Elections Kamala Harris for POTUS

[Bwagster]

When you're taking political advice from someone who ACTUALLY BELIEVES that 1 + 1 = 3 ?

<{ByeHomer}>

When you're taking political advice from someone who ACTUALLY BELIEVES that 1 + 1 = 3 ?

<{ByeHomer}>

I’ll leave you with this genius Democrat.

 

[skysolo]

 

[Paynebringer]

Has anybody done any polls on PA since Kamala announced Walz and they had their rally or were they all completed beforehand?

My general feeling is that Walz is going to be more well liked than Kamala and give her a bump but curious to see how it plays out since they passed over Shapiro.

There are no bets on this one.

 

[Strychnine]

Because she's not President?

 

[Andy Capp]

In the most recent poll...

"The survey of 1,794 U.S. Likely Voters was conducted on August 1 and 4-7, 2024 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence."

Election 2024: Trump 49%, Harris 44%, RFK Jr. 3%

Former President Donald Trump has maintained his lead over Vice President Kamala Harris, and support for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s independent campaign continues to decline.

www.rasmussenreports.com

In the final Rasmussen poll before the election, which had Biden up by 1%, which was the margin he won the popular vote -

"The survey of 1,500 Likely Voters was conducted October 28-29 and November 1, 2020 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence."

White House Watch

President Trump and Democrat Joe Biden are in a near tie in Rasmussen Reports’ final White House Watch survey before Election Day.

www.rasmussenreports.com

Well, I guess we'll soon see. You only have to hang in there a few more months without getting banned and together we can see how it turns out. But since I have no idea why you aren't banned already it'll be--ahem--doubly interesting to see how it goes.

 

[Strychnine]

Neither side has laid out a plan on bring down grocery prices. The nearest thing I have heard from Trump is that he is going to start drill for more oil to bring down cost of transportation. This sounds all well and good until you realize that the cost groceries has far out paced the cost of oil/gas, the correlation isn't there.. This problem exists EVERYWHERE, we are supposed to believe that either side has some magic wand solution that no other country has figured out?

We should ban all sales of U.S. produced oil to foreign countries. This was a law before until 2015.

Crude Oil Markets: Effects of the Repeal of the Crude Oil Export Ban

With U.S. crude oil production nearly doubling from 2009 to 2015, Congress repealed the crude oil export ban in December 2015—allowing the free export...

www.gao.gov

 

[Strychnine]

I’ll leave you with this genius Democrat.

Yup. More than enough morons to go around. That's why I don't follow them in lockstep.

But you do you.

I was stationed at Andersen, Air Base. The Chamorros are wonderful people.

"Guam. Where America's day begins!"

 

[GearSolidMetal]

Well, I guess we'll soon see. You only have to hang in there a few more months without getting banned and together we can see how it turns out. But since I have no idea why you aren't banned already it'll be--ahem--doubly interesting to see how it goes.

All snide sarcasm aside, I'm not trying to be devisive by pointing out some polls have been proven by past election results to be more accurate than others.

I remember vividly the shock of the 2016 election results, and I would have thought the reaction by the left would have been to view ALL election results with a grain of salt, especially general election popular vote polls.

Electoral projections based on state polls are a far more reliable means to be informed of the state of the presidential race.

Here's one by the YouTuber with currently the most subs/views on the subject, based on Nate Silver's model, uploaded 4 hours ago.



And here's one from 2 days ago based on the latest polls.

 

[Andy Capp]

In the most recent poll...

"The survey of 1,794 U.S. Likely Voters was conducted on August 1 and 4-7, 2024 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence."

Election 2024: Trump 49%, Harris 44%, RFK Jr. 3%

Former President Donald Trump has maintained his lead over Vice President Kamala Harris, and support for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s independent campaign continues to decline.

www.rasmussenreports.com

In the final Rasmussen poll before the election, which had Biden up by 1%, which was the margin he won the popular vote -

"The survey of 1,500 Likely Voters was conducted October 28-29 and November 1, 2020 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence."

White House Watch

President Trump and Democrat Joe Biden are in a near tie in Rasmussen Reports’ final White House Watch survey before Election Day.

www.rasmussenreports.com

I wasn't asking about the poll margin, by the way. I was talking about the 1% difference prediction.

 

[Andy Capp]

All snide sarcasm aside, I'm not trying to be devisive by pointing out some polls have been proven by past election results to be more accurate than others.

I remember vividly the shock of the 2016 election results, and I would have thought the reaction by the left would have been to view ALL election results with a grain of salt, especially general election popular vote polls.

Electoral projections based on state polls are a far more reliable means to be informed of the state of the presidential race.

Here's one by the YouTuber with currently the most subs/views on the subject, based on Nate Silver's model, uploaded 4 hours ago.



And here's one from 2 days ago based on the latest polls.

LOL @ youtubers. I'm familiar with how the electoral college works. From everything I can see all the momentum is in favour of the Harris-Walz ticket. I really don't care about what polls say right now because three months is actually quite a bit of time in campaign terms. I don't see that helping the Trump-Vance campaign but obviously I could be wrong. So I guess we'll have to wait and see, as I said.

 

[Jack V Savage]

I wasn't asking about the poll margin, by the way. I was talking about the 1% difference prediction.

Yeah, Biden won the popular vote by 4.5%. WTF is going on here?

 

[GearSolidMetal]

LOL @ youtubers. I'm familiar with how the electoral college works. From everything I can see all the momentum is in favour of the Harris-Walz ticket. I really don't care about what polls say right now because three months is actually quite a bit of time in campaign terms. I don't see that helping the Trump-Vance campaign but obviously I could be wrong. So I guess we'll have to wait and see, as I said.

'Everything is in favor of the Harris-Walz ticket.'
Hard to deny that, especially with the Trump/Biden polls from a month ago implying Trump could with with 350 electoral votes.
Now it a much tighter race unquestionably.

Add to that the DNC is in another week so count on Harris getting another bump in the polls.

But also be cautious that the election is 3 months away and momentum can swing easily, especially after a poor debate performance... as Biden just found out. Add to that, Kamala has had no interviews, tough or friendly in 2.5 weeks, so lets see how that strategy of letting the MSM campaign for her is a smart strategy.

The debates are going to be the key factor if Kamala's favorable poll number turn into favorable election results.

 

[luckyshot]

Can we have a moment of bipartisan accord, and just all agree that Kamala is fine for 59?
k.

Half-black don't half crack.


Funniest thing is that Tim Walz is 6 months older and looks like her dad.

 

[Flower2dPeople]

 

[cottagecheesefan]

Lmao, after trump calls her out for not doing interviews, she basically says she needs weeks to figure it out

 

[Soggust]

'Everything is in favor of the Harris-Walz ticket.'
Hard to deny that, especially with the Trump/Biden polls from a month ago implying Trump could with with 350 electoral votes.
Now it a much tighter race unquestionably.

Add to that the DNC is in another week so count on Harris getting another bump in the polls.

But also be cautious that the election is 3 months away and momentum can swing easily, especially after a poor debate performance... as Biden just found out. Add to that, Kamala has had no interviews, tough or friendly in 2.5 weeks, so lets see how that strategy of letting the MSM campaign for her is a smart strategy.

The debates are going to be the key factor if Kamala's favorable poll number turn into favorable election results.

As much as I shit on like 90% of your posts, I gotta give you credit for a very thoughtful, well balanced take here.

 

[PEB]

 

[Andy Capp]

As much as I shit on like 90% of your posts, I gotta give you credit for a very thoughtful, well balanced take here.

Seriously? He basically repeated everything I said in the post he replied to and then added a couple of what if's at the end.

 

[Soggust]

Seriously? He basically repeated everything I said in the post he replied to and then added a couple of what if's at the end.

Exactly lol.

I agree with the shit you usually say. Him acknowledging and offering a fair take on a path to a Trump victory is like a 100x more balanced position than usual imo.

 

[luckyshot]

Lmao, after trump calls her out for not doing interviews, she basically says she needs weeks to figure it out

She's been too busy erasing Trump's lead.