International Russia/Ukraine Megathread V15

Indian military experts have calculated that in the event of a full-scale war, the Pakistani army will face a growing shortage of shells in just four days.

It is alleged that the ammunition shortage was a consequence of deliveries to Ukraine that Islamabad has been carrying out since at least the end of 2022.

In particular, according to New Delhi, in February 2023, 10,000 shells for the Grad MLRS were sent along the Karachi-Germany-Ukraine route. In the following months, Pakistan also transferred a large batch of 155-mm shells to Ukraine. In April 2023 alone, about 230 containers of weapons were sent to Ukraine via the same Karachi.

After some of the information became publicly available, Islamabad, not wanting to quarrel with Moscow, carried out a large-scale campaign to disguise further deliveries as civilian cargo, involving American and European ships. However, the flow itself did not stop.

In this case, for Pakistan, it is not so much politics as "business and nothing personal." Considering that the economic situation in the country is consistently worsening, and there is no way out of the crisis in sight, Islamabad is happy with any opportunity to replenish its foreign exchange reserves. Especially when all this is generously paid for by the West.
India and Pakistan have been fighting at different times for years.
Here, it proves that you can have two nuclear armed countries maintaining a conventional war.
So, in this case, having nuclear weapons did not deter either country from going to war. This is one reason I don't believe Russia and the West will go nuclear over Ukraine. I think even if Ukraine had nuclear weapons, Russia would have invaded regardless.
 
In recent months, there has been a steady trend towards expanding European participation in ensuring arms supplies to Ukraine. It took French specialists several months to adapt the AASM to the Soviet aviation of the Ukrainian Armed Forces (MiG-29, Su-27, Su-25).
None of that is going to make a difference. Ukraine needs men to fight this war, not weapons. That, neither Europe nor the US will supply, hence a Ukrainian loss to Russia in another year or two.
 
India and Pakistan have been fighting at different times for years.
Here, it proves that you can have two nuclear armed countries maintaining a conventional war.
So, in this case, having nuclear weapons did not deter either country from going to war. This is one reason I don't believe Russia and the West will go nuclear over Ukraine. I think even if Ukraine had nuclear weapons, Russia would have invaded regardless.

If India and Pakistan proved nuclear powers can maintain a conventional war, then that shows the EU and the West can enter into conventional war against Russia.
 
Serbia Vuchic had been invited to attend parade in Moscow.
His office told that he now does have some health problems.

Ofc if you attempt to sit on 3 chairs with 1 arse then heart function might get some problems. Will see.

He and others who aren't attending are suffering from "Drone-fluenza" (Drone-Flu).
 


According to Forbes: It would take Russia CENTURIES and MILLIONS of casualties to capture all of Ukraine.
 
According to Forbes: It would take Russia CENTURIES and MILLIONS of casualties to capture all of Ukraine.
I guess the "experts" did not take into account Ukraine's Army declining numbers and Ukraine's decline in its male population.
In short, Ukraine is running out of male soldiers to fight this war, and it will take at most 5 years for this conflict to end. They are basing their conclusion on past numbers, not future numbers. Forbes experts are like Sherdog experts. A PhD really makes no difference when it comes to opinions.
 
I guess the "experts" did not take into account Ukraine's Army declining numbers and Ukraine's decline in its male population.
In short, Ukraine is running out of male soldiers to fight this war, and it will take at most 5 years for this conflict to end. They are basing their conclusion on past numbers, not future numbers. Forbes experts are like Sherdog experts. A PhD really makes no difference when it comes to opinions.


Russia's "Kyiv in three days..." plan?


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In first tour of presidental elections in Romania Calic friend get 40%+, opponents lesser.

Looks that he will win 2 nd tour.

He is from far right anti EU and anti Ukr oriented political party.

Main stuff: populism and a lot of promises, to accuse Ukr and EU for all bad things in romania.

Bad stuff for Ukr.
He will support Calin ideas: 0 cent for Ukr, 0 supplies and even transit for Ukr = bad....

Literally Fico& Orban like stuff, however even more anti Ukr oriented and more aggressive than Fico or Orban.

Ukr looks that will have only one country they does have land border with Ukr ....still supporting Ukr: only Poland.
 
If they will win ( looks that will win ), they will reccomend to accept their Prime Minister candidate, MoF ( minister of Finances ), MoD ( Minister of def ) candidates....

0 for Ukr and even worse than just this.
Orban if compare with these will look like Santa Claus....
 
Russia going broke so quickly? But our resident expert says everything is going swimmingly?

No wonder Putin is talking about using nukes again...he's becoming so transparent...

 
...and here we may be witnessing the beginning of the end for Ukraine. Their best days of fighting this war are now behind with roughly 47% of the Ukrainian Army decimated by Russia in a 3-year period. No wonder Ukraine keeps those numbers a secret. It is because they are low and getting lower.

February 2025.
  • Poor weather at the worst time
  • Ukrainian logistics in peril
  • New recruits are unprepared
March 2025.
The bottom line: Prospects for Ukraine are bleak. In the best case, U.S. and European aid continues, which is enough for Ukraine to stabilize the front lines, blunt Russian attacks, and buy time for a negotiated settlement, perhaps with Russia more willing to make a deal as its casualties pass the 1 million mark.

In the worst case, the United States cuts off shipments of equipment. What Ukraine receives from the Europeans, other global sources, and its own industry will keep its forces in the field but with declining capabilities. Russian attacks will gain more and more territory; at some point, Ukrainian lines will break. Ukraine will have to accept an unfavorable, even draconian peace.

It is tragic that the Ukrainians are at this point after three years of heroic resistance and sacrifice.
 
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Russia going broke so quickly? But our resident expert says everything is going swimmingly?

No wonder Putin is talking about using nukes again...he's becoming so transparent...


Putin is crying about nukes just in order to slow down western support for ukr...
As usually.

Economy? Putin is thinking thar ukr will go 404 financially sooner or later.
Guys he still is able to hire, reported that special operation is going as had been planned.
NK and others are supplying ....

So will continue.
 
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