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UFC 210 - DC vs AJ 2 - Buffalo - II

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Olive 152? Surely fw cant be that hard for him if he weighs that for a lw fight
 
Weidman was 200lbs 11 days out. When Mousasi fought Latifi he was around 210-215 on fight night. Weidman is probably coming into this fight with a multitude of injuries and may actually be smaller than or similar in size to Mousasi come fight night.

Mousasi said he moved to MW to mitigate his opponents wrestling and strength advantages but can be successful at LHW as well.
 


Something about that left eye hmm
 
Apologies for the length of this but if you're interested...

Re: Calvillo vs. Gonzalez

I know that Cynthia Calvillo is a blue chip and is training with the Napoleonic grappling-dwarves in Sactown, but I'm telling you, DO. NOT. SLEEP. ON. PEARL HERE!

MY REASONING FOR RECOMMENDING A LOOK AT THE DOG HERE:

Making her sophomore outing, 29-year-old Latina Cynthia Calvillo (4-0) is going to be attempting to build off of what was — for all intents and purposes — a perfect performance against Amanda Bobby Cooper in her Octagon debut just last month.

Calvillo has only fought as a pro for about 8-months but she has a wealth of amateur experience dating all the way back to February 2011 and has long been lauded by the crew at TAM as a future star. In fact, Urijah Faber has boasted that when people need disciplined at the gym he forces them to spar with Calvillo as punishment.

Meanwhile, Gonzalez has competed professionally since 2012 and she too has a deep amateur history in the sport having racked up eight bouts before making the leap to full-time fighter. Riding a six-fight winning streak into her Octagon debut, Pearl has polished off five of her foes before the final bell with future UFC talent Cortney Casey being among the victims.

Though her mechanics are rough and a bit unkempt, Gonzalez is competent in the striking department. She is a former Golden Gloves champion. Pearl works behind an educated jab while often using her kicking game as a smokescreen to setup TD's. By launching a quick HHK she baits her opponent into raising their guard so that she can get in on their hips. A BJJ Purple Belt, Pearl's an astute grappler with good technique. However she has shown herself vulnerable to getting caught in submissions that she shouldn't. Still yet, she remains calm and uses proper fundamentals to extricate herself from the precarious position.

This is an excellent match put together by Sean Shelby (I assume) as both ladies are very similar in all pertinent aspects of the game. Specifically, age, height, reach, and experience among them. Truthfully, there isn't much separating these two on paper, but physically one lady might have a slight edge over the other. That lady is Calviillo. The edge? Wrestling.

That is to say, the most significant difference between these two as far as I can tell is the athleticism and explosive wrestling of Calviillo. While rudimentary in the standup, she has explosive takedowns, is terrific in scrambles and positively awesome with her back takes much like an early version of Kelvin Gastelum minus the Y chromosome.

In short, the two have basically been on regional can crushing tours, yet they can both have shredded their competition and can also claim victory over a legitimate opponent prior to joining the UFC. For Gonzalez it was besting the aforementioned Courtney Casey while Calvillo put a bow on her amateur career with a win over top bantamweight prospect Aspen Ladd.

Having said that, and favoring Calviillo, I do think that the odds are off. At +225 and climbing, I believe the value is on the underdog Gonzalez here. I actually cap Calviillo around -135 with the come back on Gonzalez being +140 at worst. Narrow as they are, Pearl isn't without a path to victory. Be it via strikes, sub. or by using her physicality to pick up two of three with top control.

Pearl +225 risking 1.70 units

For those who haven't seen it already, I highly recommend watching the aforementioned Gonzalez vs. Courtney Casey fight that took place early in their respective careers. The bout was just Pearl's third pro-fight yet you could already see that she was a diamond in the rough. The fight was an awesome back-and-forth grappling contest where both gals put on a helluva show!

 
I agree. But when Ponz and Garcia are taking you down im not confident he can stop Usman.

Usman is literally one of the best wrestlers in the UFC if I'm not mistaken. Wayyyyyy higher level than Garcia
I think you guys are overrating Usman takedowns a little bit. He was having trouble getting Alves at the start of round 2. He only got him down him the 3rd round because Alves was totally gassed. And even with Alves totally gassed, he got right back up, and after that attempted a guillotine choke and seemed to be close, and then Usman was able to get to side control and then stay on top for the rest of the fight. Usman best strength is his gas tank and forward pressure. Also, Usman seems to be happy striking, he only shot once his last fight and got the 2nd take down based on Alves going for the guillotine choke. At +570 DEC for Strickland now, there is ton of value in that bet.
 
He ate Ponz's bombs including head kicks so i give Usman a small chance to finish.

You like Cynthia?

Just did a big break down all this. I think she wins yes. However, her odds have gotten out of hand and I think there's value on the UD now.
 
5 mins and still neither guy.

Ariel is in heaven w these last two PPV weigh ins. Feeding off that drama hard
 
Was DC putting weight on the towel there?
 
LMAO!!!!!! What is going on w these weigh ins? It's like a WWE sketch. Lollll @ the applause when they make weight
 
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