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Lets apply some common sense here.
Nate vs other world class MMA fighters, who fight at the highest level - Yes
Nate vs someone who's never fought MMA in their life - No
Its like asking if someone who is an aging world class swimmer should do poorly against someone thats never been in a pool because they can no longer compete with elite competition.
FFS
I think you're hanging too much on the "well Nates an MMA fighter and Jake isnt" angle rather than looking at the stylistic match up and other factors like size, age and athleticism.
Does Nate make much effort to take people down? no
Does Nate utilise a kicking game? no
Is he likely to change against Jake? no
Can he outbox Jake? no
Has it been proven Jake has the ability to drop him hard even with boxing gloves? yes
Dont you think Jake has considered all of these things too? why would he sign for a fight that he isnt confident he can win?
Also dont you think Jake has probably already been training MMA stuff for years if he takes an MMA fight? he was rolling with AJ Agazarm in like 2017/18 at least and he comes across to me like someone who was probably much more into MMA than boxing as a fan.
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