I cant guarantee anything, im not involved in the decision making process.
If I could guarantee it then theres no point even having a process, just let me give out the results.
But four is the most likely outcome, as I wrote back in February and as I stick by now
FIVE REASONS WHY JON JONES IS FACING A 4 YEAR SUSPENSION
https://mma-today.com/five-reasons-why-jon-jones-is-facing-a-4-year-suspension
Sure, 3 is possible, 2 is possible, 1 is possible but improbable. I dont have access to all the evidence, all I have to go on is what came out at his february hearing.. maybe theres new information, maybe theres fresh evidence, I dont know..
But Four is by far the most likely..
Four years, I wont be surprised at all.. Three, i would read their statement a few times to understand why.. One and I would be firing off an email with about 20 questions demanding to know how they reached that deision