UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint-Denis

Klein is a lot. Charriere isn’t, but I’d love to parlay him at 1,33 or better. Miranda is ok.
 
Is Moicano known to gas? at those odds I kinda want to play him, or at least play him by stoppage.
 
Is Moicano known to gas? at those odds I kinda want to play him, or at least play him by stoppage.
He fought RDA over 5 rounds on like 1 week notice out of camp not training. His cardio wasn't great but he held in there for 5 rounds.
 
Is Moicano known to gas? at those odds I kinda want to play him, or at least play him by stoppage.

IDK about "known" to, but he slowed down a LOT vs Dober. The only reason he escaped with a win is because Dober went for a low % hip throw that he'd hit earlier in the fight early in rd 3 and ended up on his back. Moicano was tired AF, but a good enough grappler to hold Dober down the rest of the round and win 2-1. Had Dober not tried that, Moicano probably gets outstruck rd 3 and loses.
 
Who the hell is William Gomis? Also why is Brito only -250? He should be like -1000. Something strange is going on. Isn’t Brito the father of Diego lopes??

I remember Joshua KO was -110 over Ngannou. That was a very strange line.

The Moicano odds is way off. This French guy has no hands and is a one trick pony. He’s a certified quitter.

Brazil is so much more developed when it comes to MMA. Brazil has produced so many top talents. And yes I know Benoit beat Moises who’s a Brazilian. But Moises sucks. Moicano is gonna handle him easy💯
 
IDK about "known" to, but he slowed down a LOT vs Dober. The only reason he escaped with a win is because Dober went for a low % hip throw that he'd hit earlier in the fight early in rd 3 and ended up on his back. Moicano was tired AF, but a good enough grappler to hold Dober down the rest of the round and win 2-1. Had Dober not tried that, Moicano probably gets outstruck rd 3 and loses.
The problem with Benoit is that it's hard to grasp rather he's even the same level as Dober , or guys that koed Moicano like Fiziev ,Aldo, or KZ .

Benoits' boxing is not very technical , more like a brawler than anything. His kicks are better than his hands, and some of his koes are more pressure based on ground and pound. I saw him land flush on Thiago Moises but did not even drop him. We saw Moicano get hit flush with a Jailyn Turner straight punch and recover. He could likely take what Benoit has and survive long enough to gas him. Benoit gassed faster trying to grapple Poirier and didn't pace himself correctly, and his recklessness cost him the fight, which he's done before getting caught in wild exchanges.

On the other hand, Moicano is pushing 35, so maybe Benoit can overwhelm him with his youth and aggressive style.

But the more I watch tape, it looks like Moicano is the grizzled vet with too much cage time and experience that he will expose Benoit's lack there of. The biggest problem that Benoit has is that he gets a lot of finishes and just like Torres this last Saturday, he hasn't accumulated enough experience fighting the long game that he is bound to make amateurish mistakes in the span of 5 rounds.
 
I like Altamirano here. Barez looked gassy in his last one and Victor is pretty durable and can be chaotic.

Both had close losses to Carlos Hernandez if I'm not mistaken, and I don't think Daniel's gotten better since that contender series showing while I do believe Victor has improved a little bit. Also arguably beat Felipe in his last one which makes me feel confident he should get by a more flawed striker in Barez.
 
The problem with Benoit is that it's hard to grasp rather he's even the same level as Dober , or guys that koed Moicano like Fiziev ,Aldo, or KZ .

Benoits' boxing is not very technical , more like a brawler than anything. His kicks are better than his hands, and some of his koes are more pressure based on ground and pound. I saw him land flush on Thiago Moises but did not even drop him. We saw Moicano get hit flush with a Jailyn Turner straight punch and recover. He could likely take what Benoit has and survive long enough to gas him. Benoit gassed faster trying to grapple Poirier and didn't pace himself correctly, and his recklessness cost him the fight, which he's done before getting caught in wild exchanges.

On the other hand, Moicano is pushing 35, so maybe Benoit can overwhelm him with his youth and aggressive style.

But the more I watch tape, it looks like Moicano is the grizzled vet with too much cage time and experience that he will expose Benoit's lack there of. The biggest problem that Benoit has is that he gets a lot of finishes and just like Torres this last Saturday, he hasn't accumulated enough experience fighting the long game that he is bound to make amateurish mistakes in the span of 5 rounds.

Yeah IDK really know how to cap the fight, but I wouldn't pay this juice on BDS. That much I know. It's weird because if he wins, good chance he looks like -500 because he swarms and overwhelms Moicano. But also a solid chance he empties the tank going for a finish and then is in trouble. He has grit for days, can match Moicano as a grappler, but also doesn't manage his energy well. And while he damages guys badly via accumulation, I agree his one shot power isn't elite at all.

I will say that if BOTH guys end up gassed and it turns into a war of attrition I favor BDS a lot. He won't wilt, you gotta put him away like Dustin did. Moicano...gritty vet but older and I just don't think he has that next level to dig deep like BDS does.
 
Id rather get better odds on BSD before placing any bets on him but Id like to point out that in the past two French cards the hometown favorite is 11-1 against the opponent. The only loss was overmatched Zarah Fairn Dos Santos losing to Cavalcanti. They really know how to match these fights on these cards. And French fighters dont seem to shit the bed in front of their own as easily as some other do.
 
Id rather get better odds on BSD before placing any bets on him but Id like to point out that in the past two French cards the hometown favorite is 11-1 against the opponent. The only loss was overmatched Zarah Fairn Dos Santos losing to Cavalcanti. They really know how to match these fights on these cards. And French fighters dont seem to shit the bed in front of their own as easily as some other do.
After the Mexico card you never know. There's some clear easy matchups for some frenchies, like Morgan's fight, but there's also some pretty damn lopsided ones. Gomis is getting sacrificed, Jousset might suffer the same fate. Hell, Ziam could absolutely get mauled by Frevola too.

The one favorite I'm confident will cover easily is Sy, because Jung can't defend takedowns.
 
Benoit gassed faster trying to grapple Poirier and didn't pace himself correctly, and his recklessness cost him the fight, which he's done before getting caught in wild exchanges.
BSD had staph and barely made it to the fight. His gas tank was compromised and he went balls to the wall from the opening bell. Didn’t work out, but Poirier is elite and a tough veteran.

I’m pretty sure BSD has better gas tank than that fight shows. Staph (and the antibiotics to treat it) can f-k you up.
 
Anyone else fading Oki? Barely got past Cuamba in his debut and Duncan tends to be a pretty consistent guy, think he grinds a decision.
 
After the Mexico card you never know. There's some clear easy matchups for some frenchies, like Morgan's fight, but there's also some pretty damn lopsided ones. Gomis is getting sacrificed, Jousset might suffer the same fate. Hell, Ziam could absolutely get mauled by Frevola too.

The one favorite I'm confident will cover easily is Sy, because Jung can't defend takedowns.
The fights do seem a tad bit harder this time and many of the Frenchmen are underdogs.
But Mexico really did shit the bed last week not sure if it translates to this card with the French. It might.
 
Sy and Klein if wants next fight attack top 15 must defeat their opponents via finish.
FOR DOUBLING!!
 
Why, its a juicy parlay
Because we all hate you around here, except for your burner account. But keep on strutting your pea cock feathers bro. Whatever makes you get through your days. Just know we all laugh and make fun of you every time we see anything of yours. But it's ok, you make $50 a week sometimes. Baller!

Chris Duncan is my dog of the week. Oki is sloppy and has gas tank issues. Oki is favorite by name only.
 
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