Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by JimGunn, Jan 30, 2019.
Whittaker -190 $500
Whittaker/Gastelum O2.5 -145 $145
Simon -135 $150
De La Rosa -188 $1750
Kang -275 $500
Kara-France -194 $1750
Young -200 $1700
Vannata -279 $2250
Vannata ITD -117 $50
Alvey ITD +285 $45
Turner/Potter DNGTD -205 $615
Young (-222) + De La Rosa (-222) +110 $500
Young (-210) + De La Rosa (-205) + Lee (-185) +238 $300
Haven't been this confident in this many fights since UFC Moscow. I usually avoid parlays but had to do a couple here due to limited funds at a book that got early lines.
I barely looked at this card yet, but great prices! Where do you bet mostly that you were able to slam these early lines so big?
Had to spread them out between Bovada, William Hill, Pinnacle, BetOnline, Bet365, Ohmbet, BM, and 5D. It's a struggle to get as much as I want down without fucking up the lines for everyone else, but I do my best to avoid it.
Nice that you have access to many of the American facing as well as the Euro sportsbooks which surely helps.
Absolutely, I'm not sure there's a better country than Canada for online bettors.
1.5u Adesanya Dec +210
0.25u Adesanya R3 KO +700
1.5u Over 1.5 -138
0.1u Silva Sub +2000
3u Kara-France ML -227
1.5u Kara-France & Vannata -108
4u Vannata ML -303
0.75u Vannata Sub +375
0.25u Vannata Sub R1 +750
0.125u Vannata-Rosa - Draw +6600
2u Yahya ML +120
0.25u Yahya Sub +240
0.5u Yahya Most TD's +300
1u Ishihara ML +350
0.25u Ishihara KO +800
4u De La Rosa ML -238
1.5u Buren ML +162
1u Maestro ML +200
1.5u Alvey ML +110
0.25u Alvey ITD +250
0.5u Young ITD +190
1.5u Turner ITD -163
A lot more units than I would do normally given this is the first time I've not shied away from a favourite heavy card but feeling confident so going to roll with it.
RIP my Whittaker bets.
2K on Lando in 2019 truly is Sadistic. Hopefully he pulls through bro!
1.5u Gastelum +218
1.5u Gastelum NSC +205
2 U to win 3 parlay on : Adesanye, Vanatta, Kang, DLR
1U on Yahya ML + 115
Yahya ML +115 2u
Alvey ML +115 1u
Alvey Decision +416 1u
De La Rosa ITD +160 1u
Whittaker ML - 3u for 1.2u
Vannata ML - 5u for 1.5u
Arnett ML - 1u for 2.5u
KKF ML - 2.5u for 0.83u
DLR ML - 2.5u for 1u
KKF + Vannata - 2.5u for 1.8u
DLR + Vannata + Whittaker - 0u for 2u (free play)
Vannata + Whittaker - 10u for 8.3u
17.5u hangs in the balance on Lando Vannata, 12.5u of which are parlayed. What am I doing with my life? If he loses to that absolute scrub he better be asking himself the same question.
Apparently I played Arnett when odds first dropped, don't even remember doing it. Maybe would've been on Young but, meh, just decided to leave it.
After two really shit cards in a row I'm shelling up and falling on my sword with favourites. Not touching this one anymore, no props or anything. See how it goes but will contemplate taking a big step away if this is another disaster. Time (too much) + money (tiny unit size) + fun just aren't adding up right now.
Good luck Saturday.
1u Gastelum wins in round 1 +900*
.5u Gastelum wins in round 2 +1125*
.5u Gastelum wins in round 3 +1375*
1u Whittaker wins in round 4 +1350*
1u Whittaker wins in round 5 +2000*
1u Adesanya wins in round 3 +900*
1u Young wins by submission +467*
1u Young wins by TKO/KO +385*
1u Paiva wins by submission +1150*
1u Kara-France wins by submission +1065*
1u Vannata wins by submission +400*
2u Vannata wins by TKO/KO +115*
2u Turner wins in round 1 +175*
1u Potter wins by submission +763*
1u Gastelum wins by TKO/KO +400*
.5u Whittaker wins by submission +1325*
2u Adesanya wins inside distance -137*
2u Adesanya wins by TKO/KO -135*
.5u Yahya wins by TKO/KO +1500*
1u Kim wins by TKO/KO +675*
1u Crute wins by submission +1000*
1u Crute wins by TKO/KO +489*
Ok, Im posting my bets early to stop me making any more.
Whittaker 4/5 decision 2u for 2.8u
FDNGD 2u for 1u
Adesanya r1/2 1u for 1u
Adesanya sub .2u for 7u
FDNGD 2u for 1u
Yahya ML 1u for 1.1u
Yahya sub 1u for 2.3u
De la Rosa 2.9u for 1u
Alvey 1u for 1.14u
Young FDNGD 1u for 1.42u
KKF ML 4u for 1.6u
KKF KO 1u for 3u
KKF r1 KO .5u for 3.5u
KKF sub .5u for 8.5u
Ishihara ML 1u for 3.95u
Vannata r1/2 1u for .73u
Potter r1/2 1u for 5u
Would like to bet on Silva for old times sake but have restrained myself.
Rob will push Kelvin to his limits and be too much in the later rounds.
Good luck guys
I wasn't really planning on betting this card, I knew I didn't have time to do the proper research. Despite this, lack of character led to a number of stupid bets at terrible odds. Well, at least I know I'm an idiot. It will be sheer luck if I come out ahead on this one...
1.4u Whittaker–Gastelum: ITD @ 1.72
1u Whittaker: Round 4, 5 or Dec @ 2.3
3u Adesanya: KO/TKO @ 1.80
0.25 Adesanya: Sub @ 31
0.25u Silva: Sub @ 15
2.25u Yahya @ 2.10
2u De La Rosa: ITD @ 2.30
2u De La Rosa: Sub @ 2.62
0.25u De La Rosa KO/TKO @15
2.5u Alvey @ 2.10
1u Young: KO/TKO or Sub @ 3.10
1u Arnett @ 3.25
1u Dong Hyun Ma @ 2.87
0.25u Dong Hyun Ma: Sub @ 14
Good luck everybody!
Lando + La Rosa 1u
France + Young 1u
O1.5 Israel/Anderson 1u
Young Itd 0.5u
Degen gonna degen.
5 leg parlay
Gastelum ITD +320, DLR round 1 +350, Young DEC +129, Kang DEC +192, Turner/Potter FDNGTD -335
$1 for $163.11
Lol. Good luck everyone. Just wanted to have something down to make it interesting.
there's this thing called a straight bet, aka money line, you should look into them. you've got a great sense of how the fights might go down, but your money is scattered in a bunch of different outcomes for one fight. you should consolidate your money into more straight bets. Risking 2u on Lando KO and 1u on sub, why not just 3u on Lando ITD? Gastelum tko, rd 1,2,3. why not just Gastelum ITD? I think you'll make some coin this weekend, but you didn't make it easy for yourself.
Thanks for the help, still learning man. I think I got myself amped up by hitting some of these last week (Aldo R2, Aldo TKO, etc) - I usually bet the ML on the night of the fight but my roll was increased with a super bowl future so I've definitely been fucking around more than usual on the long odds bets. BOL on fight night bro.
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