- Joined
- Jul 22, 2016
- Messages
- 14,911
- Reaction score
- 4,524
Most of the relevant evidence clearly gives the edge to Nunes.
1. Holly is 2-4 since 2016. And her 2 wins were against very weak competition, i.e., Megan Anderson and Bethe Correia. Anderson is 1-2 in the UFC, with her only win coming via injury. And Bethe has only won 1 fight since 2015. Meanwhile, Nunes has been on an absolute tear in recent years, destroying some of the biggest names in WMMA.
2. MMAth is obviously not dispositive, but looking at common opponents is certainly informative. Holly got finished by Miesha and lost clear decisions to Cyborg and Valentina. On the other hand, Nunes bludgeoned Cyborg and Miesha in the first round and beat Valentina twice.
3. Holly is 37 and seemingly on the backside of her career, while Nunes is 31 and still appears to be getting better.
4. People suggest that Nunes will gas. But the last time she had cardio issues was 2016 against Valentina. Since then, she's looked great in 5 round fights against Valentina and Pennington. It appears that any cardio issues she had are now resolved. And even if she still had cardio issues, they only affected her in fights that involved copious amounts of grappling. It seems unlikely that Holly would employ such a tactic, since she's not a grappler and Nunes is clearly better on the ground. If anything, Holly might use the clinch (where she is actually very strong) to tire Nunes out. But that seems like a long shot.
Not really sure about Holly in the clinch either. She did not exactly do well in the clinch against the much smaller Shevchenko. Sure, Shev has a great clinch but in the ring she looked like Holly's kid sister.