Defenses collapse etc is 1200 days in row.I mean what they occupied... maybe not the full oblasts?
Maybe withdraw in some places while Ukraine cedes another places so a buffer zone can be established.
Truth is, Ukraine doesnt have much bargaining power. Their manpower are really overextended at this point and Russia has been hitting their infrastructure hard the last months. I have no idea about timeline, but if the defenses start o collapse it'll become lawn mower. Plus even if there's a blank check by EU/USA to provide weapons, the western war industry production is lacking in a full scale war. USA stocks ran low a couple of months ago, they spent a full month bombing Houthis and had to divert weapons from ukraine to Israel. They're late on many weapons deals around the world.
And that's why Putin doesnt want Zelensky in the meeting, he'll probably give up some phony shit to Trump without an Ukrainian there to pushback, Trump will get his pace maker headline and if Ukraine doesnt accept it the onus will be put on them. I'm not talking about fairness here, but what I'll see happening.
Remember that USA still is on a comercial war with China and they're witholding some of that rare earth magnets needed to the industry.
And like I said, I'll think it'll not be a permanent deal... a buffer deal that'll needed to be addressed by different people down the line.
Obviously these are conjectures by me here, but that's the read I getting in this situation.
Sure.
However with ukraine everything is clear: it will be russia. Yes.
Big uncles allowed long ago.
Ofc initially will be part of ukraine as russia.
Another part will be russo- chinesse-american vassal living in debts and dreams, stuff will be nice PR about bright future and nice campaigns. Casuals with time will not care will be this area russia or ukr.
Country is entity created and maintained in order to provide elite with income.
Carl Marx.
It is reality and always will be.
If elite is too stupid, they might lost their cash cow called country.
Russians are imperialistic chauvinists and proven to live in debts and dreams, they will be more happy with lesser savings and lesser food on the table if will see elite telling them how great they are.
This is specific mentality, you need to provide some food, vodka and cigs, mandatory huge propaganda dosage and they will be happy.
It is population thinking that westerners are dumb loosers and their enemies, idiots living in countries where soon everything will collapse....
Ofc elite might talk polite talks if they need, however Kremlin more than 100 years had taught population that westerners are their enemies, peace of shit and stupid etc...