UFC 234 Whittaker vs Gastelum Official Bets

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by JimGunn, Jan 30, 2019.

  1. zeckdo

    zeckdo Blue Belt

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    I've had swings like that, after picking a few props right I start betting more and more props directly after. bad habit, gotta try to stay consistent.
     
  2. Stunna77

    Stunna77 Purple Belt

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    I wanted to take advantage of Bovada dropping lines early, given my limits there are much better then Dimes, however still limited to win $250/bet so had to do more parlays then I would like to get the stake I wanted down....just a caveat, would have much rather played all the below straight.

    2.6u Young -210

    1.25u DLR -190

    1.25u KKF -200
    .1u KKF ITD +250
    .1u KKF sub +1065

    2u Young/DLR +125
    1.75u DLR/KKF +129
    .75u Young/KKF +121

    (Total stakes: 5.35u Young -210, 5u DLR -190, 3.75u KKF -200)

    4u Lando -277
    .85u Lando ITD -145
    .25u Lando Sub +380

    1.5u Turner -220
    1u Turner ITD -165
    .325u Turner KO -130
    .15u Turner rd1 +168
    .05u Turner rd2 +350
    .5u Doesn't start rd 3 -195
    .125u Doesn't start rd2 +145
    .125u Callan Sub +750

    1u Alvey +138
    .25u Alvey KO +325
    .2u Alvey rd1 +475

    .5u Simon +120

    1.25u Silva/Israel starts rd 2 -200
    .5u O1.5 -145
    .5u Israel dec +210

    Will be on Whittaker in some capacity, but waiting for spreads, will also likely add to DLR and Lando through spreads.
     
    Last edited: Feb 8, 2019
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  3. AmericanBeauty

    AmericanBeauty Orange Belt

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    Gastelum 100euro to win 300
    Anderson vs Adesanya fight goes to distance 50 to win 125
    Ishihara 25 to win 100
    Young plus smith 100 to win 186,56
     
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  4. TrueAscension

    TrueAscension Yellow Belt

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    For sure. I wager mostly on NFL TBH and follow a few winners here. I've been watching UFC forever though so I try to go with my gut as much as I can but it does lend itself to over wagering. I don't know why but I like KG a lot. Everything says Whitaker, Whitaker, Whitaker but I just can't help but go with the dog here.
     
  5. Shoulder

    Shoulder #29 most average paid MMA bettor on Sherdog.

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    upload_2019-2-8_21-21-18.png

    Added a unit on Adesanya wins R3/DEC @2.50
     
    Last edited: Feb 9, 2019
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  6. benson733

    benson733 White Belt

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    $25 on Silva to win ITD +800 because why not?
     
  7. Sadistics

    Sadistics Purple Belt

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    Whittaker -190 $500
    Whittaker/Gastelum O2.5 -160 $640
    Whittaker UNAN DEC +275 $100
    NOT Whittaker ITD -175 $200
    Gastelum RD1 KO +1600 $25

    Adesanya -370 $290
    Adesanya/Silva O1.5 -138 $150

    Simon -135 $150

    Smith KO +110 $45

    Young -200 $1700
    Young KO +385 $45
    Arnett KO +1505 $25

    De La Rosa -188 $1750
    De La Rosa SUB +245 $100
    Kassem SUB +1450 $25

    Kara-France -194 $1750

    Kang -275 $500

    Martinez NSC -195 $200
    Buren DEC +275 $100

    Vannata -279 $2250
    Vannata ITD -140 $200
    Vannata SUB +409 $100

    Turner -227 $500
    Turner/Potter DNGTD -205 $615
    Turner/Potter U1.5 -125 $150
    Turner KO +284 $650
    Turner ITD -150 $375
    Potter SUB +920 $25

    Alvey +116 $300
    Alvey ITD +285 $45
    Alvey KO +325 $45
    Alvey NSC -125 $125


    Young (-222) + De La Rosa (-222) +110 $500

    Young (-210) + De La Rosa (-205) + Lee (-185) +238 $300


    Wish I could cash out my Turner bets after snagging that crazy KO line, but riding with it. Massive card for me with 3 $2500 max bets on Lando, DLR, and Young. Total risk of $14,550, and may add when handicaps drop. Good luck all
     
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  8. Ryan Kelly

    Ryan Kelly Orange Belt

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    Turner ITD -160 0.8u
    Alvey +110 0.7u
    Silva ITD +815 0.3u
    Israel DEC +225 0.6u
    Whittaker DEC +225 0.7u
    Gastelum KO/TKO +375 0.35u

    Young (-280), DLR (-250), KKF (-300), Lando (-340) - Round robin by 2s, 3s, and 4s - 1u per leg.

    Unsure how to play the other fights but I’m sure I’ll find a way to get some action on them.

    Good luck fellas!
     
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  9. OutRun

    OutRun I'm giving you a night call to tell you how I feel

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    2u - Gastelum ML @ +205
    2u - Buren ML @ +140
     
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  10. barrygood1

    barrygood1 Blue Belt

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    Barry's UFC 234 Free Picks
    1. Gastelum Wins Inside Distance +325 .31U
    2. Silva Wins in Round 1 +1400 0.07U
    3. Simon Wins By Decision +187 1U
    4. Rosa Wins Inside Distance +160 1U
    5. Sam Alvey Wins By Tko/Ko +275 1U
    6. Dong Hyun Kim ML +225 1U
    7. Young Wins By Decision +125 1U
    8. Kara-France Wins Inside Distance +250 1U
    9. Not Kang Inside Distance -125 1U
    10. Vannata Wins By Tko/Ko +145 1U
    11. Not Turner Inside Distance +149 1U
    12. Jonathan Martinez ML -141 1U
    Risking 10.38U
     
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  11. 2bet

    2bet Blue Belt

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    4u De La Rosa + Vannata 1,75
    3u Young + Smith 1,87

    I like Whittaker, but I have some weird rule to never bet against TUF winners, so I'll pass on the Main Event
     
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  12. Dooze

    Dooze Purple Belt

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    2.3U Whittaker @ 1.40
    1U Whittaker/Gastelium o2.5 rounds @ 1.59
    1U Israel/Silva o1.5 rounds @ 1.70
    0.5U Israel Dec @ 3.2
    0.5U Alvey ITD @ 3.5
    1U Young + Lando + DLR @ 2.33
    0.5U Yahya @ 2.00
    0.5U Yahya lands more takedowns than Simon @ 4.00
    0.5U Whittaker lands more takedowns than Gastelum @ 5.00

    Not much on this, abandoned last weeks successful tactic of single bets for the most part because this card is awful for straight bets at reasonable odds.

    The dream is that Yahya comes out, shoots a takedown and gets a sub straight away. Whittaker one I'd be tempted to go heavier on because I don't think Gastelum can get Whittaker down, but I don't really see Rob having a takedown approach for this. If he lands one or two late into rounds to keep Kelvin guessing and to seal any close-ish rounds, that'd be fine though.
     
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  13. northsofia

    northsofia Blue Belt

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    Nice props, man! Where did you found those?
     
  14. chemmy

    chemmy Green Belt

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    Whitaker is a TUF winner too though so it cancels out. You’ve got the green light if you want to make a move.
     
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  15. Dooze

    Dooze Purple Belt

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    Both on skybet mate.
     
  16. 2bet

    2bet Blue Belt

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    Hahaha I actually wasn't aware of that, thanks for the info.
    1u on Whittaker then lol
     
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  17. t6p

    t6p Brown Belt

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    1.5u Gastelum +218
    1.5u Gastelum NSC +205
    0.15u Gastelum SUB +1200

    0.25u Silva NSC +521

    0.1u Yahya SUB/Adesanya DEC/Whittaker DEC +2492

    Didn’t have time to tape most of this card so I’m leaving at this instead of forcing it. Good luck all.
     
    Last edited: Feb 9, 2019
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  18. TrueAscension

    TrueAscension Yellow Belt

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    Gastelum by Ringworm 5u
     
  19. MMAFAN1995

    MMAFAN1995 White Belt

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    Yahya 5U
    Yahya Sub 2.5U

    Vannata & De La Rosa Parlay 5U
    De La Rosa by Sub 2.5U

    Sam Alvey 5U
     
    Last edited: Feb 9, 2019
  20. Larthus

    Larthus Orange Belt

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    *bets 2K on Lando, Lando gets promoted to co-main*

    Who do you work for? I’m calling the SEC
     

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