• Xenforo Cloud is upgrading us to version 2.3.8 on Monday February 16th, 2026 at 12:00 AM PST. Expect a temporary downtime during this process. More info here

UFC Fox 23 - Pena vs Shevchenko - Denver

Status
Not open for further replies.
Officer_Brown said:
Love your idea. I think if prime Assuncao and current Aljo fight then Rafa should win 30-27. But people dont realise Rafa is 34 and coming off some bad injuries.. Lighter weights tend to have shorter careers because they need speed to hang on with top guys. 2017 could be a point where rafa is starting to slow down.
Click to expand...
After rewatching Sterling vs Caraway i'm very confident Aljo dec is the right play here. Would not touch RA

You've gotta pressure a guy like Aljo to take away the open space and range he likes to work at. RA is not very good at pressuring at all, seems to like to counter punch in the pocket when his opponent makes a move. Thats not gonna work here. Aljo is much faster, he has some adept footwork, great range awareness which was frustrating Caraway, and a fairly deep arsenal of attacks. RA has combos in the pocket and some OK wrestling. Not sure thats enough to overcome Aljo, ESPECIALLY if he doesn't get tired. Thats my biggest concern here.

Even expecting Aljo to get the better of the wrestling. He looked much slicker in the clinch and grappling than Caraway before gassing. The 3rd round he was real tired and tried some weird shoulder crank which resulted in him getting taken down. Expect a great prospect with a great camp behind him to not make such a dumb mistake ever again, even if he gets tired.

So yeah. Pretty surprised it seems like i'm the only one on Aljo. Might even add to his decision line if it goes past +200 again
 
Last edited:
Joseph Budden said:
After rewatching Sterling vs Caraway i'm very confident Aljo dec is the right play here. Would not touch RA

You've gotta pressure a guy like Aljo to take away the open space and range he likes to work at. RA is not very good at pressuring at all, seems to like to counter punch in the pocket when his opponent makes a move. Thats not gonna work here. Aljo is much faster, he has some adept footwork, and a fairly deep arsenal of attacks. RA has combos in the pocket and some OK wrestling. Not sure thats enough to overcome Aljo, ESPECIALLY if he doesn't get tired. Thats my biggest concern here.

Even expecting Aljo to get the better of the wrestling. He looked much slicker in the clinch and grappling than Caraway before gassing. The 3rd round he was real tired and tried some weird shoulder crank which resulted in him getting taken down. Expect a great prospect with a great camp behind him to not make such a dumb mistake ever again, even if he gets tired.

So yeah. Pretty surprised it seems like i'm the only one on Aljo. Might even add to his decision line if it goes past +200 again
Click to expand...

I agree and I'm on Sterling as well. Not super confident, but 1u at +130. I think RAs better days are behind him and I'm expecting to see a better/smarter Funkmaster here than we saw in the Caraway fight. Passing on the decision prop at current odds, but I'm hoping for a juicy sub line.
 
t6p said:
I agree and I'm on Sterling as well. Not super confident, but 1u at +130. I think RAs better days are behind him and I'm expecting to see a better/smarter Funkmaster here than we saw in the Caraway fight. Passing on the decision prop at current odds, but I'm hoping for a juicy sub line.
Click to expand...
East coast representin <{silvanormal}>
 
chemmy said:
My guess is that Pantoja probably gets bet and Shelton's price gets a bit better closer to the weekend, but no solid reasoning behind my hunch.
Click to expand...

Yeah hoping that also pan becomes the bigger fav then may take a stab at sheltons line, got my eye on his decision prop I think he can edge out a win here being young and with better cardio also.
 
UFC can fuck off if they cut the loser of Shelton vs Pantoja

But i'm leaning Shelton dec as my play. Maybe a little money on Pantoja sub too
 
Ukram said:
Yeah hoping that also pan becomes the bigger fav then may take a stab at sheltons line, got my eye on his decision prop I think he can edge out a win here being young and with better cardio also.
Click to expand...

I'm on board too, but will need better than 1:1 return on my $$$. Fingers crossed that the line movement cooperates.
 
nice. one of the openers moved my way.

i'm taking dichirico -105. he opened -155 to my disappointment, but it came well into betting range for me.

yes, i'm worried about his cardio in denver. but he has a clear striking and wrestling edge. he's the favorite for me. -105 is better than i hoped before lines opened.
 
so listening to the anik/florian podcast, they said colorado is NOT adopting the new rules / scoring / etc. make of that what you will

apologies if someone already brought this up
 
Officer_Brown said:
EzFlyer and split decisions that doesnt want to go his way. what was your score? 3-28. Maybe you should pick the guy who you think lost from now on? that would make you a huge winner
Click to expand...

lol shush. and it's 3-25

i didn't count the sanchez majority decision as a win against the stat, cause no one said georgi won, so that doesn't count! =P
 
EzFlyer said:
so listening to the anik/florian podcast, they said colorado is NOT adopting the new rules / scoring / etc. make of that what you will

apologies if someone already brought this up
Click to expand...

First I've heard of it. Pretty surprising though.
 
Ukram said:
Yeah hoping that also pan becomes the bigger fav then may take a stab at sheltons line, got my eye on his decision prop I think he can edge out a win here being young and with better cardio also.
Click to expand...


Joseph Budden said:
UFC can fuck off if they cut the loser of Shelton vs Pantoja

But i'm leaning Shelton dec as my play. Maybe a little money on Pantoja sub too
Click to expand...

Shelton can stop him imo, pantoja gets dropped in a few of his recent fights.
 
AffectEffect said:
Shelton can stop him imo, pantoja gets dropped in a few of his recent fights.
Click to expand...
Yeah its a worry. Pantojas defense on the feet is not too good, luckily for him hes got a chin and heart. If the dec prop isn't juicy enough ill take Shelton ml. Need over +200 to play that prop
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

Latest posts

Forum statistics

Threads
1,281,497
Messages
58,371,892
Members
176,015
Latest member
50 caliber beer bottle

Share this page

Back
Top