International Russia/Ukraine Megathread V15

[Cid]

 

[Cid]

 

[SandisLL]

Putler came out and said he wants all of UKR, not a surprise to anyone who really has a clue what is going on. where ever a Russian boot lands he considers it Russian territory. His own government official has said that the Russian economy is in recession but of course Putler just denied that and said everything is fine.
Is he really that insane that he will take all of UKR or thinks that the west will eventually abandon them at some point?

Yes. West actually is starting to abadon ukraine, slowly.

Putin was happy to have meeting with Witkopff, then shaked hand and smiled.
Looks that Witkopff liked him a lot.

Most likely he explained that ukraine is just small rebellious province, like this.

 

[Cid]

 

[SandisLL]

Ukraine should produce or somehwere get a lot of mines and simple cluster ammo, otherwise russia will control all ukraine..after this they will deNazify Moldova.

 

[SandisLL]

Moldova should produce mines, a lot of mines and if possible, also cluster ammunition. They does have high unemployment % and low salaries, therefore expenses to produce simple mines and simple cluster ammo models will be low.

 

[SandisLL]

Ukraine also is exposing traitors and saboteurs howerver they are soft with them, low prison terms etc. They should read Lenin's reccomendations how to deal with internal enemies, saboteurs.
Budget problems might solve command economy and confiscations. They does have a lot of private cars and trucks etc government might confiscate.

 

[Cid]

Yes. West actually is starting to abadon ukraine, slowly.

Putin was happy to have meeting with Witkopff, then shaked hand and smiled.
Looks that Witkopff liked him a lot.

Most likely he explained that ukraine is just small rebellious province, like this.

Don't think many Euro politicians are going to be against spending small amounts of money to kill Russians. Most are going to realize it's a small expense with a good return even if Ukraine loses. Politicians understand this a lot better than the general public.

The public are fickle though. People support Ukraine if they think Ukraine is going to win because if they win then the money was worth it.

If the public don't think Ukraine is going to win the support for aid will fall because the money is a waste.

This is the big problem with US withdrawing aid. Euro public sentiment will fall without US support because the war becomes harder to win.

Operation Spider's Web is the most lop sided financial attack in warfare history. Estimated to cost Russia $7Billion. But the PR Ukraine gained from it is much more valuable than the attack itself. These attacks work for the public because it was a massive news story and people support winners.


Something that's interesting is the lack of strikes in the past few months on oil refineries and oil depots. Zelensky says US asked for it so they've avoided striking them.

Ukraine can pretty easily get headlines again reversing this. Reduce long range strikes by a small % for a month or so. Then launch a massive 1-2 day long range campaign against solely against Russian oil refineries and depots.

People like to see big explosions. Hitting 4-5 oil refineries and a couple dozen oil depots in a day followed by more refineries and depots the next day is going to generate headlines.

My armchair general opinion.

 

[Cid]

 

[Strychnine]

Great information about "Operation Spider's Web".

 

[Kratos94]

I hope a ceasefire will be agreed upon, but it won't happen anytime soon. Russia has demonstrated to the world that they are modern-day Nazis. Even Belarusians are disassociating with Russia and siding more with Ukrainians.

I wonder, if in a few decades Russia will target Narva, Estonia, instigating a civil war between Russian-Estonians and ethnic Estonians, under the illusion of increased NATO aggression....

I really hope Ukraine can find a way to end this, though. They have suffered enough.

 

[SandisLL]

I hope a ceasefire will be agreed upon, but it won't happen anytime soon. Russia has demonstrated to the world that they are modern-day Nazis. Even Belarusians are disassociating with Russia and siding more with Ukrainians.

I wonder, if in a few decades Russia will target Narva, Estonia, instigating a civil war between Russian-Estonians and ethnic Estonians, under the illusion of increased NATO aggression....

I really hope Ukraine can find a way to end this, though. They have suffered enough.

Narva stuff is played by guys like colonel Arestovich in casino basements.

Narva isn't crimea and they had opportunity to visit etc the same Ivangorod ...walk by foot distance and see beautiful russian world.

One thing is overlooked that salaries and pensions in Estonia are higher than in Russia..not like in ukraine 2013 th btw.....also not likely pensioners will be happy to get some MROT etc....because this ethnic card is for random plebs living in dreams...sheeps...

Especially because russia is delaying pensions payments.
There since 1993 th is agreement between european countries and parashka dreamland.

If someone does have european country pension and is living in russia, this country is allowed to transfer him/ her pension payments.
Also ofc in opposite direction is the same. This isn't about ethnic origin or citizenship.

Russia's pensions are SMALL !

Also now they does needs money for special operarion in Ukraine, therefore are delaying pension payments for these not living in Russia.

Ofc parashka is playing propaganda card that as always someone else is responsible etc and lives in dreams that they will brainwash crowd.

Pensioners are " happy " with low pensions and now are statisfied with parashka cos payments delays..... matushka.

BTW I had been in Narva not once and do know some russians living in Narva, in real life. Unlike Abdirstovich prophet.
I also had been in Crimea before 2008/2009 crisis... I isn't comparable situation at all.

 

[SandisLL]

If you are in Estonia, doesn't matter at first passport etc, does matter languages you know. Btw estonians usually does speak english better than blogger Artur ...vocabulary too more. Ofc accent might be sometimes nasty but they usually are with accent common with finns if they are talking in english...ethnic russians if they are well integrated does have not bad skills in multiple languages btw.

 

[SandisLL]

Don't think many Euro politicians are going to be against spending small amounts of money to kill Russians. Most are going to realize it's a small expense with a good return even if Ukraine loses. Politicians understand this a lot better than the general public.

The public are fickle though. People support Ukraine if they think Ukraine is going to win because if they win then the money was worth it.

If the public don't think Ukraine is going to win the support for aid will fall because the money is a waste.

This is the big problem with US withdrawing aid. Euro public sentiment will fall without US support because the war becomes harder to win.

Operation Spider's Web is the most lop sided financial attack in warfare history. Estimated to cost Russia $7Billion. But the PR Ukraine gained from it is much more valuable than the attack itself. These attacks work for the public because it was a massive news story and people support winners.


Something that's interesting is the lack of strikes in the past few months on oil refineries and oil depots. Zelensky says US asked for it so they've avoided striking them.

Ukraine can pretty easily get headlines again reversing this. Reduce long range strikes by a small % for a month or so. Then launch a massive 1-2 day long range campaign against solely against Russian oil refineries and depots.

People like to see big explosions. Hitting 4-5 oil refineries and a couple dozen oil depots in a day followed by more refineries and depots the next day is going to generate headlines.

My armchair general opinion.

I see during all this mesh that european politicians were more willing to help when they does have fear to get more refugees etc or are getting more threats from their friends in russia.

Refineries striks most likely stopped because americans needs profit like Fico and Orban too btw.

This war more and more looks like something well regulated and planned thing.
Like plandemic. Plandemic quickly ended when Ukr war had started.

Maybe Russia is planning to continue war in Ukraine till late summer 2028 th.
Doesn't looks that west and east will be against this.

 

[Cid]

 

[SandisLL]

Russia badly needs Odessa oblastj. Sooner or later. Then they will incorporate in russia Transistria area controlled by separatists.

These are living in russia's info sphere bubble and pensioners are dreaming about U.S.S.R ...also easy to do referendum because salaries in russia are higher than in separatists controlled area in Transistria ... russia easily might not only to do referendum, also hire their military and KGB, police employees without difficulties.
Ofc if they will need manpower for deNazification in Moldova they will be able to hire...

Before this they need control Odessa oblastj.
Sooner or later....maybe after 1 year, maybe after 10 years.

Abdirstovich usually underestimates their potential.

Transistria separatists does have yes, just 5000 - 6000 active military and ~ 15 000 - 17000 reservists .....plus police and KGB > 10000 ... on top some + 10 000 - 25 000 might be recruited easily.
A lot of weapons despite old models.
They might look poor and dumb but they aren't busification products .... also KGB most likely is trained like in 1980 ies in USSR.
It might look small forces in Ukr war measure ofc but might be enough to occupy at least largest part of Moldova of russia will sent more weapons. Especially cos for Moldova defense financing always was low priority : having such neighbours and telling that 0.8 - 1.3 % of GDP for defense budget is a lot etc.. .imagine salaries? motivation and reality that Moldova is poorest country in europe.

 

[SandisLL]

Europe is filling fuel storages....this will as usually delay any their real actions about ukr...talks ofc will happen.
There are concerns that ajatollas had again activated yemen housithes and they might shell tankers ships .
Additionally there is threat that ajatollas will order to close Strait of Hormuz. Then ofc crude oil and LNG export from Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar etc and Saudi Arabia and Emirates will get fucked ...

Ajatollas not likely does have enough forces to implement classic naval blockade however they does have naval mines and a lot of different missiles. Due to narrow strait ajatollas might damage ships even with cheap missiles. Slow and large civilian merchant ships are easy target....

 

[SandisLL]

Putin btw will be happy if there will be big shit with shipping: crude oil and refineries production prices will go up, gold prices again will increase....

 

[188912345]

The reasons for NATOs involvement in Kosovo were very similar to Russias reasons for involvement in Ukraine.

Why was it okay for NATO, but not for Russia?

 

[SandisLL]

The reasons for NATOs involvement in Kosovo were very similar to Russias reasons for involvement in Ukraine.

Why was it okay for NATO, but not for Russia?

Because you are from serbia comrade.