UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena

[PuertoRican]

Probably benefits him tbh. The stats show that ~75% of betting favorites who miss weight go on to win. It seems like his body just refused the cut and a doctor stepped in. He will have had a long time to recover by the time of the fight. To the eye he looks to be in great shape.

Maybe I'm just trying to convince myself because I don't want to live in a world where Jose Aldo loses to an Aiemann Zahabi.

I agree with your second paragraph.

We already saw how bad Aldo looked on the scale yesterday, and he still came in underweight for the featherweight limit, which is telling.

 

[trunksan]

Hi guys,

I've been in bed for a few days with some serious stuff: Mycoplasmatic Pneumonia AKA "Mykoplasma in the lungs".

It's a fairly new children's disease, courtesy of China. We don't have antibodies so it's very contagious albeit not very dangerous.

I'm only betting on Valentina and I'm excluding the fact that she's one of the GOATs of WMMA.

The reason:

V comes from a TKD background and then became a Muay Thai master.
Point contact striking is her bread and butter, that's why she is a great counterstriker.

Manon and Valentina are at the same level at point striking, one with TKD and the other with Karate.

All other technical aspects, Valentina is superior.

The only advantage that I give to Manon is that she is very tall and big for the weight class.

If Valentina follows a similar plan like the last Grasso fight, then the path to victory is clear: Wrestling.

I'll also put a little bit of cash at V via Submission.

 

[JC615]

Hi guys,

I've been in bed for a few days with some serious stuff: Mycoplasmatic Pneumonia AKA "Mykoplasma in the lungs".

It's a fairly new children's disease, courtesy of China. We don't have antibodies so it's very contagious albeit not very dangerous.

I'm only betting on Valentina and I'm excluding the fact that she's one of the GOATs of WMMA.

The reason:

V comes from a TKD background and then became a Muay Thai master.
Point contact striking is her bread and butter, that's why she is a great counterstriker.

Manon and Valentina are at the same level at point striking, one with TKD and the other with Karate.

All other technical aspects, Valentina is superior.

The only advantage that I give to Manon is that she is very tall and big for the weight class.

If Valentina follows a similar plan like the last Grasso fight, then the path to victory is clear: Wrestling.

I'll also put a little bit of cash at V via Submission.

Hope you feel better soon!

 

[XociDe]

I agree with your second paragraph.

We already saw how bad Aldo looked on the scale yesterday, and he still came in underweight for the featherweight limit, which is telling.

Zahabi also came in a few lbs under the limit. I don't know why either of them did that. They agreed to fight at 145 on Thursday night. Also, Aldo has never looked happy on a scale ever lol.

He doesn't look out of shape is what I meant. It's not like he's injured and couldn't train properly or something. Looked good at the ceremonial weigh ins.

But we'll see. I still think he has what it takes to win 2 rounds at least here. I don't see a finish for either guy.

 

[Kazda1]

People going HAM on Silva. Almost have to take Grasso now out of principle.

I think Radtke should lose but him taking a role of an asshole and playing against the emotions could work for him. Not to mention Malot on downward trend.

I was really curious as to whether Grasso had a path as I wasn't totally sure Silva's takedown defense was iron clad. Silva takes it if it stays on the feet but if she's out of position she can be put down on the mat as evidenced by the Araujo fight. What her get ups look like is a complete unknown at this point. She's lost by submission earlier on in her career but who knows as no one has put her there yet in the ufc

 

[King-Ryan]

Hope everyone is doing well

Where's the official bet's thread!? I'm going to smash this card... Sprinkled on a bunch of props as well, DM me if you want them:



2U each

 

[PuertoRican]

Hope everyone is doing well

Where's the official bet's thread!? I'm going to smash this card... Sprinkled on a bunch of props as well, DM me if you want them:

View attachment 1094363

2U each

I like that point spread on Jasmine Jasudavicius. I'd add another 2U if I were you.

 

[Broe.]

You clearly don’t know anything about ufc.
These fights were pretty close actually.
And JDM is pretty hittable, just look at his face for god sake, his nose is gone.
Easy win for Belal by unanimous decision, not split.

Yeah you know alot!

 

[trunksan]

Hi guys,

I've been in bed for a few days with some serious stuff: Mycoplasmatic Pneumonia AKA "Mykoplasma in the lungs".

It's a fairly new children's disease, courtesy of China. We don't have antibodies so it's very contagious albeit not very dangerous.

I'm only betting on Valentina and I'm excluding the fact that she's one of the GOATs of WMMA.

The reason:

V comes from a TKD background and then became a Muay Thai master.
Point contact striking is her bread and butter, that's why she is a great counterstriker.

Manon and Valentina are at the same level at point striking, one with TKD and the other with Karate.

All other technical aspects, Valentina is superior.

The only advantage that I give to Manon is that she is very tall and big for the weight class.

If Valentina follows a similar plan like the last Grasso fight, then the path to victory is clear: Wrestling.

I'll also put a little bit of cash at V via Submission.

Quoting myself here.

I had V and M on the same level at striking. However, it was shown that V was superior and that gave her the win.

The spinning attacks and counter right straights hit all the time while M's sidekicks did nothing.
The fact that V is a southpaw definetely played it's role on this.
As Valentina was generally sidestepping to her left, all big left punches were easy to avoid, while the right sidekick is a very linear attack so it's very easy to avoid if you keep moving (and also V is master of distance management), a front leg (right) mid/high kick would have been a better choice for M but it's not a very strong kick unless you have Alex-Pereira-level Muay Thai + you almost always telegraph it and it leaves you very vulnerable to single legs and upper body takedowns.
M's corner recognized that kicks weren't working and at the 4th and 5th told her to just focus on punches, however the skill difference was big in boxing as well.

Manon dominated in the clinch and the cage with the knees, but she didn't have the wrestling and dirty boxing to capitalize more on it.

Both from body language and face damage, it was obvious that V had done much more damage.

I don't think V vs Da Silva is an interesting fight. V while simple dominate with her superior grappling skills + Da Silva looks smaller than Grasso.

I'd like Sevchenko to fight maybe 2 superfights with Weili and hopefully fight Dakota Ditcheva before she retires.

I don' t see any other woman beating Manon.

The next, obvious fights are Fiorot vs Silva and Blanchfiled vs Grasso. Both are super interesting.
Manon easily beats Da Silva, mostly because of size.
Blanchfield needs to improve her boxing A LOT if she want's to go any further in the division.