Realistically, what are Gaethje's chances against Topuria?

[hbombbisping]

Kicking and uppercuts are his real path to victory. Maybe catching Ilia in a scramble and reigning down shots on him.

He's the dawg here for sure but he still has the tools to put any man out even at 38.

 

[NicholasJBasile]

He's fighting another orthadox fighter so it's Justins power leg kick to the outside of Ilia's lead leg, which is very good for Justin. You know he's gonna throw it over and over, so we can expect a few to land for sure. And the good thing is that you never really see Justin get counterd with his leg kicks, he's pretty good and timing them.

I also think playing the clinch game and pinning Ilia against the cage will be effective. Justin the bigger guy here and if he can get that position, he can use those knees to his legs and dirty boxing. At that range, Ilia can't really do much damage.

The first two rounds will be very intresesting.

Well I sure do like your optimism. Maybe you see something that others don't -- time will tell. I'd love to see Gaethje put up a good fight.

 

[Last Falconry]

Realistically he has like a 2% chance of victory and roughly a 98% chance of being left in a twitching heap. Particularly if he looks like he did against Paddy

 

[JKS]

Well I sure do like your optimism. Maybe you see something that others don't -- time will tell. I'd love to see Gaethje put up a good fight.

I think he will put up a good fight and will do better than people expect. I still favor Ilia to win this one by KO. I think Justin will be effective early with that strategy which will prolong the fight. But I also think Ilia will have some adjustments and answer to that.

 

[TriangleMonkey]

Dude ain’t got much a chance here outside a really off-night by Topuria, and I mean a really off-night

 

[Hymen Crusher]

If they fought ten times justin wins one. Topuria gets injured or he lands a big shot. 9 out of 10 he probably gets koed inside of 2 rounds. Maybe prime justin could leg kick his way in but I dont think so. Topuria is the best fighter p4p in mma since prime jon.

 

[Captain Insano]

Low.

He's getting dropped and KO'd.

He's too wild.

 

[mooseman17]

Pre personal problems, I'd say not good at all. But who knows where Topuria’s head is at this moment. He could be an absolute mess or maybe he now has a weight lifted off his shoulders, who the hell knows. So I’d say his chances are a lot better but I’d still say 1/5 at best.