The War Room Bet Thread V3

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The Wrath of Crom said:
Month long sig bet if Trump is in office Jan 1?
Click to expand...
That doesn't sound as good as a Lamborghini.

Oh well, a sig bet will have to do.
My side of it is that he'll not only stay in office but will run and win. His track record of weaseling out of self made messes is decades deep.
 
Lead said:
It’s official.

Good bet idea
Click to expand...
Damn good bet. Seriously guys.


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waiguoren said:
1. Michael Bloomberg's RCP average will exceed 2.0%
2. For- waiguore Against- fawlty
3. The date of the 2020 DNC or when the bet condition is met (whichever occurs first)
4. Avatar bet and signature bet
5. 1 year
6. Bet is only valid if Michael Bloomberg files the requisite FEC paperwork to be a 2020 Democratic candidate and only if he registers to be on the ballot in all of Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina.
Click to expand...
With more reasonable terms and stakes. He has already filed for at least one primary, so he's running.

1. Michael Bloomberg's RCP average will exceed 2.0% in their top-line national average
2. For- waiguoren Against- fawlty
3. The date of the 2020 DNC, or when Bloomberg drops out of the race, or when the bet condition is met (whichever occurs first)
4. Avatar bet
5. 2 months
 
Fair wagers were dodged itt. A better one:

Waiguoren's plums will shrink.
Fawlty - for, Waiguoren - undecided
Bet is only valid if Waiguoren's plums begin to shrink.
 
BOOM.

Requesting @Lead

Roger Stone found guilty of lying to Congress, witness tampering


#31. @waiguoren v. @andnowweknow
1. Roger Stone will be indicted and convicted on at least one charge brought by Robert Mueller's team for Trump/Russia coordination/collusion/conspiracy.
2. andnowweknow- for, waiguoren- against
3. At the conclusion of Stone's trial, if it happens. If not, at the end of the Mueller investigation.
4. Sig bet
5. 10 months
6. The conviction needs to be for coordination/collusion/conspiracy between Trump/Russia. For example: treason, conspiracy to defraud the USA, or conspiracy to commit an offense against the USA by coordinating with the Russian state would all give the win to andnowweknow. Tax fraud as in the Manafort case would not count. Perjury would not count. If Stone signs a plea agreement for any reason, the bet is a push.
 
Michael Bloomberg's RCP average will exceed 2.0% in their top-line national average
2. For- waiguoren Against- @Fawlty
3. The date of the 2020 DNC, or when Bloomberg drops out of the race, or when the bet condition is met (whichever occurs first)
4. Avatar and Signature bet
5. 2 years
6. Bet is only valid if Bloomberg registers a candidacy with the FEC and appears on primary ballots in at least 20 states.
 
waiguoren said:
BOOM.

Requesting @Lead

Roger Stone found guilty of lying to Congress, witness tampering


#31. @waiguoren v. @andnowweknow
1. Roger Stone will be indicted and convicted on at least one charge brought by Robert Mueller's team for Trump/Russia coordination/collusion/conspiracy.
2. andnowweknow- for, waiguoren- against
3. At the conclusion of Stone's trial, if it happens. If not, at the end of the Mueller investigation.
4. Sig bet
5. 10 months
6. The conviction needs to be for coordination/collusion/conspiracy between Trump/Russia. For example: treason, conspiracy to defraud the USA, or conspiracy to commit an offense against the USA by coordinating with the Russian state would all give the win to andnowweknow. Tax fraud as in the Manafort case would not count. Perjury would not count. If Stone signs a plea agreement for any reason, the bet is a push.
Click to expand...

@andnowweknow

You and wai on the same page here? This needs to be called now that the trial has concluded.
 
waiguoren said:
Michael Bloomberg's RCP average will exceed 2.0% in their top-line national average
2. For- waiguoren Against- @Fawlty
3. The date of the 2020 DNC, or when Bloomberg drops out of the race, or when the bet condition is met (whichever occurs first)
4. Avatar and Signature bet
5. 2 years
6. Bet is only valid if Bloomberg registers a candidacy with the FEC and appears on primary ballots in at least 20 states.
Click to expand...


You got offered 2 months
 
waiguoren said:
Michael Bloomberg's RCP average will exceed 2.0% in their top-line national average
2. For- waiguoren Against- @Fawlty
3. The date of the 2020 DNC, or when Bloomberg drops out of the race, or when the bet condition is met (whichever occurs first)
4. Avatar and Signature bet
5. 2 years
6. Bet is only valid if Bloomberg registers a candidacy with the FEC and appears on primary ballots in at least 20 states.
Click to expand...
He's already running. You are incapable of negotiating this one in your favor.
 
JDragon said:
You got offered 2 months
Click to expand...
That angle-shooting tactic is known as "high-rolling," as well as other things. Basically, you offer stakes that you know won't be accepted (or cannot be accepted). I'm not going to do any two year bet. I already have a one year av scalp from the Obama-Romney election, and I don't need another. There is also the problem that Wai is a welcher and will probably not make good on his lost bets, like he did when JVS smashed him last election. So bets with him have to be at lower stakes if you expect "payment."

His original bet proposal was begging for way too many favors, though it was still an interesting proposition.
 
One unconventional but interesting way to handle Wai's welching might be to make him pay up front. Say, if it's a one month av bet, he has to wear your av for a month up front to ensure that he ponies up. Then if he wins the bet and has honored the one month, you have to wear his av for two months - or maybe a month and a half, if you want to claim vigorish (and that's probably a good idea).
 
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