UFC Fox 23 - Pena vs Shevchenko - Denver

[Officer_Brown]

That pic you posted is HW Henrique not LHW Henrique

Yes sir. they kinda look similar lol. Im only 19......

 

[Agent Mulder]

Yes sir. they kinda look similar lol. Im only 19......

Yeah it's funny cause people always get them mixed up.

 

[Basek]

I didnt find him boring but under a year ago he was getting dominated by a guy whos 3-2. Maybe trash was too strong but i have to heavily favour li based on tape i saw. Problem with li tho is he is hittable and nash clearly hits hard but nashs wrestling looks shite. The 3-2 kid trevino was out wrestling and scrambling him

Hey Angelo Trevino was 2:0 , team alpha kid that was highly ranked mma amateur (6:0) also wrestler .
He was a challenge for sure for also young in mma Nash.
Man time will tell but I really feel confident in my bet .

Some last interview with him @lynchOnSports
Link is on his twitter - can't copy it, fockin corporate iphone.

Anyway not many infos, that reporter wanted focus more on feelings and Netflix series xD but :
- perfect matchup , if he would choose dream list of all fighters from the roster to meet at UFC debut LI would be top3
- trained last weeks with team elevation
- feel in awesome shape (he was also preparing for title fight when he got a call as I remember) running mountains etc
- he really don't see altitude as a challenge , he is well known from great cardio and don't need to cut a lot of weight overall ( making weight is not his issue)
- predict KO inside 2 rounds

 

[Officer_Brown]

Yeah it's funny cause people always get them mixed up.

In this business you cant mix them up.
Ofc I knew there are two henriques but I googled his name and took the first small pic lol. didnt think about it in the moment

 

[Officer_Brown]

@Card you should let your inner luca fury out and open your own betting info service. No bets just info about fighters, camps etc. I'd pay 5 bucks a month for it lol. Make sum extra money

 

[Sham5916910]

Hey Angelo Trevino was 2:0 , team alpha kid that was highly ranked mma amateur (6:0) also wrestler .
He was a challenge for sure for also young in mma Nash.
Man time will tell but I really feel confident in my bet .

Some last interview with him @lynchOnSports
Link is on his twitter - can't copy it, fockin corporate iphone.

Anyway not many infos, that reporter wanted focus more on feelings and Netflix series xD but :
- perfect matchup , if he would choose dream list of all fighters from the roster to meet at UFC debut LI would be top3
- trained last weeks with team elevation
- feel in awesome shape (he was also preparing for title fight when he got a call as I remember) running mountains etc
- he really don't see altitude as a challenge , he is well known from great cardio and don't need to cut a lot of weight overall ( making weight is not his issue)
- predict KO inside 2 rounds

Trevino is not that good dude. When he got caught in that guillotine he could easily have moved to side control instead he panicked and tapped. From that fight it looks to me like Nash is not comfortable on the back foot. I'm not saying i think Li defo wins here i havent really seen enough of Nash to make a fully informed decision. He clearly hits hard and Li is there to be hit, but Li does have good boxing and Nash is also easy to hit. If it goes the distance i like Li but Nash could shut his lights out. Li has lots of octagon experience too.

Edit: just watched Nash's loss to Dixon. I know it was two years ago and im sure he has improved lots but Dixon hit a basic sweep from the bottom in r2 and r3. Li is good at getting up when taken down and has decent takedowns himself. Nash is far too green for me to trust with my money. I can't fault a stab at his KO line if it's juicy but i think if Li is anywhere under -150 he is the right side.

 

[wack3d]

Trevino is not that good dude. When he got caught in that guillotine he could easily have moved to side control instead he panicked and tapped. From that fight it looks to me like Nash is not comfortable on the back foot. I'm not saying i think Li defo wins here i havent really seen enough of Nash to make a fully informed decision. He clearly hits hard and Li is there to be hit, but Li does have good boxing and Nash is also easy to hit. If it goes the distance i like Li but Nash could shut his lights out. Li has lots of octagon experience too.

Edit: just watched Nash's loss to Dixon. I know it was two years ago and im sure he has improved lots but Dixon hit a basic sweep from the bottom in r2 and r3. Li is good at getting up when taken down and has decent takedowns himself. Nash is far too green for me to trust with my money. I can't fault a stab at his KO line if it's juicy but i think if Li is anywhere under -150 he is the right side.

something to keep in mind with Nash is he is still young and started mma not that long ago the strides he made in 5-6 month between the travino fight to his fight with Gonzales is pretty damn impressive imo and now he had another 6 month to improve even further

 

[Sham5916910]

something to keep in mind with Nash is he is still young and started mma not that long ago the strides he made in 5-6 month between the travino fight to his fight with Gonzales is pretty damn impressive imo and now he had another 6 month to improve even further

Yeah he did look better in the Gonzales fight. But Gonzales didn't apply any pressure im keen to see if he still struggles on the back foot. Li will bring the pressure. The fights a no bet for me i don't bet UFC newcomers for or against unless they look great/terrible and/or they have a great stylistic match up or vice versa.

 

[MMA Gambling Expert]

Schevchenko price going up, kind need it to go the other way. Anyone think some Money comes in on Pena after the weigh in? she'll be super shredded as usual and she's the bigger girl. I'll happily play Schevechenko at -110 or better. Could of got her at that price before but I chose to wait, maybe that was a bad idea.

 

[Basek]

Yeah he did look better in the Gonzales fight. But Gonzales didn't apply any pressure im keen to see if he still struggles on the back foot. Li will bring the pressure. The fights a no bet for me i don't bet UFC newcomers for or against unless they look great/terrible and/or they have a great stylistic match up or vice versa.

Well you have a point about newcomers and I must tell you that decreased my confidence a bit haha still want to risk some money on him but probably lower ammount that I've planned

 

[Sham5916910]

Well you have a point about newcomers and I must tell you that decreased my confidence a bit haha still want to risk some money on him but probably lower ammount that I've planned

Yeah i wouldnt go big dude.

 

[Ukram]

Love your idea. I think if prime Assuncao and current Aljo fight then Rafa should win 30-27. But people dont realise Rafa is 34 and coming off some bad injuries.. Lighter weights tend to have shorter careers because they need speed to hang on with top guys. 2017 could be a point where rafa is starting to slow down.

There was also a big size increase in RA in his last fight with tj vs the fights from 2-3 years ago, that alone could explain why RA was so more slower. People tend to get bigger and heavier the older they get and RA is 34 now, that long ring rust due to injury and he could potentially be off the hot sauce.

 

[Jae Gibbz]

5d full odds

 

[HeDucking]

Hopefully Shelton is a bigger dog. Have made all my plays already but might sprinkle some on him if I can get that +130. Might look to play his dec line also.

 

[EzFlyer]

PRELIMINARY CARD (Fox Sports 1, 6pm ET)

Bobby Nash +100
Li Jingliang -140

Over 2.5 -165
Under 2.5 +125
–

Luis Henrique da Silva +125
Jordan Johnson -165

Over 1.5 -195
Under 1.5 +155
–

Eric Spicely +115
Alessio Di Chirico -155

Over 1.5 -180
Under 1.5 +140
–

Jeremy Kimball +130
Marcos Rogerio de Lima -170

Over 1.5 +100
Under 1.5 -140
——————–

PRELIMINARY CARD (UFC Fight Pass, 4pm ET)

Eric Shelton +100
Alexandre Pantoja -140

Over 2.5 -215
Under 2.5 +165
–

Jason Gonzalez +125
J.C. Cottrell -165

Over 1.5 -180
Under 1.5 +140
——————–

 

[EzFlyer]

So I kinda like Shelton +100. 0.5u. unsure how line moves.

Thinking about the rest, still. No big leans.

 

[Basek]

Just watched road to Octagon . Sweet Jesus I am so pumped for This card like it was best ppv haha and actually card is average lol Cowboy vs Mas will be hell of a fight , Francis KO r1 likely will hit - with all due respect AA looks same old as his pitbull, Shev vs Pena also expecting war . Nice nice can't wait .

Fun fact : Shev run 3 floors in not full military combat eq and she gassed haha

 

[chemmy]

Not too crazy about any of those lines. Maybe Jingliang, but I'll probably pass. Surprised Johnson's line is so juiced, but still not too interested in playing Da Silva.

 

[chemmy]

So I kinda like Shelton +100. 0.5u. unsure how line moves.

Thinking about the rest, still. No big leans.

My guess is that Pantoja probably gets bet and Shelton's price gets a bit better closer to the weekend, but no solid reasoning behind my hunch.

 

[Monster Meat]

I got a pm from bricktop inviting me to another forum for "sharps" to weed out all the trolls hahahahaha