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Khamzat Chimaev vs Dricus Du Plessis: An Unstoppable Force Meets Illogical Offense

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Wanted to share part of an article I read earlier today with you.
Full article by William at OpenNoteGrappling including a wonderful intro, give him his click!

It’s finally here. Dricus Du Plessis is defending the middleweight title against Khamzat Chimaev. Today we’re going to take a look at the marquee match-up with maybe the most unknowns there have ever been in a title fight.

HOW KHAMZAT CHIMAEV FORCES WINS:

Khamzat Chimaev is a wrecking machine. Just look at his record: undefeated with an 86% finishing rate.

What Chimaev does so well is get to his opponents’ hips early and often on the fence. From there, he locks his hands, runs them around, and climbs cross body or all the way to their back.

Chimaev puts Burns down and immediately walks off to his side. Then he hooks the near leg and holds the far hip. He’s controlling both sides of Burns and can hit with his free hand. Burns starts to wrestle up so Chimaev drags him back to his hip so Chimaev can attack side on.
CleanShot_2024-10-17_at_20.09.33.gif


But here’s the weird thing. Chimaev’s work rate kind of falls off a cliff when he can’t get to a body lock or ride cross body. And it gets worse as the fight wears on.
Just look at how much less Chimaev does in the second clip below from his fight with Gilbert Burns.
Burns shoots. Chimaev sprawls and looks for a d’arce choke. Burns sits back to guard and Chimaev lets him go. Instead of immediately pressuring forward and trying to punch and pass, Chimaev postures up. Burns kicks him away and gets back to his feet.
CleanShot_2024-10-17_at_20.11.28.gif


And here we have Du Plessis’s glimmer of hope. If he can make Chimaev work, get his hands off his hips, and keep him away from his back he has a chance of taking the fight in the later rounds.
So, what does Du Plessis do when he’s forced to fight out of bad positions?

REVERSING YOUR WAY TO A WIN

Dricus Du Plessis’s career has been strange. It’s almost like he chooses to step into the jaws of defeat just so he can have fun hopping out of them.
I went through Du Plessis’s career to find times when he found himself in trouble on the ground and managed to get out. And it’s pretty damn impressive how good he is at getting up from bad positions.
Santos is pulling DDP off of the fence. Santos hooks DDP’s leg to break his base. Santos tries to crawl to DDP’s back so DDP leans onto the fence, palm strikes his face, and uses the new space to dig an under hook. DDP uses that under hook to lift Santos and get back to his feet.
CleanShot_2025-07-31_at_12.58.00.gif


Du Plessis even made it look easy when he fought former Middleweight Champion Robert Whittaker.
Whittaker times a double leg and runs DDP into the wall. DDP holds onto a guillotine as Whittaker hops into side control. Whittaker pikes up over DDP. DDP steps on the cage and kicks his legs away to rise up to a knee. DDP digs an under hook so Whittaker can’t get to his back. Then he stands up.
CleanShot_2025-07-31_at_13.11.38.gif


But stuff like this is not why Du Plessis has gained so much fan intrigue. People love watching him because his mid fight movement appears downright silly.
DDP and Lamprecht reset on the feet and collide after some of the sloppiest boxing you’ll ever see. DDP bounces off the fence and turns so Lamprecht grabs a body lock. Lamprecht twists DDP to the floor. When DDP lands on his back he turns in to grab a kimura. Then he uses it to sweep to top position.
CleanShot_2025-07-31_at_12.25.55.gif


Du Plessis has gone to the kimura counter in more than one fight to open his opponent’s hands.
DDP is falling off the top of Giles. Giles comes up and gets a body lock. DDP can’t kill Giles’s posture and they walk to the fence. DDP starts hand fighting and grabs a kimura. DDP uses the kimura back roll on top of Giles.
CleanShot_2025-07-31_at_13.07.53.gif


Du Plessis’s unorthodox grappling has given us some of the craftiest moments I’ve seen in MMA grappling.
DDP uses an empty half guard to move BJJ black belt and D2 All American wrestler Brunson. Then he locks up Brunson’s leg for half guard. Now he can rock side to side to off balance Brunson, make space, and stand up. Brunson tries to jump a guillotine mid scramble and ends up on bottom.
CleanShot_2025-07-31_at_13.21.25.gif


I mean, he has literally pulled fighters on top of him, only to get up moments later.
Tavares is pressure passing after DDP pulled him down on top of him. DDP sneaks his left butterfly hook in. Now he can elevate Tavares’s hips. Tavares tries to stay active. As soon as his hips rise DDP stands up, shoots a takedown, and runs Tavares into the cage.
CleanShot_2025-07-31_at_13.16.00.gif


But what’s most important for Du Plessis’s fight with Khamzat Chimaev is his ability to shake people off of his neck. DDP has found himself on the receiving end of several face crank and rear naked choke attempts only to shake people off of his back.
Hawkey is sitting in quarter guard. He postures up to strike. DDP immediately turtles towards the fence. Hawkey has the near hook and far under hook but he gets stuck on the fence. He tries to salvage the scramble by cranking on DDP’s neck. DDP slides out, postures up, and starts striking.
CleanShot_2025-07-31_at_12.39.25.gif


Even against more seasoned grapplers, Du Plessis has been able to turn out of rear naked chokes and fight back to his feet.
Brunson is face cranking with a single hook. His head is on the wrong side. He’s losing chest to back connection. DDP feels it and turns his shoulders to the mat. DDP moves his hips away so he has space to dig an under hook and wall walk back to his feet.
CleanShot_2025-07-31_at_13.23.50.gif

I’m not an idiot. I’m not going to pretend these guys are nearly as good at grappling as Chimaev is. But that’s not the point.

FIGHTERS, ARTISTS, AND ATHLETES

A few years ago Canadian legend Georges St-Pierre gave us a thoughtful explanation of the different types of people that compete in mixed martial arts; fighters, athletes, and artists.

"Fighters are characterized by an unbreakable will and are ready to give up anything to win.
The athletes are the most athletic and the fastest learners. They could probably be succesful at doing any other sport.
The artists are the most creative. They often find different approaches to solve their problems.
Every person has a percentage of each type in themselves. However, one type dominates over the others.
All types have been champion. But I believe it is imperative to find your type in order to optimize your preparation for best results
."

Georges St-Pierre

People like Wanderlei Silva, the Diaz brothers, and Robbie Lawler, are fighters. They don’t care about getting hit as much as they care about giving more back.

St-Pierre himself is the premier example of an athlete. Everything was well trained and timed. All of his work worked.
People like Anderson Silva and Anthony Pettis are artists. Creative. Freely flowing through fights.

Dricus Du Plessis is a fighter. He goes forward and swings. Standing, top, or bottom - it doesn’t matter. He’s giving everything he can for the duration of the fight. And he’s never dropped a single middleweight contest.

Chimaev is an athlete. A buzzsaw prepared to cut through his opponents’ defensive barriers and get to his spots as quickly as possible. He’s done that against all 14 of his opponents but never for a full 25 minutes. He’s only gone past the 7 minute mark twice in his entire MMA career! And that’s what you’re really betting on.

Can Du Plessis keep moving? Will he rope a dope the wrestler? When Chimaev gets his hands locked around Du Plessis’s hips, will the South African flail out of the position until he is free to go on offense like he has before in essentially every fight he’s had? And how will Chimaev respond in the 2nd, 3rd, 4th, and 5th rounds?
Chimaev is not the same fighter in the second and third rounds. Why would you assume his first time in the 4th and 5th rounds will be any better?

I wouldn’t. I also wouldn’t assume it will go that far. But that’s why I’m so excited to watch UFC 319 this weekend.
I have no idea how long this fight will last, nor how it will look, and I couldn’t be more stoked to find out.

This article was written by William for OpenNoteGrappling

ddp.png
 
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It's pretty much the entire narrative of the fight at this point.
We know what Chimaev is capable of if he has it his way, and we know that DDP just finds a way to win despite his unconventional style.

I think we're all hoping this one goes at least a few rds.
 
It's pretty much the entire narrative of the fight at this point.
We know what Chimaev is capable of if he has it his way, and we know that DDP just finds a way to win despite his unconventional style.

I think we're all hoping this one goes at least a few rds.
I'm sure DDP fans are hoping it goes at least a few rounds, but I doubt Chimaev fans are hoping for that lol.

As someone pretty confident in DDP winning, if Chimaev wins I hope it's at least in a 5 round war so he shows that he's a complete fighter and worthy of being champ.
 
I'm sure DDP fans are hoping it goes at least a few rounds, but I doubt Chimaev fans are hoping for that lol.

As someone pretty confident in DDP winning, if Chimaev wins I hope it's at least in a 5 round war so he shows that he's a complete fighter and worthy of being champ.
Same here.

His 1st rd. blitzkriegs remind me of how big time knock out artists often rack up so many early finishes that they start to seem a bit invincible, and it's hard to rate it as a negative until someone actually weathers the storm and hands them a loss
 
Damn what an amazing post this is, hard to get footage of DDP in situations like this, especially the ones prior to UFC. And it shows where DDP has escaped trouble. We've seen in the Burns fight where he goes for the Armbar on Khamzat and he doesn't like it so he stops trying to go for the ground, but really I'm not sure how effective DDP's sub threat will be against Khamzat. However, the way he powered out of bad positions before probably means he could survive the body lock that Khamzat got Whittaker in, so it'll probably drag out. Interesting read.
 
MVP said something which I liked. He said Chimmy should spend some time in the beginning feinting takedowns like he normally does but begin by trying to crack DDP with punches.

DDP is going to fully expect Chimmy to shoot early because that's what he has done in every fight basically so he's gonna be sprawl ready like a motherfucker and Chimmy should take advantage of that and try to crack him.

Then after a few good shots has landed now he's going to be easier to take down without wasting so much energy compared to taking down a DDP down that was 1000% prepared for the shot 20 seconds into the fight.
 
Nice job, TS🥇🏆🏅
Keep the great posts cumming!!💦👍🏽📈
Damn what an amazing post this is, hard to get footage of DDP in situations like this, especially the ones prior to UFC. And it shows where DDP has escaped trouble. We've seen in the Burns fight where he goes for the Armbar on Khamzat and he doesn't like it so he stops trying to go for the ground, but really I'm not sure how effective DDP's sub threat will be against Khamzat. However, the way he powered out of bad positions before probably means he could survive the body lock that Khamzat got Whittaker in, so it'll probably drag out. Interesting read.
Thank you friends! When it's not my writing, I still try to find something quality for you guys to uplift the forum a little from the gooning, Jon Jones post retirement, and Luffy threads ;) <lol>

Same here.

His 1st rd. blitzkriegs remind me of how big time knock out artists often rack up so many early finishes that they start to seem a bit invincible, and it's hard to rate it as a negative until someone actually weathers the storm and hands them a loss
We saw this with Pavlovich recently! Not only Tom beating him, but the loss of mojo that comes for that type of fighter when he realizes he's human. The humbling experience is important!

Personally, I am expecting a good fight, and if Khamzat doesn't take DDP out early, I think he will get sloppy and eventually get clipped and finished in the championship rounds. However, him jumping on DDP and finding a sub while they're both dry wouldn't surprise me either.
 
Thank you friends! When it's not my writing, I still try to find something quality for you guys to uplift the forum a little from the gooning, Jon Jones post retirement, and Luffy threads ;) <lol>


We saw this with Pavlovich recently! Not only Tom beating him, but the loss of mojo that comes for that type of fighter when he realizes he's human. The humbling experience is important!

Personally, I am expecting a good fight, and if Khamzat doesn't take DDP out early, I think he will get sloppy and eventually get clipped and finished in the championship rounds. However, him jumping on DDP and finding a sub while they're both dry wouldn't surprise me either.
I kind of want to organize a live watch party with some of the cooler heads; but I don't want @Luthien to see how short & fat I really am 😓
 
Wanted to share part of an article I read earlier today with you.
Full article by William at OpenNoteGrappling including a wonderful intro, give him his click!

It’s finally here. Dricus Du Plessis is defending the middleweight title against Khamzat Chimaev. Today we’re going to take a look at the marquee match-up with maybe the most unknowns there have ever been in a title fight.

HOW KHAMZAT CHIMAEV FORCES WINS:

Khamzat Chimaev is a wrecking machine. Just look at his record: undefeated with an 86% finishing rate.

What Chimaev does so well is get to his opponents’ hips early and often on the fence. From there, he locks his hands, runs them around, and climbs cross body or all the way to their back.

Chimaev puts Burns down and immediately walks off to his side. Then he hooks the near leg and holds the far hip. He’s controlling both sides of Burns and can hit with his free hand. Burns starts to wrestle up so Chimaev drags him back to his hip so Chimaev can attack side on.
CleanShot_2024-10-17_at_20.09.33.gif


But here’s the weird thing. Chimaev’s work rate kind of falls off a cliff when he can’t get to a body lock or ride cross body. And it gets worse as the fight wears on.
Just look at how much less Chimaev does in the second clip below from his fight with Gilbert Burns.
Burns shoots. Chimaev sprawls and looks for a d’arce choke. Burns sits back to guard and Chimaev lets him go. Instead of immediately pressuring forward and trying to punch and pass, Chimaev postures up. Burns kicks him away and gets back to his feet.
CleanShot_2024-10-17_at_20.11.28.gif


And here we have Du Plessis’s glimmer of hope. If he can make Chimaev work, get his hands off his hips, and keep him away from his back he has a chance of taking the fight in the later rounds.
So, what does Du Plessis do when he’s forced to fight out of bad positions?

REVERSING YOUR WAY TO A WIN

Dricus Du Plessis’s career has been strange. It’s almost like he chooses to step into the jaws of defeat just so he can have fun hopping out of them.
I went through Du Plessis’s career to find times when he found himself in trouble on the ground and managed to get out. And it’s pretty damn impressive how good he is at getting up from bad positions.
Santos is pulling DDP off of the fence. Santos hooks DDP’s leg to break his base. Santos tries to crawl to DDP’s back so DDP leans onto the fence, palm strikes his face, and uses the new space to dig an under hook. DDP uses that under hook to lift Santos and get back to his feet.
CleanShot_2025-07-31_at_12.58.00.gif


Du Plessis even made it look easy when he fought former Middleweight Champion Robert Whittaker.
Whittaker times a double leg and runs DDP into the wall. DDP holds onto a guillotine as Whittaker hops into side control. Whittaker pikes up over DDP. DDP steps on the cage and kicks his legs away to rise up to a knee. DDP digs an under hook so Whittaker can’t get to his back. Then he stands up.
CleanShot_2025-07-31_at_13.11.38.gif


But stuff like this is not why Du Plessis has gained so much fan intrigue. People love watching him because his mid fight movement appears downright silly.
DDP and Lamprecht reset on the feet and collide after some of the sloppiest boxing you’ll ever see. DDP bounces off the fence and turns so Lamprecht grabs a body lock. Lamprecht twists DDP to the floor. When DDP lands on his back he turns in to grab a kimura. Then he uses it to sweep to top position.
CleanShot_2025-07-31_at_12.25.55.gif


Du Plessis has gone to the kimura counter in more than one fight to open his opponent’s hands.
DDP is falling off the top of Giles. Giles comes up and gets a body lock. DDP can’t kill Giles’s posture and they walk to the fence. DDP starts hand fighting and grabs a kimura. DDP uses the kimura back roll on top of Giles.
CleanShot_2025-07-31_at_13.07.53.gif


Du Plessis’s unorthodox grappling has given us some of the craftiest moments I’ve seen in MMA grappling.
DDP uses an empty half guard to move BJJ black belt and D2 All American wrestler Brunson. Then he locks up Brunson’s leg for half guard. Now he can rock side to side to off balance Brunson, make space, and stand up. Brunson tries to jump a guillotine mid scramble and ends up on bottom.
CleanShot_2025-07-31_at_13.21.25.gif


I mean, he has literally pulled fighters on top of him, only to get up moments later.
Tavares is pressure passing after DDP pulled him down on top of him. DDP sneaks his left butterfly hook in. Now he can elevate Tavares’s hips. Tavares tries to stay active. As soon as his hips rise DDP stands up, shoots a takedown, and runs Tavares into the cage.
CleanShot_2025-07-31_at_13.16.00.gif


But what’s most important for Du Plessis’s fight with Khamzat Chimaev is his ability to shake people off of his neck. DDP has found himself on the receiving end of several face crank and rear naked choke attempts only to shake people off of his back.
Hawkey is sitting in quarter guard. He postures up to strike. DDP immediately turtles towards the fence. Hawkey has the near hook and far under hook but he gets stuck on the fence. He tries to salvage the scramble by cranking on DDP’s neck. DDP slides out, postures up, and starts striking.
CleanShot_2025-07-31_at_12.39.25.gif


Even against more seasoned grapplers, Du Plessis has been able to turn out of rear naked chokes and fight back to his feet.
Brunson is face cranking with a single hook. His head is on the wrong side. He’s losing chest to back connection. DDP feels it and turns his shoulders to the mat. DDP moves his hips away so he has space to dig an under hook and wall walk back to his feet.
CleanShot_2025-07-31_at_13.23.50.gif

I’m not an idiot. I’m not going to pretend these guys are nearly as good at grappling as Chimaev is. But that’s not the point.

FIGHTERS, ARTISTS, AND ATHLETES

A few years ago Canadian legend Georges St-Pierre gave us a thoughtful explanation of the different types of people that compete in mixed martial arts; fighters, athletes, and artists.

"Fighters are characterized by an unbreakable will and are ready to give up anything to win.
The athletes are the most athletic and the fastest learners. They could probably be succesful at doing any other sport.
The artists are the most creative. They often find different approaches to solve their problems.
Every person has a percentage of each type in themselves. However, one type dominates over the others.
All types have been champion. But I believe it is imperative to find your type in order to optimize your preparation for best results
."

Georges St-Pierre

People like Wanderlei Silva, the Diaz brothers, and Robbie Lawler, are fighters. They don’t care about getting hit as much as they care about giving more back.

St-Pierre himself is the premier example of an athlete. Everything was well trained and timed. All of his work worked.
People like Anderson Silva and Anthony Pettis are artists. Creative. Freely flowing through fights.

Dricus Du Plessis is a fighter. He goes forward and swings. Standing, top, or bottom - it doesn’t matter. He’s giving everything he can for the duration of the fight. And he’s never dropped a single middleweight contest.

Chimaev is an athlete. A buzzsaw prepared to cut through his opponents’ defensive barriers and get to his spots as quickly as possible. He’s done that against all 14 of his opponents but never for a full 25 minutes. He’s only gone past the 7 minute mark twice in his entire MMA career! And that’s what you’re really betting on.

Can Du Plessis keep moving? Will he rope a dope the wrestler? When Chimaev gets his hands locked around Du Plessis’s hips, will the South African flail out of the position until he is free to go on offense like he has before in essentially every fight he’s had? And how will Chimaev respond in the 2nd, 3rd, 4th, and 5th rounds?
Chimaev is not the same fighter in the second and third rounds. Why would you assume his first time in the 4th and 5th rounds will be any better?

I wouldn’t. I also wouldn’t assume it will go that far. But that’s why I’m so excited to watch UFC 319 this weekend.
I have no idea how long this fight will last, nor how it will look, and I couldn’t be more stoked to find out.

This article was written by William for OpenNoteGrappling

View attachment 1108142
Is there a betting line somewhere out there that reads?
Win via retard windmill punch

Not sure who, but I'm pretty sure that's how this will end. Willing to bet 0 dollars on it too!
 
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