My UFN 30 Bets - Post Yours! (Part II)

[KDog13]

Well thanks for the Luck wishes...I'm crashing. Hopefully I get some good dreams tonight!

 

[EzFlyer]

saturday fights..

WSOF 6 Net: +74.02
Moraes: 300 parlay
Fitch/Alfaya U2.5: 40 for 44
Gaethje: 140 parlay
parlays
140 for 99.02 moraes -360 & gaethje -305
120 for 104.42 moraes -350 & gsp -220 (ufc 167)
40 for 42.09 moraes -360 & sexton-andrade DEC -165 (ufn 30)
---
UFN 30 Net: +374.38
Machida: 100 parlay // Machida ITD: 100.10 for 77 // Machida SUB: 4 for 92.60 // ITD: 75 parlays
Pearson: 60 parlays // DEC: 40 for 106 // Guillard DEC: 40 for 290
60 parlays // Jimmo RD 3: 5 for 73.75 // Manuwa: 1.50 for 0 // O2.5: 112 for 40.43
Tuck: 60 parlays // Parke -130: 65 for 50 // Parke -8.5: 22.60 for 20 // U2.5: 10 for 37
Musoke +150: 40 for 60 // U1.5: 80 for 95.60
Lineker/Harris U2.5: 140 for 100 // U3: 75 parlays
Iaquinta -133: 400 for 300
Barnatt: 60 parlays // DEC: 75 parlays // Craig DEC: 40 for 126
Sexton: 0 for 66 // DEC: 115 parlays // FOTN: 4 for 44
Ogle +167: 200 for 334 // DEC: 75 parlays
Scott +190: 100 for 190 // Scott DEC: 40 for 200 // DEC: 75 parlays
parlays
20 for 86.60 pearson +105 & jimmo +160
20 for 72.25 pearson +105 & tuck +125
20 for 94.80 pearson +105 & barnatt +180
20 for 97 jimmo +160 & tuck +125
20 for 125.60 jimmo +160 & barnatt +180
20 for 106 tuck +125 & barnatt +180
100 for 85.86 machida -360 & GSP -220 (ufc 167)
40 for 42.09 sexton-andrade DEC -165 & moraes -360 (wsof 6)
75 for 869.49 RR (15 4-teamers): MM/LM ITD, PH/JL U3, LB/AC DEC, JA/RS DEC, CM/AO DEC, BS/MK DEC
---

honestly i'm fine w/only +4.5u or w/e. it was a GOOFY night.

i do have two carry-over parlays with GSP, though

regrets: not betting firmino +195 & carl +375
whoopsie: accidental 112 bet on jimmo-manuwa O2.5, thought it was 1.5. frustrating.

 

[Guillaumechrist]

saturday fights..

WSOF 6 Net: +74.02
Moraes: 300 parlay
Fitch/Alfaya U2.5: 40 for 44
Gaethje: 140 parlay
parlays
140 for 99.02 moraes -360 & gaethje -305
120 for 104.42 moraes -350 & gsp -220 (ufc 167)
40 for 42.09 moraes -360 & sexton-andrade DEC -165 (ufn 30)
---
UFN 30 Net: +374.38
Machida: 100 parlay // Machida ITD: 100.10 for 77 // Machida SUB: 4 for 92.60 // ITD: 75 parlays
Pearson: 60 parlays // DEC: 40 for 106 // Guillard DEC: 40 for 290
60 parlays // Jimmo RD 3: 5 for 73.75 // Manuwa: 1.50 for 0 // O2.5: 112 for 40.43
Tuck: 60 parlays // Parke -130: 65 for 50 // Parke -8.5: 22.60 for 20 // U2.5: 10 for 37
Musoke +150: 40 for 60 // U1.5: 80 for 95.60
Lineker/Harris U2.5: 140 for 100 // U3: 75 parlays
Iaquinta -133: 400 for 300
Barnatt: 60 parlays // DEC: 75 parlays // Craig DEC: 40 for 126
Sexton: 0 for 66 // DEC: 115 parlays // FOTN: 4 for 44
Ogle +167: 200 for 334 // DEC: 75 parlays
Scott +190: 100 for 190 // Scott DEC: 40 for 200 // DEC: 75 parlays
parlays
20 for 86.60 pearson +105 & jimmo +160
20 for 72.25 pearson +105 & tuck +125
20 for 94.80 pearson +105 & barnatt +180
20 for 97 jimmo +160 & tuck +125
20 for 125.60 jimmo +160 & barnatt +180
20 for 106 tuck +125 & barnatt +180
100 for 85.86 machida -360 & GSP -220 (ufc 167)
40 for 42.09 sexton-andrade DEC -165 & moraes -360 (wsof 6)
75 for 869.49 RR (15 4-teamers): MM/LM ITD, PH/JL U3, LB/AC DEC, JA/RS DEC, CM/AO DEC, BS/MK DEC
---

honestly i'm fine w/only +4.5u or w/e. it was a GOOFY night.

i do have two carry-over parlays with GSP, though

regrets: not betting firmino +195 & carl +375
whoopsie: accidental 112 bet on jimmo-manuwa O2.5, thought it was 1.5. frustrating.

Nice! let's keep it up next week as we have like 3 big events in a week (from saturday 2nd to saturday 9th)

 

[EzFlyer]

yep, slow and steady profits, still have a chance to beat my 2012 result

grats all winners, i saw a BUNCH of nice scores, which is extra awesome considering how weird the card was

 

[Guillaumechrist]

yep, slow and steady profits, still have a chance to beat my 2012 result

grats all winners, i saw a BUNCH of nice scores, which is extra awesome considering how weird the card was

Yeah this thread is awesome, most of us are doing great, time to create a new forum of our own or something..(all of my sherdog posts have been in this thread..)

 

[EzFlyer]

you could always come post on http://www.zewkey.com/PHPbb2/index.php, so i can poach another good capper there

and yea, i'd say the last 8000 posts i've made were in the betting threads, i posted elsewhere like 6 years ago, randomly, hehe, now only these

 

[Guillaumechrist]

you could always come post on http://www.zewkey.com/PHPbb2/index.php, so i can poach another good capper there

and yea, i'd say the last 8000 posts i've made were in the betting threads, i posted elsewhere like 6 years ago, randomly, hehe, now only these

I created an account just now..

 

[EzFlyer]

you're activated

g'night!

 

[iGnP]

NFL

Spoiler

only betting on one game this week

OAK +2.5

*ARI -2 is also a good play in my opinion but i am passing on it

BOL everyone

 

[Guillaumechrist]

you're activated

g'night!

Thanks, dude, you're all over zewkey forums (post wise).. most active poster for sure. i actually recognize a couple of posters from sbr like Grabaka, who's good.

 

[PuertoRican]

The winner had to buy the loser dinner.

 

[Tebowned]

Fresno State gave me a scare.
Up 6U for the night.
Going large on michael chandler next week

 

[betterthanjones]

Hey what's up everyone, just caught the event on replay couldn't watch it live due to work. Up about $30 on the night, main plays consisting of Iaquinta, Parke, Harris/Lineker ITD (bonus with Lineker ITD) and Machida ITD came through. Hope no one got buried.

Pity Guillard didn't time that second knee better, I thought he had Pearson in a world of trouble & pain when he tossed him to the ground and was getting ready to unload. And the judging was pretty spot on wasn't it? Don't think there were any robberies... agree with the Miller/Ogle and Andrade/Sexton decisions (had money on both Ogle & Sexton but well winner's a winner)

And fuck that, Burkman lost and I CLEARLY FUCKING thought I made my badass $2 bet on Steve Carl. Fuck this shit I need to start checking my pending wagers tab everytime I think I've placed a bet.

 

[SenseiSeagalMMA]

Man I'm sweating...2 more right to hit a sweet 25 team parlay

To be honest...there's a lot of really big favorites on there, but hey it added a few dollars here and there as it got up to a 25 team parlay.

Congrats man. I have hit similar before but never had the balls to throw more than a few bucks. $100 on that takes serious balls. Enjoy that payout!

 

[SenseiSeagalMMA]

I'm about to make a large play (for my standard, anyway) on Rashad over Chael. I think this line (62% implied odds of Rashad winning) is WAY off.

I am no Rashad nuthugger but would personally cap him at -550 or so. Yes, I think he wins this fight 85% of the time.

I am going to put my money where my mouth is but am I missing something?

 

[EndlessCritic]

damn. i didn't even come close to hitting my parlay!

still made 1940 on the day.

Rashad evans has been hit and miss. the guy who fought phil davis should win though. maybe not so much the guy who fought lil nog.

 

[YoungScholar]

I'm about to make a large play (for my standard, anyway) on Rashad over Chael. I think this line (62% implied odds of Rashad winning) is WAY off.

I am no Rashad nuthugger but would personally cap him at -550 or so. Yes, I think he wins this fight 85% of the time.

I am going to put my money where my mouth is but am I missing something?

I agree.

I think the line is mostly where it's at due to his performance against Lil' Nog and his tentative win over Hendo.

Rashad is just a nightmare matchup for Chael, there is no way Chael is winning the wrestling match and I highly favor Rashad in the striking. He won't have to worry about that H-bomb like in his last outing and could very well get the KO/TKO himself if he lets his hands go. I also think Rashad has the better gas tank and intelligence to pace himself.

The only way I see Chael possibly getting this one is if ADCC Chael somehow gets an early guillotine - but Shogun not expecting him to jump on that guillotine (who did?) has a lot to say in him getting it. Rashad should be ready and get a decisive win here. I think the line might very well be below -250 before the fight.

 

[Oblivian]

Does anyone have a .gif of Torres getting guillotined?

 

[SenseiSeagalMMA]

NFL

Spoiler

Edit, also played same three teams parlayed at +113

 

[HeyBoone]

I agree.

I think the line is mostly where it's at due to his performance against Lil' Nog and his tentative win over Hendo.

Rashad is just a nightmare matchup for Chael, there is no way Chael is winning the wrestling match and I highly favor Rashad in the striking. He won't have to worry about that H-bomb like in his last outing and could very well get the KO/TKO himself if he lets his hands go. I also think Rashad has the better gas tank and intelligence to pace himself.

The only way I see Chael possibly getting this one is if ADCC Chael somehow gets an early guillotine - but Shogun not expecting him to jump on that guillotine (who did?) has a lot to say in him getting it. Rashad should be ready and get a decisive win here. I think the line might very well be below -250 before the fight.

Very true, if the line moves anywhere by fight time it's certainly going to be in favour of Rashad. I have not bet this one yet but I wouldn't be laying down money on Sonnen at only +125. Rashad was a bigger favourite to win over Hendo than he currently is to beat Sonnen and Hendo had a clear route to vistory whereas Sonnen really doesn't have a whole lot to threaten Evans with especially if he can shuck Chael off like he did to Davis.

I completely respect Chael as a fighter and I took him to beat Shogun, but I was as shocked as anyone to see him do it the way he did. I believe Sonnen is a great fighter but he won't be so fortunate here against Evans.