If Russia really mobilizes that many people soon, Ukraine may be in trouble. This is way before all those Western tanks and modern weaponry are going to be ready.
It is quite interesting. Remember a few weeks into the conflict, they said Russia would have ran out of bullets, rations, etc by this point. But even after a year now, with periods of heavy artillery bombardment, Russia has been picking it up the last few weeks.
That is why following this conflict is pretty annoying and I generally been staying away. I mean, just on this page we can't determine if Ukraine hs 500k troops or 1million, and a poster who is active in this thread and confident it is 1million posted a source that said 500k.
Before posting about the troop build up today, as I thought it is pretty big news and has been reported by mainstream media, I looked at the last few days of posts in this thread to see if it were already being discussed. Instead all the posts are about Ukraine is winning and some special Russian battalion of prisoners or something is losing big time from blogs and obscure sources. There is just a total disconnect somewhere.
Anyways, as per the same NYT article:
Konrad Muzyka, a military analyst for Rochan Consulting, which tracks Russian deployments, said that reported Russian artillery barrages had risen from an average of about 60 per day four weeks ago to more than 90 per day last week. On one day alone, 111 Ukrainian locations were targeted.
I dunno, already two months ago, we had the EU lady say there was over 100k Ukrainan killed, which I was pretty shocked about and didn't fit what I had been hearing. And that was before this upkick in bombardments.
As you say, if they could have 500k in the ukraine within a few weeks, it could be very problematic, to say the least.
