it so he can get a paycheck? Dunno bout that one. I'm still gonna play him out of principle but those are a few things I didn't like about what he said on this countdown show.

 

[Sham5916910]

Ballsy if you were talking about Nina with a 5u play Sham. I'm rewatching her vs Kish right now and she is fucking horrible.

Really? I thought she looked good but gassed in r3. She easily outstruck kish in r1 and r2. Pls point out what you are seeing in case im being blind. Man jjl got lit up like a xmas tree by tecia fuckin torres

 

[Buddy Brown]

You guys wouldn't be betting on Chase Sherman if he was on the fight pass prelims of a fox card. Just sayin

 

[MMA Gambling Expert]

Really? I thought she looked good but gassed in r3. She easily outstruck kish in r1 and r2. Pls point out what you are seeing in case im being blind. Man jjl got lit up like a xmas tree by tecia fuckin torres

Ansaroff arguably beat Kish and she was competitive with Lima. Really wanted a better price on her. I don't see value on her current line but if you got her around -105 then good for you, I think that's a decent price.

Lybarger is awful, she's one of the most unathletic girls in the division. Boxing is her forte but I'm not impressed, she's slow and hits like a feather. As long as Nina stays of her back then I see her winning, can't trust her though. Hopefully Nina has improved over the last year being at ATT, seems like a good place for female fighters right now.

 

[spooNN]

Line for BJ Penn is getting better. Hopefully gets closer to the +400 I really want to play.

At +400 it would warrant at least a small stab for BJ in my opinion. I like what I'm seeing so far from BJ with him going back to Parillo and doing some work at Jacksons. He seems to be doing the right things. Yair is a wild fighter who throws his body around and ends up in scrambles and vulnerable positions. I can maybe see BJ's killer instinct making a quick return and taking his back during some flashy scramble and working in a rear naked choke. I wonder what his sub line will be?

 

[HumbleCoco]

Anyone found a bet within klose/Powell and Martin's/white?

Is Martin's so juiced now there's value on white?

 

[Sham5916910]

Ansaroff arguably beat Kish and she was competitive with Lima. Really wanted a better price on her. I don't see value on her current line but if you got her around -105 then good for you, I think that's a decent price.

Lybarger is awful, she's one of the most unathletic girls in the division. Boxing is her forte but I'm not impressed, she's slow and hits like a feather. As long as Nina stays of her back then I see her winning, can't trust her though. Hopefully Nina has improved over the last year being at ATT, seems like a good place for female fighters right now.

I think she defo won r1 and r2 against kish. I thought it was a terrible decision. Under new judging criteria she could possibly have got nod against lima too.

 

[Sham5916910]

2 units nina im done. Lb only rest of this card. I do like nina here from tape im not reaching but its wmma hence no 5 unit play. I think nina has looked solid while jjl got lit up by tecia and had an even striking match with markos. She is very unathletic and has no power. Nina has shown really good standup, dangerous bottom game and power for a woman. Also at ATT and been training with jj and nunes.

 

[Sadistics]

Anyone found a bet within klose/Powell and Martin's/white?

Is Martin's so juiced now there's value on white?

I watched all of Martin/White's UFC fights and was ready to put 5u on Martin anywhere around -150, it opened at -155 but by the time I got to it he was -260. Depending on the prices I'm either gonna be on Martin NSC, White, or White decision.

Neither guy is good off the back foot, it seems like whoever pressures and takes control first has a good chance of winning it. White reminds me of a lesser Jason Knight, gritty enough to win a decision against more skilled fighters. Martin looks like he has a lot of potential + a great frame for the division but he's yet to put it all together. If he starts losing the stand up he goes all out trying to get the takedown which has caused him to gas in a few of his fights.