Money to be made on Tecia to beat Van Burren this weekend?

[mposhtkouhi]

It's the main UFC section. You know, where we all spam Conor and Khabib threads and all that.

Oh ya fuck that those people are idiots and I thought WIK was a joke those guys are fools

 

[mposhtkouhi]

I never ignored what he said. I think you need to pay a lot more attention, for a start third party tracking is more legit than bets page where you can edit them. I used to post mine and did even better off them as my actual bets I can reduce risk to get better odds and hit lines that aren't trackable on the site.

As for that old tracking page, as I said way back, I tracked sporadically for a few months missing a lot of events and was inconsistent with it with a poor strategy as I was tracking bets that also included how I though livebet would playout. I created a new page where I then have consistently tracked for about a year with every event and have done consistently solid over a sample size several times bigger than the last tracking page. Calling me a fraud based on a tiny sample size ignoring a far larger successful one is honestly ridiculous and frankly a bit stupid as it shows a complete inability to interpret quantitative data.

GOT'EM

 

[Crimp_Keeper]

I never ignored what he said. I think you need to pay a lot more attention, for a start third party tracking is more legit than bets page where you can edit them. I used to post mine and did even better off them as my actual bets I can reduce risk to get better odds and hit lines that aren't trackable on the site.

As for that old tracking page, as I said way back, I tracked sporadically for a few months missing a lot of events and was inconsistent with it with a poor strategy as I was tracking bets that also included how I though livebet would playout. I created a new page where I then have consistently tracked for about a year with every event and have done consistently solid over a sample size several times bigger than the last tracking page. Calling me a fraud based on a tiny sample size ignoring a far larger successful one is honestly ridiculous and frankly a bit stupid as it shows a complete inability to interpret quantitative data.

If you edit your bets in the thread we will know. It’s called timestamps and sherdog displays the last time of edit on a post.

 

[mposhtkouhi]

If you edit your bets in the thread we will know. It’s called timestamps and sherdog displays the last time of edit on a post.

GOT'EM

 

[Crimp_Keeper]

LoL

 

[mposhtkouhi]

LoL

I like you man your funny but for real id stop arguing with people it might get you carded I got carded for some dumb stuff they said I was trolling and flaming which I was doing neither

 

[Jordan3399]

If you edit your bets in the thread we will know. It’s called timestamps and sherdog displays the last time of edit on a post.

Good job ignoring 95% of what I said lol

 

[mposhtkouhi]

Good job ignoring 95% of what I said lol

GOT'EM

 

[mmadude360]

Putting together some bets for this weekend, and I'm looking at Tecia vs Van Burren this weekend.

Tecia is a pretty decent underdog, but I'm not seeing why in this one.

Here's my thinking:

Burren is on a bit of streak. Her last few wins were, a nobody, Moyle (who is ok), and then she beat three girls in one night in an Invicta tourny, including Juliana Lima and Curran. The thing is, Lima is getting on and is susceptible to LNP, and Curran is not good at all, really. If I remember rightly, Burren made the most of this + the fact that she has way better wrestling than them. This worked because the fights were 1 rounders up until the final. It was easy for her to secure the single round with the wrestling.

After all this, she beat Souza, who I thought looked great back in Invicta, but has looked pretty average since. Burren beat her well, but the fight was contested at whatever pace Burren wanted, and Souza isn't very physical.

Now onto Tecia:

I think she's the big underdog mainly because she's lost her last 4. That's not good, obviously, but look at who she's been losing to. She got beat by Andrade (when she was on her own streak), Joanna, Zhang, and finally Marina Rodriguez (up and comer with serious champ potential).

^ She was losing to some of the best, if not the very best fighters in the division. What's more, she didn't get embarrassed in any of those fights. She was competitive in all of those fights and took them to a decision.

Now, onto actual Tecia vs Burren:

Tecia is 30, Burren is 26. So, Burren has the youth, but 30 isn't really that old for Tecia. Tecia is 5"1, so tiny, but Burren is 4"11, so even smaller. Burren isn't going to have any sort of size advantage at all. Watching Burren against Souza, and I think Tecia is going to be faster, which will be good for her in-out striking style. I also think she'll maybe even have some strength and wrestling advantages. Burren got taken down easily by Souza at one point, and a scramble ended with her in a bad spot at the end of the first round. Also, I think Tecia is going to be a ton harder to take down than anyone Burren has fought yet. Decent cardio on both sides, but I see Brianna slow just a little, while Tecia doesn't slow at all in 5 rounds.

I can see how the bookies are looking at Burren's and Tecia's recent records, and obviously it looks bad for Tecia, but that doesn't tell the whole story, as I laid out above.

So, Tecia should take this one, right?

Thoughts?

EDITED TO ADD:

Just re-watching Tecia vs Marina, which was Tecia's last fight. She still looks fast, fit and strong. She really struggled with Marina's huge height and reach advantage, not to mention that Marina is awesome on the feet.