UFC 314 underdog pick of the night

[doozer]

In every virtually every card at least 1 underdog beats the odds. Who is most likely to do so this card?

• Alexander Volkanovski -130 vs. Diego Lopes +110, vacant featherweight title
• Paddy Pimblett -155 vs. Michael Chandler +130, lightweights
• Yair Rodriguez -195 vs. Patricio Pitbull +165, featherweights
• Jean Silva -270 vs. Bryce Mitchell +220, featherweights
• Nikita Krylov -195 vs. Dominick Reyes +165, light heavyweights
• Sean Woodson -165 vs. Dan Ige +140, featherweights
• Virna Jandiroba -140 vs. Yan Xiaonan +120, women's strawweights
• Chase Hooper -800 vs. Jim Miller +550, lightweights
• Darren Elkins +380 vs. Julian Erosa -300, featherweights
• Michal Oleksiejczuk -205 vs. Sedriques Dumas +170, middleweights
• Sumudaerji -195 vs. Mitch Raposo +165, flyweights
• Marco Tulio -400 vs. Tresean Gore +300, middleweights
• Nora Cornolle -170 vs. Hailey Cowan +145, women's bantamweights

Another bad night for me. My record is now 6-6. But this card is what I made these for. Card by card I’m looking to find someone to pick, but when I started out it was because to me the first 3 picks were obvious without looking. Here is another one. I feel very comfortable picking chandler. And yes I could very easily end up eating humble pie. But 2 fights ago most people thought Paddies win was a robbery against an unranked person. Last fight he looked amazing against Green, but Chandler is not going to take him down. Yes Chandler is old and has been out a few years, but I’m still not sold on Paddie, except that he has amazing jujitsu. Not confirmed pick yet I still want to watch ufc on the line and shillan and Duffy preview to see if I’ve missed anything obvious but that’s my strong lean right now.

Shoutout to last weeks correct pickers. @Necrocrawler @Siver! @Serge421 Catch up shoutouts for ufc fight night 253 picks @Sean Chowdhury is the only successful picker of that night.

 

[Eric Silva 2.0]

In every virtually every card at least 1 underdog beats the odds. Who is most likely to do so this card?

• Alexander Volkanovski -130 vs. Diego Lopes +110, vacant featherweight title
• Paddy Pimblett -155 vs. Michael Chandler +130, lightweights
• Yair Rodriguez -195 vs. Patricio Pitbull +165, featherweights
• Jean Silva -270 vs. Bryce Mitchell +220, featherweights
• Nikita Krylov -195 vs. Dominick Reyes +165, light heavyweights
• Sean Woodson -165 vs. Dan Ige +140, featherweights
• Virna Jandiroba -140 vs. Yan Xiaonan +120, women's strawweights
• Chase Hooper -800 vs. Jim Miller +550, lightweights
• Darren Elkins -380 vs. Julian Erosa +300, featherweights
• Michal Oleksiejczuk -205 vs. Sedriques Dumas +170, middleweights
• Sumudaerji -195 vs. Mitch Raposo +165, flyweights
• Marco Tulio -400 vs. Tresean Gore +300, middleweights
• Nora Cornolle -170 vs. Hailey Cowan +145, women's bantamweights

Another bad night for me. My record is now 6-6. But this card is what I made these for. Card by card I’m looking to find someone to pick, but when I started out it was because to me the first 3 picks were obvious without looking. Here is another one. I feel very comfortable picking chandler. And yes I could very easily end up eating humble pie. But 2 fights ago most people thought Paddies win was a robbery against an unranked person. Last fight he looked amazing against Green, but Chandler is not going to take him down. Yes Chandler is old and has been out a few years, but I’m still not sold on Paddie, except that he has amazing jujitsu. Not confirmed pick yet I still want to watch ufc on the line and shillan and Duffy preview to see if I’ve missed anything obvious but that’s my strong lean right now.

Shoutout to last weeks correct pickers. @Necrocrawler @Siver! @Serge421 Catch up shoutouts for ufc fight night 253 picks @Sean Chowdhury is the only successful picker of that night.

I like Lopes to beat Volk but my underdog pick is not that fight. I'm picking Juicy J. Julian Erosa to beat Elkins.

 

[Necrocrawler]

This event has interesting dogs.

But my lock is Domick Reyes.
Reyes, who arguably beat Jones (i don't agree with that), being a dog against Krylov is a robbery IMO.
Krylov hasn't fought in 2 years and, apparently, the reason of that was because he had a serious injury.
The 2 year layoff was alone a reason for me to bet on Reyes. The revelation of his injury just reinforces my pick. Reyes by KO is pretty possible, tbh.

 

[Serge421]

My lock is Patricio Pitbull by sub!

 

[The_Renaissance]

• Paddy Pimblett -155 vs. Michael Chandler +130, lightweights
• Nikita Krylov -195 vs. Dominick Reyes +165, light heavyweights
• Sean Woodson -165 vs. Dan Ige +140, featherweights
• Virna Jandiroba -140 vs. Yan Xiaonan +120, women's strawweights
• Chase Hooper -800 vs. Jim Miller +550, lightweights
• Darren Elkins -380 vs. Julian Erosa +300, featherweights
• Sumudaerji -195 vs. Mitch Raposo +165, flyweight

These all seem reasonable to me.

 

[doozer]

I like Lopes to beat Volk but my underdog pick is not that fight. I'm picking Juicy J. Julian Erosa to beat Elkins.

. Yes that does seem like the pick. I first started looking at the odds on a different day and it had juicy j 3-1 favourite. I didn’t check this one I just copy and pasted. I’ve been looking for where it came from to show. I think they made a mistake. I’m going to change them because all the older ones are 3-1 juicy j. But like anyone finding the odds a bettor posts incorrectly everyone who had it before this got it.
Just had to rush to draft kings to confirm before I edited. Juicy j should be heavily favoured

 

[Shaolin Alan]

How devastated would Yair be if Bellator Pitbull knocks his ass out??!!

Paddy getting wrecked by Chandler would be hilarious too

I'm hoping Lopes shines vs Volx

 

[doozer]

This event has interesting dogs.

But my lock is Domick Reyes.
Reyes, who arguably beat Jones (i don't agree with that), being a dog against Krylov is a robbery IMO.
Krylov hasn't fought in 2 years and, apparently, the reason of that was because he had a serious injury.
The 2 year layoff was alone a reason for me to bet on Reyes. The revelation of his injury just reinforces my pick. Reyes by KO is pretty possible, tbh.

Yeah Reyes dropped like a rock with a bad skid after the Jones fight. But in hindsight looking at the people he lost to it’s not that bad.

 

[doozer]

• Paddy Pimblett -155 vs. Michael Chandler +130, lightweights
• Nikita Krylov -195 vs. Dominick Reyes +165, light heavyweights
• Sean Woodson -165 vs. Dan Ige +140, featherweights
• Virna Jandiroba -140 vs. Yan Xiaonan +120, women's strawweights
• Chase Hooper -800 vs. Jim Miller +550, lightweights
• Darren Elkins -380 vs. Julian Erosa +300, featherweights
• Sumudaerji -195 vs. Mitch Raposo +165, flyweight

These all seem reasonable to me.

The odd makers do tend to be good at their job!

 

[doozer]

How devastated would Yair be if Bellator Pitbull knocks his ass out??!!

Paddy getting wrecked by Chandler would be hilarious too

I'm hoping Lopes shines vs Volx

I’m not sure if you had an actual pick it there lol

 

[tgv976]

Pitbull Bryce and Chandler are pick"ems IMO. Out of those 3 I'd go with Pitbull.

 

[Necrocrawler]

Yeah Reyes dropped like a rock with a bad skid after the Jones fight. But in hindsight looking at the people he lost to it’s not that bad.

He still lives in the shadow of the Ryan Spann fight, where he was literally knocked out by a jab.
Krylov is a good fighter, but it's hard to have someone coming from a 2 year layoff as favourite.
We have even good examples this year already:

Marvin Vettori: 2 year layoff and lost
Julia Avilla: 2 year layoff lost and retired


Edit: This is the year of ring rustyness:
Jan
Nelson
Fiziev
Emmet
They all lost
The ring rust is real

 

[Kungpowking]

I think those odds are...interesting. I can see an underdog sweep on the main card honestly. These fights on paper are 50/50 IMO. So unless you know about some insider injury shit, betting on them is a real dice roll.

 

[doozer]

I think those odds are...interesting. I can see an underdog sweep on the main card honestly. These fights on paper are 50/50 IMO. So unless you know about some insider injury shit, betting on them is a real dice roll.

You’re right. I’m on the favourite side in 3 of them but I could see how they could go underdog.

 

[Eric Silva 2.0]

. Yes that does seem like the pick. I first started looking at the odds on a different day and it had juicy j 3-1 favourite. I didn’t check this one I just copy and pasted. I’ve been looking for where it came from to show. I think they made a mistake. I’m going to change them because all the older ones are 3-1 juicy j. But like anyone finding the odds a bettor posts incorrectly everyone who had it before this got it.
Just had to rush to draft kings to confirm before I edited. Juicy j should be heavily favoured

If your odds are wrong then I'll go with Lopes over Volk. It's not a big deal. That one just jumped out at me.

 

[Kung Fu Kowboy]

Easy money on Jim Miller

 

[Hellowhosthat]

Chandler is my favourite dog overall. Gore is my favourite value wise.

 

[Fergelmince]

Considering his backing by barstool sports and UFC hype, I think there is some stupid "Drake" money throwing the odds off kilter for Pimblett. And given their most recent few fights and the opponents, Pimblett doesn't look like he can hang with Chandler.

 

[PeterGriffin]

Ironman Miller for me. He has almost as many losses at Hooper has career fights. I hope that veteran experience kicks in here, and I just can't bring myself to root against the guy.

 

[Neck&Neck]

Chandler
Heyes
Miller