UFC 270: N'Gannou vs. Gane

I mean, Francis has crazy power and could land something wild. Gane is really solid defensively, not only in regards to getting his hands up, but in maintaining a safe distance.
Despite the numerous times Francis gets a KO, his strikes still seem so sloppy to me. It works because MMA (especially at HW) lack a lot of technical skills, but Gane is one of the few that does have them.

If Francis wins I think it's by an early power shot, which will make it very reminiscent of JDS vs Cain (the more technical fighter just gets smoked but likely wins the rematch with ease)
or Francis might implement a wrestling heavy gameplan. Honestly I think the latter might prove very successful. Gane's cardio holds up fine with his kickboxing+clinch gameplan he implements, but I have a feeling that being on the bottom of some ground and pound/defending takedowns/etc. will gas him very quickly.

The X factor of all of this is the fact that Francis' wants out of his contract and the UFC are probably happy to make sure he goes on a L. So there is a chance of something shady happening as well.
 
TrueAscension said:
"Outside of Stipe"
One of the greatest fighters in the heavy weight division..
The fight against Lewis is what any real handicapper would call an "outlier."
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I think that the stipe that lost against Ngannou loses against most of the top HW's tbh. He's clearly not in his prime anymore.
 
DonQ94 said:
I think that the stipe that lost against Ngannou loses against most of the top HW's tbh. He's clearly not in his prime anymore.
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Although he did win twice, I think Cormier beat him out of his prime. He did take a lot of damage in the second fight. It’s a Holyfield vs Bowe type of situation. I think Blaydes and Volkov would give him a lot of trouble nowadays.
 
DonQ94 said:
I think that the stipe that lost against Ngannou loses against most of the top HW's tbh. He's clearly not in his prime anymore.
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Lol. Smfh another person who thinks if a fighter loses he's automatically washed up or out of his prime.
 
guesswhoseback said:
Lol. Smfh another person who thinks if a fighter loses he's automatically washed up or out of his prime.
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Weird conclusions based on my comment. You can can watch multiple fights and clearly see his regression. The Stipe that fought Cormier was far from his best as well. I'm just pointing out the Ngannou fight because one poster used that fight to make a point about differences in their strength of schedule.
 
You can only beat who is in front of you. Stipe held the belt and only had 1 loss in like 5 years. A loss that he avenged.
I favor Gane because most of the time technique>power but to me their strength of schedule is about the same.
 
In terms of just technique for technique obviously Gane is the better striker, and he's shown that he can impose his pace and style of fight on everyone he's fought. A measured, controlled, outside 'points' style attack, picking at his opponents with mostly single strikes, lots of kicks to the lead leg, the knee, flicking kicks to the body, jabbing the body, rarely does he look for a huge swing or a big flurry. He controls the distance in a way no one else at heavy weight really can.

I love Gane, I have backed him one way or another in every one of his UFC fights... But I don't think I can bet him here, Gane at +140/150 I'd be in, but at a pick'em it doesn't make sense to me.

All the danger and single shot death is with Francis, he could get picked at with kicks and jabs to the body for 4 mins of a round and then land one or two big punches in return and undo all Gane's work.

I think I'll look for a live entry on Gane, but some pokes are Francis early rounds KO lines make sense to me.
 
2020Tracked said:
In terms of just technique for technique obviously Gane is the better striker, and he's shown that he can impose his pace and style of fight on everyone he's fought. A measured, controlled, outside 'points' style attack, picking at his opponents with mostly single strikes, lots of kicks to the lead leg, the knee, flicking kicks to the body, jabbing the body, rarely does he look for a huge swing or a big flurry. He controls the distance in a way no one else at heavy weight really can.

I love Gane, I have backed him one way or another in every one of his UFC fights... But I don't think I can bet him here, Gane at +140/150 I'd be in, but at a pick'em it doesn't make sense to me.

All the danger and single shot death is with Francis, he could get picked at with kicks and jabs to the body for 4 mins of a round and then land one or two big punches in return and undo all Gane's work.

I think I'll look for a live entry on Gane, but some pokes are Francis early rounds KO lines make sense to me.
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You bring up a lot of valid points I do believe though theres an important variable everyone considering placing a wager on this fight should give some thought too. Do you believe Francis Ngannou could absorb one of his own "single death shots" and continue fighting un-compromised?

The reason this is worth considering is because Gane may not have the power of Ngannou but him and Francis have very similar physical builds and Gane is unquestionably the better conditioned athlete. It is plausible that Ngannou cracks Gane with something massive and does not visibly hurt him; at least not with the first shot.

I have taped all of Ganes kickboxing & MMA fights and have never seen him look remotely hurt or compromised. To be fair not since his kickboxing days has an opponent caught him with a massive shot but it has happened before and I have only seen it cause Gane to amp up his own aggression.

Irrespective of who any of us believe will come out on top it is a variable we all must consider.
 
Miguel de Sade said:
Beating Blaydes twice is pretty damn impressive, don’t know why you’d pretend he doesn’t have some good wins aside from Stipe
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He does but the wins are pretty much on pair with the guys Gane beaten.

Only stipe stands out and he went 1-1 with him
 
I can see Gane winning here. Gane got the better technique and Francis seems to be distracted with other things, he is dreaming off superfights in the boxing world. If francis doesnt lucky punch knockouts Gane, Gane will get it, maybe worth to live bet.
 
I still think Gane is highly overrated. He has very good technique and he's a really tricky opponent but Ngannou is a wrecking ball. Power matters greatly at heavyweight and Ngannou has the boxing skills to land punches.
 
thehighking said:
I still think Gane is highly overrated. He has very good technique and he's a really tricky opponent but Ngannou is a wrecking ball. Power matters greatly at heavyweight and Ngannou has the boxing skills to land punches.
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While you may be right about the last part (Ngannou finding a kill shot) I fail to see how Gane is overrated, let alone highly overrated. He's yet to find himself in trouble against any of his UFC opponents, and outpointed the only other technical striker he fought in Volkov. At what point does he become accurately rated? After he wins the belt and sets a title defense record?
 
Thesnake101 said:
While you may be right about the last part (Ngannou finding a kill shot) I fail to see how Gane is overrated, let alone highly overrated. He's yet to find himself in trouble against any of his UFC opponents, and outpointed the only other technical striker he fought in Volkov. At what point does he become accurately rated? After he wins the belt and sets a title defense record?
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Pretty hard for a heavyweight to be overrated in the ufc
 
The only way i see ngannou winning if he kos Gane early with an uppercut. Otherwise Gane should win the decision, decision victory favors Gane, while the ko win favors Francis, but Gane has a good chin.
 
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