UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree

[Stat_Collector]

UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree | MMA Event | Tapology

UFC 307 takes place Saturday, October 5, 2024 with 12 fights at Vivint Arena in Salt Lake City, Utah. View fight card, video, results, predictions, and news.

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https://www.bestfightodds.com/

 

[Stat_Collector]

Took early line for Marina Rodriguez. 125+ at 500$

prolly should have waited with that line movement.

 

[Stat_Collector]

If Stephen Thompson beat Kevin Holland, why could he not beat Buckley who got steamrolled?

old age, maybe Buckley has better kick defense.

 

[sonhow]

If Stephen Thompson beat Kevin Holland, why could he not beat Buckley who got steamrolled?

old age, maybe Buckley has better kick defense.

Wrestling maybe?

 

[Thesnake101]

Someone explain to me why Dolidze and Aldo are such big dogs.

Roman should be able to take Kevin down and hold him there at worst, and Jose's TDD combined with his boxing seem like poison for Bautista's game.

 

[Stat_Collector]

Wrestling maybe?

Buckley is borderline solid there, not a gilbert or a Balal level good, i think Thompson has enough to get back up. Could be a case of age and activity, Buckley is also improving.

 

[Stat_Collector]

Someone explain to me why Dolidze and Aldo are such big dogs.

Roman should be able to take Kevin down and hold him there at worst, and Jose's TDD combined with his boxing seem like poison for Bautista's game.

I think Martinez is better than Bautista, I think Aldo can take it.


I don't know how well Dolidze is at holding guys down, I remember Trevin Giles getting off the floor.

I actually think Dolidze can bang with Holland, he has decent kicks and gave Vettori a better fight than Holland did.

 

[Trupsi]

Someone explain to me why Dolidze and Aldo are such big dogs.

Roman should be able to take Kevin down and hold him there at worst, and Jose's TDD combined with his boxing seem like poison for Bautista's game.

Roman's wrestling ain't really great but Holland is untrustworthy so...
I played Jose against Martinez and I already played him vs Bautista for the reasons you mentinoned. I guess the only reason of the odds is his age, I remembered him slowing down in the 3rd vs Martinez.

 

[jnes]

Someone explain to me why Dolidze and Aldo are such big dogs.

Roman should be able to take Kevin down and hold him there at worst, and Jose's TDD combined with his boxing seem like poison for Bautista's game.

Aldo for his gas tank, Dolidze for his shit striking.

 

[lewisnerbaska]

I actually think Dolidze can bang with Holland,

But do you think he can bang with Alex Pereira?

 

[Thesnake101]

Aldo for his gas tank, Dolidze for his shit striking.

Kevin just got dropped by Michal though, might've lost that one if Olek wasn't a complete novice on the ground.

Kevin can be a very game guy, but looking at his past wins since his wrestling first got exposed he's only beaten a bunch of washed up guys and Michal, and had some shaky moments against some of those. Chiesa, Means, Cowboy Oliveira, Ponz... that's not stellar competition for a ranked guy imo. Roman's also a big, physical guy so I can 100% see him using that to control Kevin against the cage in the worst case scenario, he's also very durable and tricky on the mat himself.

Maybe speed does kill him and he ends up getting outpointed or finished for the first time, but I expected the fight to be at evens or a slight edge for Roman personally, so I have to take a stab at it.

As far as Aldo goes, that's fair, but a three rounder + his power make me think he can get Mario's respect early and force some openings to take two rounds.

I think Martinez is better than Bautista, I think Aldo can take it.


I don't know how well Dolidze is at holding guys down, I remember Trevin Giles getting off the floor.

I actually think Dolidze can bang with Holland, he has decent kicks and gave Vettori a better fight than Holland did.

I'm thinking the size difference will help him muscle Kevin around, but him going balls to the wall early and tanking everything to find something on the feet could be viable given how Kevin's chin seems shaky sometimes.

 

[jnes]

Kevin just got dropped by Michal though, might've lost that one if Olek wasn't a complete novice on the ground.

Kevin can be a very game guy, but looking at his past wins since his wrestling first got exposed he's only beaten a bunch of washed up guys and Michal, and had some shaky moments against some of those. Chiesa, Means, Cowboy Oliveira, Ponz... that's not stellar competition for a ranked guy imo. Roman's also a big, physical guy so I can 100% see him using that to control Kevin against the cage in the worst case scenario, he's also very durable and tricky on the mat himself.

Maybe speed does kill him and he ends up getting outpointed or finished for the first time, but I expected the fight to be at evens or a slight edge for Roman personally, so I have to take a stab at it.

As far as Aldo goes, that's fair, but a three rounder + his power make me think he can get Mario's respect early and force some openings to take two rounds.

I'm thinking the size difference will help him muscle Kevin around, but him going balls to the wall early and tanking everything to find something on the feet could be viable given how Kevin's chin seems shaky sometimes.

Ya I understand the Roman angle, I personally never bet Holland, he's super inconsistent and really isn't special as a fighter, his durability and chin have carried him pretty far and like you said has tons of washed guys on his resume. Roman has an elite ground game and is big but that's it, pass fight for me.

Aldo is one of if not the most skilled fighters ever, the one thing in his whole career that kept him from being nearly a perfect fighter was/is his gas tank. It's just even more exaggerated now that he's older plus elevation. I honestly don't know why he takes fights at elevation, I'm pretty sure the UFC would let him fight on any card he desires. Martinez while probably a sharper striker than Bautista, is much slower paced. Bautista has shown elite cardio (+seems to be entering his prime) so far and if he starts with a good pace I think Aldo will only have a good 1 1/2-2 rounds in him before losing his threat.

 

[Georges Hefner]

Ovince St Preux +270

I struggle to see how Spann wins this fight. Vince is better everywhere. He will have the striking, grappling, and experience edge. People who are taking Spann by KO have not done their research. Last week they did the same by picking Denis by KO even though Denis is not a KO artist. They also said Moicano is not durable. Now we have similar story, Spann is not a KO artist and Vince isn’t a chinny fighter. Spann has 6 wins by KO in 31 fights. While Vince lost 5 times by KO in 44 fights. These are flyweight/bantamweight numbers. So it’s very unlikely OSP gets knocked out. I see serious holes in Spann’s game that Vince will exploit

 

[michi972]

Kevin just got dropped by Michal though, might've lost that one if Olek wasn't a complete novice on the ground.

Kevin can be a very game guy, but looking at his past wins since his wrestling first got exposed he's only beaten a bunch of washed up guys and Michal, and had some shaky moments against some of those. Chiesa, Means, Cowboy Oliveira, Ponz... that's not stellar competition for a ranked guy imo. Roman's also a big, physical guy so I can 100% see him using that to control Kevin against the cage in the worst case scenario, he's also very durable and tricky on the mat himself.

Maybe speed does kill him and he ends up getting outpointed or finished for the first time, but I expected the fight to be at evens or a slight edge for Roman personally, so I have to take a stab at it.

As far as Aldo goes, that's fair, but a three rounder + his power make me think he can get Mario's respect early and force some openings to take two rounds.

I'm thinking the size difference will help him muscle Kevin around, but him going balls to the wall early and tanking everything to find something on the feet could be viable given how Kevin's chin seems shaky sometimes.

Michał is better striker than Dolidze and I don't think it was a heavy stop. Holland also beat many better strikers, Buckley, Ponzinibio, close fight with JDM. Dolidze has power, but other than that his striking is way worse. He's a great grapplers though

 

[michi972]

Ovince St Preux +270

I struggle to see how Spann wins this fight. Vince is better everywhere. He will have the striking, grappling, and experience edge. People who are taking Spann by KO have not done their research. Last week they did the same by picking Denis by KO even though Denis is not a KO artist. They also said Moicano is not durable. Now we have similar story, Spann is not a KO artist and Vince isn’t a chinny fighter. Spann has 6 wins by KO in 31 fights. While Vince lost 5 times by KO in 44 fights. These are flyweight/bantamweight numbers. So it’s very unlikely OSP gets knocked out. I see serious holes in Spann’s game that Vince will exploit

Imo OSP is so washed at this point. Finished in every aspect and his low output

 

[DalchaLungiambula]

ATTN

Two monstro bets are on their way

 

[Hellowhosthat]

Someone explain to me why Dolidze and Aldo are such big dogs.

Roman should be able to take Kevin down and hold him there at worst, and Jose's TDD combined with his boxing seem like poison for Bautista's game.

Yeah I agree on Dolidze. I don't know why Holland isn't staying at welterweight instead of taking on a big ape like this at middleweight.

 

[Hellowhosthat]

Took early line for Marina Rodriguez. 125+ at 500$

prolly should have waited with that line movement.

Don't really like Marina in this one, she's got experience but I don't really rate her TDD or get ups and Lucindo can wrestle and has decent top control.

 

[StewDogg11]

Imo OSP is so washed at this point. Finished in every aspect and his low output

Spann is either washed as well or just was never that good to start with.

 

[Stat_Collector]

Don't really like Marina in this one, she's got experience but I don't really rate her TDD or get ups and Lucindo can wrestle and has decent top control.

The way I see it is that she lost to the weaker version of Marina in Jazmine. This a step up in rankings and skill, she should not be a favorite.

But do you think he can bang with Alex Pereira?

no

Kevin just got dropped by Michal though, might've lost that one if Olek wasn't a complete novice on the ground.

Kevin can be a very game guy, but looking at his past wins since his wrestling first got exposed he's only beaten a bunch of washed up guys and Michal, and had some shaky moments against some of those. Chiesa, Means, Cowboy Oliveira, Ponz... that's not stellar competition for a ranked guy imo. Roman's also a big, physical guy so I can 100% see him using that to control Kevin against the cage in the worst case scenario, he's also very durable and tricky on the mat himself.

Maybe speed does kill him and he ends up getting outpointed or finished for the first time, but I expected the fight to be at evens or a slight edge for Roman personally, so I have to take a stab at it.

As far as Aldo goes, that's fair, but a three rounder + his power make me think he can get Mario's respect early and force some openings to take two rounds.

I'm thinking the size difference will help him muscle Kevin around, but him going balls to the wall early and tanking everything to find something on the feet could be viable given how Kevin's chin seems shaky sometimes.

I think the Darren Stewart fight is a good reference to watch. He went to split dec in that fight, Kevin's offense gets stifled when he faces someone that can mix wrestling with striking,. I would prefer Roman fights smarter than going hard early, Kevin's chin is solid. only has 1 ko and it was a 4th round retirement. I think durability is his strong suit. Roman by dec will get you good value.