Riskier fight for Poatan. Magomed at 205 or DDP at 185?

TerraRayzing

Little eagle soars again
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Not talking risk/reward but a pure fight, which one does he have a higher chance of losing? If he fights DDP at 185, he'll have to cut a massive amount of weight and that will impact his power, chin and strength. Meanwhile, Magomed is bigger and is seen as a more competent wrestler (although I think Dricus is pretty darn good too) but Alex won't be as drained.
 
If he cuts again he’s certifiable.. Crazy.

I don’t see ANY reason for him to go down. But immortality awaits him if he can get that third strap. A very tall order, and unlikely. But you never know in this crazy sport.

There’s only one way to go. Up.
 
DDP at 185 by far as starving g to make 20lbs lighter will sap his cardio. And DDP is just better. Ank isn't nearly the threat to Pereira folks make out.

Aspinall at hw would be easier than making 185 an fighting Dricus.
 
1. He's not going back to 185.
2. Even if he wanted to, he likely can't make 185 without his organs shutting down.
3. In a theoretical world where he drops to 185, DDP is probably the harder fight because he'll actually wrestle. Ankalaev seems dumb enough to have a kickboxing match with Alex.
 
Difficult to say. Ank has the tools to give him a hard fight but his fight IQ can be lacking which could lead to Poatan kicking the crap out of his legs or KOing him. Dricus is just a bizarre fighter. He leaves openings you'd think Alex should easily capitalize on but who knows, DDP could just collapse into a takedown from there or catch Pereira with an awkward shot. The weight cut might be the point that makes DDP harder.

This is all really nonsense though. After a ridiculous match-up like Rountree Alex should fight no one other than the next contender, especially if it's Ankalaev.
 
No doubt DDP at 185, not because Ank isn't any good. At 205, Poatan seems comfortable and healthy, if he goes down again, I think it will be a mistake.

He will be drained, and oh by the way, fighting an elite Champion who can fight in any facet of MMA. Plus, DDP will not be depleted, he will be fighting in his natural weight class so his chin will be better. Alex best bet is to get him out of there early during one of his lunging strikes.

I think DDP gets on the inside, gets his hands on Poatan, drags him down, maybe a trip, it won't be a traditional werstling shot, then DDP wears him out until he subs him.

If Alex had stayed at MW and fought DDP, it might turn out differently, but going up, feeling the comfort and difference both physically and mentally, than going down again is a recipe for disaster.
 
I think DDP is the much more risky fight, way too much weight to lose again, he has to be walking around 235 now, he looks huge next to Glover and Glover is a big guy himself. The weight cut will only get worse as he gets older as well.

Also DDP will go like hell for takedowns and he is a strong guy, he would probably just drag Alex down I reckon rather than a single leg etc. Alex can still win of course but I think DDP will try to grapple a lot.

With Ank I think this wrestling grappling talk is getting way overblown, I don't know what people are seeing, he is 95% a striker, I seen all his UFC fights and its all striking, now there were a few occasions when it hit the ground Paul Craig fight and Ank got tapped, then in Jan fight he did some grappling and it was a draw, and the grappling I can't say I was overly impressed with, no passing, no sub attempts.
 
I think it's borderline objective that 205 has more risk than 185, currently. Loss at 205 and he's not champ. Loss at 185 and he's still 205 champ.
 
More to lose fighting at 205 since he's the belt holder.

Definitely riskier cutting that extra 20 lbs against the top of the MW division, though.
 
DDP is a worse fight for sure. He's a proven great fighter with High Fight IQ. Great at dictating the pace of a fight as well, Abillity to mix it up in all areas. Against a depleated 185lb version of Alex, I'd see Dricus as highly advantaged, I'd stick with fighting magomed once more if I'm him.


Alex is really out here trying Avenge Izzy for some reason, not sure why he's like this.
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More to lose fighting at 205 since he's the belt holder.

Definitely riskier cutting that extra 20 lbs against the top of the MW division, though.

yeah but taking risk/reward out of the picture and purely talking about the fight. how do you see it then?
 
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