Political Betting Thread

'Protests' have been going on in various cities for months. Eg portland courthouse was under seige from larping 'revolutionaries' to save black people from 'systemic racism' for over 2 months.

The msm gives cover by not giving people to full view of what's happening and the dnc tacitly supports them by never mentioning them at all, and allowing them to loot and riot in their cities and, quite often, those arrested are released without charge.

Some commentators and the radical wing of the dnc were saying at least some of the looting and rioting was justified.

Finally, hiden has come out to condemn the violence after months. Dnc and msm push this toxic narrative of 'systemic racism' into society, and race bait by turning every police shooting into a lynching, then try and garner support off it.

The modern dnc now is a dysfunctional alliance between corrupt corporatists and commies who hate each other, but use each others influence to try and gain power.

But it's gotten out of control now. You can't ride the back of the tiger forever.

The dnc, they will have you locked in your homes, and looters and rioters running around outside, they are a shit show.

The world the dnc and msm created by their non stop race baiting.



And there it is, CNN doing their bit on behalf their masters at the dnc.



Okay I was more talking about main players in the upcoming election openly advocating or at least justifying violence. Not the media being complicit by spinning the narrative they want. I get what you're saying but my question was meant to be more specific, though I could have worded it better.
 
Okay I was more talking about main players in the upcoming election openly advocating or at least justifying violence. Not the media being complicit by spinning the narrative they want. I get what you're saying but my question was meant to be more specific, though I could have worded it better.

If you talking about hiden & the hoe (though why she been named a gardening tool is beyond me) or helosi, then its been complicity by way of ommision. None have condemned the violence until now and pretending its been all peaceful protests. Nadler went as far to say that antifa violence in portland was a myth.

https://nypost.com/2020/07/27/jerry-nadler-calls-violence-from-antifa-in-portland-a-myth/
 
Can they keep Hiden hidden until November? Sure looks like they want to. Helosi's facial tick when talking about Trump is hilarious. She is still traumatised by Trump's beat down of killary in the 2016 debates.



Maybe they will have a push up contest instead.
 
I mean you stated that trump has kept most of his campaign promises. this is factually not the case. it's not a matter of changing my mind.

you said you believe "The president is decided not by which president people love the most but by what president the voting public hates the least" so you think biden is hated by more people than trump? I have a real hard time seeing that. it seemed to be true for 2016 but hardly an accurate assumption for 2020.

I think he will also have a very hard time in the debates, but im saying I wouldn't be that shocked if he does better than many ppl are assuming. the last debate he did was his best one and had relatively few gaffe's etc. and a lot of trump backers are betting with near certainty that biden will basically self destruct his campaign in the debates.

Sorry for the late response, been extremely busy.

Yes, I believe Biden is hated more than Trump by those that decide the electoral college. I do think the side that hate Trump are more vocal though.

You are correct on Biden’s last debate being his best but that isn’t because his performance is improving but rather because his opponent was predictable. Bernie has been debating the same way for the last ten years, he’s predictable and easy to plan for. Trump improvises a lot and makes moves that confuse opponents and they don’t know how to respond, it’s his best talent. A very smart and quick Hillary struggled with this, an aging Joe Biden has no shot when he hits him with his creative attack.

I don’t know what self destructs means but Biden will show what he is during the debates. The media has been building him up and overselling him. Once people see it, people will feel duped and then you’ll start seeing talks about how the Democratic Party was so dumb into having him run for president instead of what a great candidate Biden is.
 
Odds for Trump improving, likely has to do with the each candidates response to riots. Debates one month away and advertising is heating up. Tons of antiBiden ads have hit YouTube, I’d be interested to see how much funding each side has left.
 
If you talking about hiden & the hoe (though why she been named a gardening tool is beyond me) or helosi, then its been complicity by way of ommision. None have condemned the violence until now and pretending its been all peaceful protests. Nadler went as far to say that antifa violence in portland was a myth.

https://nypost.com/2020/07/27/jerry-nadler-calls-violence-from-antifa-in-portland-a-myth/

Yeah that's what I thought. They want to skirt the fence on it the best they can.
 
Approval for blm goes - ve among whites in wisconsin between June and August. Black & Latino support remains unchanged.

We can see why Hiden is trying to backpedal as much as he can, still peddling the systemic racism poison, but telling people not to riot so obviously, even though the dnc and their allies have been encouraging this conflagration for years now.

 
Approval for blm goes - ve among whites in wisconsin between June and August. Black & Latino support remains unchanged.

We can see why Hiden is trying to backpedal as much as he can, still peddling the systemic racism poison, but telling people not to riot so obviously, even though the dnc and their allies have been encouraging this conflagration for years now.


It's really funny and clever how you refer to him exclusively as Hiden and doesn't at all betray that you're clearly super emotionally invested in Donnie getting reelected.
 
It's really funny and clever how you refer to him exclusively as Hiden and doesn't at all betray that you're clearly super emotionally invested in Donnie getting reelected.

I don't think @longway has really tried to hide much that he's totally biased when it comes to this election has he? Nothing he's posted has hinted at objectivity that I've seen. That's not a knock or a compliment, it's just reality. I think he'd readily admit his complete bias against the DNC.
 
I don't think @longway has really tried to hide much that he's totally biased when it comes to this election has he? Nothing he's posted has hinted at objectivity that I've seen. That's not a knock or a compliment, it's just reality. I think he'd readily admit his complete bias against the DNC.
That’s fair. But in my view, this thread should be more about approaching the election from a gambling perspective and less about spewing hot political takes. Admittedly there is natural overlap, and I don’t participate here much, so the regs should do whatever they want. It’s just irritating seeing someone being incapable of considering counterpoints and being a full time shill.
 
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That’s fair. But in my view, this thread should be more about approaching the election from a gambling perspective and less about spewing hot political takes. Admittedly there is natural overlap, and I don’t participate here much, so the regs should do whatever they want. It’s just irritating seeing someone being incapable of considering counterpoints and being a full time shill.

Do you have counter points, or will just makes digs at me?

I have answered every counter point and often said that other posters who disagree with me make fair points.

I think its you who is not objective here. As you are just making shit up in your head.

Another example is referring to me as a shill. Im not trying to trick anyone here on who i support or what i think. Its just another ludicrous claim by you.

In fact, its you who could be a shill, by being a concern troll in order to disingenuously smear me.

I have objectively identified bs by you about me, but yet to see anything resembling objectivity from you.
 
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I don't think @longway has really tried to hide much that he's totally biased when it comes to this election has he? Nothing he's posted has hinted at objectivity that I've seen. That's not a knock or a compliment, it's just reality. I think he'd readily admit his complete bias against the DNC.

Im not neutral, but it doesnt mean i am not objective.

Not talking about opinions, but i have always attempted to be as factually accurate as i can and not mislead anyone.

I can point to ludicrous and incoherent claims about covid deaths/infections made by people who disagree with me on here.

But usually all i see is emotional people knocking me, bc they cant knock what i say.
 
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That’s fair. But in my view, this thread should be more about approaching the election from a gambling perspective and less about spewing hot political takes. Admittedly there is natural overlap, and I don’t participate here much, so the regs should do whatever they want. It’s just irritating seeing someone being incapable of considering counterpoints and being a full time shill.

Points have been made on both sides, there’s a clear difference in opinions on what the betting line should be. People should be free to use the board however the feel as a person is free to listen to whomever they think will make them profitable.

I’ve learned a few perspectives I hadn’t heard, it didn’t change any of my lines or predictions though.

There will be biases anytime someone stands to lose or gain, with politics, everyone loses or gains depending on what party is in power. It’s impossible to not have them when betting on them.
 
Im not neutral, but it doesnt mean i am not objective.

Not talking about opinions, but i have always attempted to be as factually accurate as i can and not mislead anyone.

I can point to ludicrous and incoherent claims about covid deaths/infections made by people who disagree with me on here.

But usually all i see is emotional people knocking me, bc they cant knock what i say.

I don't think you say anything that's purposefully misleading. I think people view the world through different prisms and that makes true objectivity almost impossible when talking about this stuff.
 
I don't think you say anything that's purposefully misleading. I think people view the world through different prisms and that makes true objectivity almost impossible when talking about this stuff.

That can be levelled at anyone on here. You said there has been no hint of objectivity, or similar, that's ridiculous, and in any objective sense, wrong.

I'm not neutral though, and don't pretend to be otherwise.

The other guy makes similarly baseless claims about my posts, and uses words like betray and shill as if I am trying to deceive people in some way.

And I objectively claim that there nothing resembling any hint of objectivity in his initial post about me. Its hypocritical for him to take me to task about lacking objectivity when he has none himself.
 
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That can be levelled at anyone on here. You said there has been no hint of objectivity, or similar, that's ridiculous, and in any objective sense, wrong.

I'm not neutral though, and don't pretend to be otherwise.

The other guy makes similarly baseless claims about my posts, and uses words like betray and shill as if I am trying to deceive people in some way.

And I objectively claim that there nothing resembling any hint of objectivity in his initial post about me. Its hypocritical for him to take me to task about lacking objectivity when he has none himself.

Yes for sure it applies to everyone. The stronger your feelings/views are, the less objective your opinions are going to be.
 
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Yes for sure it applies to everyone. The stronger your feelings/views are, the less objective your opinions are going to be.

Is that a strong view/feeling of yours?

There is plenty of objective evidence on this thread that this not the case. Its not even logical.

Could it be that I have objective reasons to strongly support one candidate over another? Feelings and views are not the same are they?

Feelings are more prone to subjectivity, I will grant you that, but you make it seem like its a mathematical equation.

Your assertion is not remotely objective, yet I cant imagine you have strong views on it one way or another.
 
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