Political Betting Thread

Trump won VA but underperformed. Rubio overperformed. Kasich also doing very well in Vermont, right on Trump's tail there.
 
Arkansas looking really tight for the GOP, as we expected.
 
Yup, Oklahoma and Arkansas looking like a close race for the GOP
 
MA still too close to call for the Dems.
 
I have more on Bernie in Mass, I've already won tonight with not Trump OK which got really high.

My Trump bets have hit, I'm hoping for not Trump Arkansas and Minn (just one of those hitting would be significant, Trump's probably got Arkansas locked up).

I also bet Cruz a good deal when Texas was -130 to him.

I never bet OK on the Democrats side which is a shame, just assumed Hillary had it but she was overpriced early (which thankfully kept me away).
 
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As someone who lives in europe I have no fkn idea what super delegates and all that mean.

I got 1.2u early on Trump to win the republican nominee when he was +480. Is it looking good? The odds disappeared from 5dimes so I don't know how the betting world is viewing this election anymore.
 
UAK said:
As someone who lives in europe I have no fkn idea what super delegates and all that mean.

I got 1.2u early on Trump to win the republican nominee when he was +480. Is it looking good? The odds disappeared from 5dimes so I don't know how the betting world is viewing this election anymore.
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He is favored around -200 on most books.

In my estimation you are in good shape.

I expect Trump to win Michigan on Tuesday (open primaries are great for him and he is leading big in the polls), which will give him a nice boost of momentum. After that, the key deciding date will be March 15. On that day, Ohio, Florida, Illinois, Missouri, and North Carolina vote. Ohio, Illinois, Florida and Missouri offer 286 delegates in total and are all winner-take-all contests, so if Trump starts winning states he will become unbettable. So far Trump is leading in 3 of the states by good margins in the most recent polls---Missouri is the exception since we haven't had polls there since August(!).

Ohio and Florida are most important. If Rubio loses Florida (his home state), he is done. If Kasich loses Ohio (his home state), he is done.
 
This is a really cool site for any Americans interested in gambling on politics.

https://www.predictit.org/Browse/Featured

It is a betting exchange for politics. It's put on by Victoria University for their own studies, so for users there is zero vig.

I've noticed this site is full opportunities to make money, especially if you play the chalk because people are constantly making silly long shot bets that you buy the other side of. I've been obsessed with this site lately but I can't play it because I'm Canadian.
 
Barkus said:
This is a really cool site for any Americans interested in gambling on politics.

https://www.predictit.org/Browse/Featured

It is a betting exchange for politics. It's put on by Victoria University for their own studies, so for users there is zero vig.

I've noticed this site is full opportunities to make money, especially if you play the chalk because people are constantly making silly long shot bets that you buy the other side of. I've been obsessed with this site lately but I can't play it because I'm Canadian.
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I've been using this site for the past 1+ month to get more incite on my bets. It's definitely useful .I do believe though, that they take like 10% or so
 
I hate politics and only clicked this thread cause I saw an article about Bernie sanders with a big upset over Clinton in some state....

But wait a second........

Trump is going to be the republican candidate for president of our country? What in the actual fuck.....
 
Tonight's debate is critical. If Trump has a great night, he'll probably win Florida, Ohio and Illinois on Tuesday, causing Rubio to drop out. If Trump has a bad night, the big states could be split and we will probably be headed to a divided convention.
 
I bet Not Trump in Florida +600 pre-debate just because it seems as if Rubio has focused on nothing but that win in the past week, but I still don't think it's going to happen. Kasich will probably win Ohio, but it shouldn't matter with Trump taking Florida.
 
The madness in Chicago is huge for Trump. Cruz made a huge blunder by insinuating that Trump is culpable. Adding more on Trump GOP nomination and hitting Trump to win Missouri and Ohio.
 
Barkus said:
The madness in Chicago is huge for Trump. Cruz made a huge blunder by insinuating that Trump is culpable. Adding more on Trump GOP nomination and hitting Trump to win Missouri and Ohio.
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I'm already on both of those, I like the Missouri one better for obvious reasons
 
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