International Russia/Ukraine Megathread V15

They doesn't have enough forces near finland border.
Btw they still are relocating some air defense assets from Kaliningrad and Leningrad oblastjs to dumbass area.

In area from Leningrad till Est borders they had increased air defense assets, in area in north from Leningrad : no, some stuff even had been relocated
....
Kaliningrad oblastj the same: some stuff relocated to dumbass again.
 
If about ukrainian propaganda there already a lot is exposed.
1. Propaganda talks since 2019 th about their new ballistic missile Hrym , Sapsan ....
Thus far it does exist in yt clips, noting more. 6 years empty propaganda exposed.

Even worse: they still even didn't managed to copy even relatively simple for their scientists and engineers level ...Thocka U missile from Gorbachev era clone....
North Korea managed at least this and long ago.

Unfortunately it appeared not just 1 non existing weapon ....just one example.
 
Next empty propaganda exposed long ago.
PR talks since 2018 th about their 300 mm Vilkha MRLS launcher... something like Smerch type stuff.

Were for parades some stuff and a lot of PR talks....yt clips etc.

It is supposed that there are not any evidence that they today does have these .... worse, they didn't had managed to produce in any meaningful ammounts even old USSR era Smerch 300 mm missiles clones....even this 0. Yes, even these from Gorbachev era with passport range 70 km.

Instead of wunderwaffe soldiers might use yt clips as peremoga....

Even worse, they doesn't produce gunpowder...
Grad type 122 mm simple missiles : doesn't produce and didn't had produced 1991-2025 th...till today. peremoga.

Ofc I understand that in wartime is difficult to produce ..
While why 2018-2021 such peremogas were not produced? If we don't mean as production PR talks and yt clips.
 
BTW I think that assumptions that they wants to have long war in ukraine might be correct.

Now will be summer, they might attempt to take more lands where they will manage to take lands.
Before mud season order to dig in.....will have time to rest....
Winter, if weather will be suitable, again advance and take more land.....dig in before spring mud season....rest...
Next year summer : again repeat the same described abowe flowchart....

Why no, Putin will have dvizuha and population will be happy: Putin is protecting them from satan, bad west and dangerous ukrainians....only thanks to Putin they are in safety....
For inflation just now Trump ( earlier was Biden ) will be responsoble ( nothing new, Trump when was in office first 4 years term already was responsible for inflation in Russia ).
Propagandists flowchart always was the same....west is responsible... okey since 2022 th additionally also Uktaine responsible...
 

Polish Air Forces intercepted Russian SU-24 aircraft, minister says​


"WARSAW, May 23 (Reuters) - A Russian SU-24 aircraft was performing dangerous manoeuvres on Thursday evening and was intercepted by Polish Air Forces, Minister of National Defence Wladysław Kosiniak-Kamysz said on Friday, without giving further details.
He added that the order to intercept the aircraft was issued by the joint operational command for NATO allied forces in Europe and the Polish jets located the aircraft, intercepted it and effectively deterred it."


Russia is going to F' around one day with Poland and find out.
 
There are also some very bad for ukraine opinions about their perspective.....
Putin is suspected that might be able to continue his so called " special operation " without mobilization maybe till late autumn 2026 th....

Why? Because at least for bonuses till this period they does have money....does have today....
Other expenses , Putin might increase some duties, tax somewhere there or here etc...fees , excise duties etc....
They also does have option to use money printer ...and in order to prevent exchange rate to fall too low, easily might implement some restrictions , prohibitions etc
.....
They also might increase foreigners recruiting. They already are doing this : one way is PMCs ( these private military type companies...earlier was wagner ..now relatively long ago are redut and small batch with others ) ....another way is when they offer russia's citizenship , are issuing rus passports and these, mhmm, contracts for small special operation ....

There commanders ofc wants that they already had some military training under belt ( a lot of countries does have mando service terms for males 18-21 y.o for 12 months, 18 months, 24 months ... ) and ....to know russian language ....ofc their vocabluary in russian language is different, some does knows maybe 500 words, some maybe does know 10000 + words in russian.


Earlier they in some cases had hired guys with 0 word knowledge in russian language.
 
This already had been expected that eussia will do provocations in airspace, most likely even from turkey till norway....in order to have them concentrate more air defense assets and via this reduce possible sales for ykr or sending to ukr.

Turkey for example not likely will send or sell SAM missiles for Ukr....plus they does manufacture also some their own models...etc.
Still they does have also some western stuff and if will get triggered, might quickly order more missiles for this...and if will have contract with manufacturer.... then some capaity to produce will be booked for this contract....
 
BTW cos shit in Israel Ukr air defense supplies potential too might get reduced.

They does have " technicals " type jeeps and they might convert them into something like avenger in order to deal with cheap drones :

such technicals usually does have " sighting station " with optics and thermals etc plus 12.7 mm machine gun or 20 mm stuff plus additionally box with 2 - 4 MANPAD tye missiles...like Stinger, Mistral etc....

If they will order a lot of such missiles and offer big cash with demands to supply quickly....then they will get and awailable for others to purchase quickly....will be lesser.
 

Polish Air Forces intercepted Russian SU-24 aircraft, minister says​


"WARSAW, May 23 (Reuters) - A Russian SU-24 aircraft was performing dangerous manoeuvres on Thursday evening and was intercepted by Polish Air Forces, Minister of National Defence Wladysław Kosiniak-Kamysz said on Friday, without giving further details.
He added that the order to intercept the aircraft was issued by the joint operational command for NATO allied forces in Europe and the Polish jets located the aircraft, intercepted it and effectively deterred it."


Russia is going to F' around one day with Poland and find out.
polands the nation that will shoot..
 
This is usual tactique how russia is using airplanes in order to trigger nerves ...
Step 1. Doesn't notice about planned flight ...
Step 2. Transponder switched OFF...
Step 3. Total ignore when attempts to communicate with airplane ( radio )....

Then waiting reaction, later turning away from previous route.

Btw they sometimes are using for this also relly " civilian " airplanes or helicopters.
Mi 8 , AN-2 had been used in such manner years ago, situations with transport airplanes with switched off transponders....
 


Ukraine achieves an 85% intercept rate and Trump is silent as Russia does this.




"Badaboom, Jaga-Jaga motherlover!"

I just don't see Ukraine surrendering, ever.
 

Good video.
I don't agree with everything the guy says, but hey, that is his opinion. Ukraine has roughly 250,000 soldiers fighting in Ukraine with the numbers going down. Russia has 700,000 soldiers fighting in Ukraine with the numbers going up. Ukraine is running out of weaponry to fight this war, and the United States is not going to renewal a new weapons contract. Whatever Europe does to help Ukraine will not be enough. Ukraine needs a well-equipped Army to stop Russia (it does not have one) or have the US and Europe come in with their Army to stop Russia. Neither is going to happen. Ukraine is dying a slow death. The question that remains is how much of Ukraine will Russia take. Russia taking over eastern Europe? No, I don't think so. Trump being a worst president than Biden? No, I don't think so. The world is now focused primarily on Israel, not Ukraine. The Jewish influence in the US congress is focused on Israel, not Ukraine. The best thing for Ukraine would be to have Zelensky step down and have another individual work out an end to this conflict with Russia.
 
Russia’s economy has and will continue to face strains. Amid these strains, we can expect some analysts to continue to make dire predictions, arguing that Russian economic collapse is imminent. It is also plausible that Russia’s economy will continue to muddle through, with faster economic growth than much of Western Europe over the next few years. If so, the Russian military menace is unlikely to disappear any time soon. As Chatham House’s Mathieu Boulègue contends, “the Russian military industry remains a formidable machine. It is likely to continue to be able to muddle along, producing ‘good enough’ systems that will still represent a significant threat to Ukraine, NATO and their allies. This is especially true for stand-off and asymmetric capabilities that have not yet been engaged in the war against Ukraine.”

Trump deserves considerable credit for seizing the initiative and attempting to end the war between Russia and Ukraine. At the same time, his current approach is obviously not working. The time has now come to stop seeking compromises with the Kremlin and start speaking to Putin in the language of strength. This means tightening sanctions on Russia and targeting the many countries that continue to fuel Putin’s war machine. Above all, it means significantly increasing military aid to Kyiv and boosting Ukraine’s ability to defeat Russia on the battlefield. Putin has staked his entire reign on the destruction of Ukraine. He will not back down unless forced to do so. Peace will only come when Ukraine is too strong to be subjugated.
 
Good video.
I don't agree with everything the guy says, but hey, that is his opinion. Ukraine has roughly 250,000 soldiers fighting in Ukraine with the numbers going down. Russia has 700,000 soldiers fighting in Ukraine with the numbers going up. Ukraine is running out of weaponry to fight this war, and the United States is not going to renewal a new weapons contract. Whatever Europe does to help Ukraine will not be enough. Ukraine needs a well-equipped Army to stop Russia (it does not have one) or have the US and Europe come in with their Army to stop Russia. Neither is going to happen. Ukraine is dying a slow death. The question that remains is how much of Ukraine will Russia take. Russia taking over eastern Europe? No, I don't think so. Trump being a worst president than Biden? No, I don't think so. The world is now focused primarily on Israel, not Ukraine. The Jewish influence in the US congress is focused on Israel, not Ukraine. The best thing for Ukraine would be to have Zelensky step down and have another individual work out an end to this conflict with Russia.
with that being said how has Russia only gained .05% of territory in last 2 years? are the scooter and crutch brigades not working?
 
Russia’s economy has and will continue to face strains. Amid these strains, we can expect some analysts to continue to make dire predictions, arguing that Russian economic collapse is imminent. It is also plausible that Russia’s economy will continue to muddle through, with faster economic growth than much of Western Europe over the next few years. If so, the Russian military menace is unlikely to disappear any time soon. As Chatham House’s Mathieu Boulègue contends, “the Russian military industry remains a formidable machine. It is likely to continue to be able to muddle along, producing ‘good enough’ systems that will still represent a significant threat to Ukraine, NATO and their allies. This is especially true for stand-off and asymmetric capabilities that have not yet been engaged in the war against Ukraine.”

Trump deserves considerable credit for seizing the initiative and attempting to end the war between Russia and Ukraine. At the same time, his current approach is obviously not working. The time has now come to stop seeking compromises with the Kremlin and start speaking to Putin in the language of strength. This means tightening sanctions on Russia and targeting the many countries that continue to fuel Putin’s war machine. Above all, it means significantly increasing military aid to Kyiv and boosting Ukraine’s ability to defeat Russia on the battlefield. Putin has staked his entire reign on the destruction of Ukraine. He will not back down unless forced to do so. Peace will only come when Ukraine is too strong to be subjugated.

So what ...you work for some MAGA think tank? As soon as Trump soured on Putin and Russia you start posting differently slanted stories that advocate for increasing aid to Ukraine and defeating Russia through strength?

What happened to it's not our problem? Putin will nuke us? Russia will win any day now?

I almost want to like your post but then I remind myself you're not a real poster...you almost had us convinced you were an American veteran who's pro isolationism...sooooo close....
 
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