UFC 304 - Edwards vs. Muhammad II

Bobby Green out to 1.80 which I just dont understand. Paddy has bad cardio, bad striking, and surely unlikely to land TD easily
 
Bobby Green out to 1.80 which I just dont understand. Paddy has bad cardio, bad striking, and surely unlikely to land TD easily
But does he have the judging especially if Green starts cruising?

I'll probably make up my mind of this one during the card. If english fighters are not doing too well, Im gonna take Bobby. Since it seems when one has a good day home, they all have one.
 
But does he have the judging especially if Green starts cruising?

I'll probably make up my mind of this one during the card. If english fighters are not doing too well, Im gonna take Bobby. Since it seems when one has a good day home, they all have one.

Well they gave Meatball another squash match at home so that's one Brit that's gonna cruise...
 
Well they gave Meatball another squash match at home so that's one Brit that's gonna cruise...
Not the first time Molly effs up but I see the plan is to get the big hometown win. Other than that its actually pretty well matched card. Well Parkin should get the win too most likely and Patterson and Wood.
 
Loughran ex. featherweight, fly Hadley enter at short notice... LOCK

Wood's durability is zero. Pineda finds so many chins, why not again. UNDERDOG PICK
 
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Loughran ex. featherweight, Hadley enter at short notice... LOCK

Wood's durability is zero. Pineda finds so many chins, why not again. UNDERDOG PICK

Don't really think Pineda is some amazing knockout artist. KO'd a couple guys in PFL iirc but never in his dozen UFC fights. (TKO of Herbert Burns when he gassed and gave up isn't "finding a chin"). Wood been finished once in 10 UFC fights, four and a half years ago.
 
Don't really think Pineda is some amazing knockout artist. KO'd a couple guys in PFL iirc but never in his dozen UFC fights. (TKO of Herbert Burns when he gassed and gave up isn't "finding a chin"). Wood been finished once in 10 UFC fights, four and a half years ago.
Wood got dropped many times against pillow punchers... Pineda finds Khaybulaev in PFL, club n sub Lutz, destroy Burns. We've been talking since he returned to the UFC, fighters who beat him are hard target, moves very well... Wood is always on lead foot and hold high hands.
 
Wood got dropped many times against pillow punchers... Pineda finds Khaybulaev in PFL, club n sub Lutz, destroy Burns. We've been talking since he returned to the UFC, fighters who beat him are hard target, moves very well... Wood is always on lead foot and hold high hands.

I mean, you're gonna get great odds on Pineda KO so if you believe in it then go for it. Wood does get clipped sometimes, but I think only Dodson and Fili have dropped him in the UFC so I guess I'm not sure what the "dropped many times" is?
 
I mean, you're gonna get great odds on Pineda KO so if you believe in it then go for it. Wood does get clipped sometimes, but I think only Dodson and Fili have dropped him in the UFC so I guess I'm not sure what the "dropped many times" is?
If Wood fights like against Jourdain he definetly will defeat Pineda easily. Dodson ex flyweight, Fili isn't some power puncher, he looks confused against Naimov when he land some punches on him. IDK... odds are unreal. definetly Wood must be fav, but 1.20 are disrespectfully.
 
If Wood fights like against Jourdain he definetly will defeat Pineda easily. Dodson ex flyweight, Fili isn't some power puncher, he looks confused against Naimov when he land some punches on him. IDK... odds are unreal. definetly Wood must be fav, but 1.20 are disrespectfully.

Dodson was a flyweight buy dude hit like a truck. KO'd TJ at 135 early in both careers, he could put people's lights out. Fili not a huge puncher but sneaky power sometimes. Has some nice KO's in the UFC. Pineda seems like a guy who's game but skills are a level below. But yeah odds are wide so I can't really criticize the play.
 
Edwards 49-46 Mohammed
Aspinall inside one minute KO
Mokaev outwrestles Kape en route 30-27
Pimblett will scrape by 29-28
Christian Duncan by vicious KO
Allen 30-27 easy
 
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I already dropped a bet on Green. I might add a hedge on Paddy by sub/stoppage. I feel like the speed, distance, striking quality, and experience all favor Green. I would have favored Miller over Paddy, and Green lit him up just last fight.
 
I already dropped a bet on Green. I might add a hedge on Paddy by sub/stoppage. I feel like the speed, distance, striking quality, and experience all favor Green. I would have favored Miller over Paddy, and Green lit him up just last fight.
If anything I would do a Paddy dec hedge. Judges tend to hate Bobby in close fights, and it's in the UK. Maybe KO/Dec if you feel his chin could let him down.
 
If anything I would do a Paddy dec hedge. Judges tend to hate Bobby in close fights, and it's in the UK. Maybe KO/Dec if you feel his chin could let him down.
Actually, yeah, that's probably the play to make. Paddy does hit hard, and Green's hands are always down, so a KO is always a possibility. Paddy could try to wall n stall/lay n pray as well and be gifted an undeserved hometown decision. It does seem unlikely that he'd be able to get a sub on Green (at least without rocking him first).
Sadly I don't think I have a KO/Dec option available on Betway. I'll take a close look at the props when they come out and see what I can do.
Ultimately I think Green lights him up and Paddy keeps coming forward into stiff jabs and 1-2s all fight.
 
I think Duncan and Mokaev could be nominee for 2024 parlay of the year
 
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