Opinion The War Room Bet Thread V7

[WhiteMousse]

@Rob Battisti and I have agreed to the hiatus exception for mod related issues.

Huh?

 

[Rob Battisti]

Huh?

I’m slowly taking mods out one at a time

 

[Lead]

I’m slowly taking mods out one at a time

@Sara has competition

 

[Sara]

@Sara has competition

Please lead. I’m in a league of my own.

 

[Lead]

@LMP are you at least allowed to like posts?

 

[Rob Battisti]

I wonder if our boy will like Yellow or Dijon Mustard with his incoming crow?

 

[Lead]

 

[Lead]

@LMP , you are missed

 

[Sara]

@LMP , you are missed

Meh

 

[Sara]

So where is LMP?

 

[Rob Battisti]

So where is LMP?

In the corner wishing he bought BTC

 

[Rob Battisti]

 

[Lead]

@GearSolidMetal I haven’t done a bet in awhile. I’m willing to go on this one:

@Lead v @GearSolidMetal
1. Joe Biden will be the Democrat nominee for the 2024 Presidential Election on Election Day
2. Lead - Yes GearSolidMetal - No
3. 11/5/24 (Election Day)
4. Avatar bet
5. 3 months
6. This bet is on whether Biden will drop out of the race before Election Day. GearSolidMetal can win on any condition causing him to drop out including health, losing at the convention, or a new nominee being selected by the DNC post-convention. If Biden is the nominee on Election Day, Lead wins.
7. Arbiter - @HockeyBjj

Feel free to modify any proposal above. I put Hockey as arbiter but fine with any of the WR mods being used for this. From your thread, I believe these are favorable odds as you expect him to drop out in June but I’m marking it by Election Day.

To add further context, I’ve been on record Biden isn’t the same as he was during his term as VP and you can see aging. I even though early in his term he was going to just do a single term and serve as a bridge past Trump. I haven’t seen much difference between him beginning his first campaign and now. I have no reason to think his physical health could make him drop out aside from whatever chance there is being that age but having the best medical care possible. I also think even if some in his administration or the party wanted him to step back, it wouldn’t work unless he agreed and went forward with it considering he’s a sitting incumbent. Trump being in the race to me is a big factor Biden believes he needs to be on the ballot. Further, if there is some concern, debates already seem unlikely and last campaign was limited so they could easily coast to a loss/win. All those make me assume he will be the nominee up to Election Day.

 

[GearSolidMetal]

@GearSolidMetal I haven’t done a bet in awhile. I’m willing to go on this one:

@Lead v @GearSolidMetal
1. Joe Biden will be the Democrat nominee for the 2024 Presidential Election on Election Day
2. Lead - Yes GearSolidMetal - No
3. 11/5/24 (Election Day)
4. Avatar bet
5. 3 months
6. This bet is on whether Biden will drop out of the race before Election Day. GearSolidMetal can win on any condition causing him to drop out including health, losing at the convention, or a new nominee being selected by the DNC post-convention. If Biden is the nominee on Election Day, Lead wins.
7. Arbiter - @HockeyBjj

Feel free to modify any proposal above. I put Hockey as arbiter but fine with any of the WR mods being used for this. From your thread, I believe these are favorable odds as you expect him to drop out in June but I’m marking it by Election Day.

To add further context, I’ve been on record Biden isn’t the same as he was during his term as VP and you can see aging. I even though early in his term he was going to just do a single term and serve as a bridge past Trump. I haven’t seen much difference between him beginning his first campaign and now. I have no reason to think his physical health could make him drop out aside from whatever chance there is being that age but having the best medical care possible. I also think even if some in his administration or the party wanted him to step back, it wouldn’t work unless he agreed and went forward with it considering he’s a sitting incumbent. Trump being in the race to me is a big factor Biden believes he needs to be on the ballot. Further, if there is some concern, debates already seem unlikely and last campaign was limited so they could easily coast to a loss/win. All those make me assume he will be the nominee up to Election Day.

I accept.

Though only for 1 month.

And if I win, I won't make you change your av. I just want the satisfaction of being right.

Me, when Biden drops out :

 

[HockeyBjj]

@GearSolidMetal I haven’t done a bet in awhile. I’m willing to go on this one:

@Lead v @GearSolidMetal
1. Joe Biden will be the Democrat nominee for the 2024 Presidential Election on Election Day
2. Lead - Yes GearSolidMetal - No
3. 11/5/24 (Election Day)
4. Avatar bet
5. 3 months
6. This bet is on whether Biden will drop out of the race before Election Day. GearSolidMetal can win on any condition causing him to drop out including health, losing at the convention, or a new nominee being selected by the DNC post-convention. If Biden is the nominee on Election Day, Lead wins.
7. Arbiter - @HockeyBjj

Feel free to modify any proposal above. I put Hockey as arbiter but fine with any of the WR mods being used for this. From your thread, I believe these are favorable odds as you expect him to drop out in June but I’m marking it by Election Day.

To add further context, I’ve been on record Biden isn’t the same as he was during his term as VP and you can see aging. I even though early in his term he was going to just do a single term and serve as a bridge past Trump. I haven’t seen much difference between him beginning his first campaign and now. I have no reason to think his physical health could make him drop out aside from whatever chance there is being that age but having the best medical care possible. I also think even if some in his administration or the party wanted him to step back, it wouldn’t work unless he agreed and went forward with it considering he’s a sitting incumbent. Trump being in the race to me is a big factor Biden believes he needs to be on the ballot. Further, if there is some concern, debates already seem unlikely and last campaign was limited so they could easily coast to a loss/win. All those make me assume he will be the nominee up to Election Day.

I accept.

Though only for 1 month.

And if I win, I won't make you change your av. I just want the satisfaction of being right.

Me, when Biden drops out :

I got you guys, @Lead 1 month av good for you?

 

[Lead]

I accept.

Though only for 1 month.

And if I win, I won't make you change your av. I just want the satisfaction of being right.

Me, when Biden drops out :

Sounds good. I modified length below. I’m more looking to do another bet more than dish out some type of punishment either.

@Lead v @GearSolidMetal
1. Joe Biden will be the Democrat nominee for the 2024 Presidential Election on Election Day
2. Lead - Yes GearSolidMetal - No
3. 11/5/24 (Election Day)
4. Avatar bet
5. 1 months
6. This bet is on whether Biden will drop out of the race before Election Day. GearSolidMetal can win on any condition causing him to drop out including health, losing at the convention, or a new nominee being selected by the DNC post-convention. If Biden is the nominee on Election Day, Lead wins.
7. Arbiter - @HockeyBjj

If you could quote and agree on more time, I’ll make it official in the thread pending @HockeyBjj ’s blessing on the format/ language

 

[Lead]

I got you guys, @Lead 1 month av good for you?

Yep

@GearSolidMetal , quote the post above this one for the approval since it has the. 1 month

 

[GearSolidMetal]

@Lead v @GearSolidMetal
1. Joe Biden will be the Democrat nominee for the 2024 Presidential Election on Election Day
2. Lead - Yes GearSolidMetal - No
3. 11/5/24 (Election Day)
4. Avatar bet
5. 1 months
6. This bet is on whether Biden will drop out of the race before Election Day. GearSolidMetal can win on any condition causing him to drop out including health, losing at the convention, or a new nominee being selected by the DNC post-convention. If Biden is the nominee on Election Day, Lead wins.
7. Arbiter - @HockeyBjj

 

[HockeyBjj]

Yep

@GearSolidMetal , quote the post above this one for the approval since it has the. 1 month

Alright. Locked in

 

[Rob Battisti]

Who could have predicted this?

Spoiler