War Wagon Gane is going to shock the world.

Al Tair

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Aspinall’s a human highlight reel, but Gane’s slick footwork and technical game might just steal the show.
Picture Gane dancing around Ngannou’s bombs at UFC 270, landing crisp counters and kicks over five rounds—his heavyweight ballet could make Aspinall chase and test that unproven gas tank.

Tom’s has quick KOs over Pavlovich and Blaydes, plus a slick sub on Volkov , but he’s faced no one with Gane’s finesse. Gane was outstriking Volkov 146-106 and TKO’ing Lewis with surgical precision.

Aspinall’s never seen round 3 in 18 fights , while Gane’s gone 25 minutes against Ngannou and Volkov—can Tom keep up if Gane drags him to deep waters?

Seriously, if Gane avoids the early storm, he might outpoint or even finish a gassed Aspinall.

48-47 Gane, you heard it here first folks.
 

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Aspinall’s a human highlight reel, but Gane’s slick footwork and technical game might just steal the show.
Picture Gane dancing around Ngannou’s bombs at UFC 270, landing crisp counters and kicks over five rounds—his heavyweight ballet could make Aspinall chase and test that unproven gas tank.
Ngannou's standup is slow as fuck when he's not throwing crisp bent-arm counters; that's what happens when you have bad knees, an 83 inch reach, and like to wing power shots from a distance, and the result is a 41% significant strike accuracy rate with 2.33 significant strikes landed per minute and fighters like pre-injury Gane easily avoiding damage on the feet. Aspinall is pretty much the anti-Ngannou in stand-up, using speed to overwhelm while still maintaining very good power. The result is 67% accuracy and 8.07 significant strikes landed per minute, something you don't just dance around, especially in your first fight back from major foot surgery.

And that's just the standing striking. Once you get to the ground, Gane is totally fucked against Aspinall.
 
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You're complimenting him and arguing me by bringing up a fight he lost by getting laid on? He got dominated by a guy with awful grappling via getting laid on. He's shit.
It was 48-47 I recall, which is impressive given the danger ngannou possesses on the feet.

Also, I wouldn't compare ngannou wrestling with Toms', Ngannou has success because of his brute strength.

Tom is an opportunistic explosive wrestler, you don't see him go for single legs, trips etc. I am really skeptical he 'll be able to pin down Gane.
 
Franks knee was shot and he didn't fight his usual fight. It's all what ifs now but clearly the injury made the fight.
Frank also had reach advantage, yet couldn't find the mark. I doubt Tom can find the target, especially in the later rounds.
 
Tom explains all the things he has that Ganes does not.


Again, styles make fights.

Gane is not a KO artist, but he is very good at controlling the pace of his fights , distance management and head movement. If Aspinall doesn't fully commit to a grappling heavy game and finishing the fight, I see him getting slower and getting tagged from the outside (kicks, jabs etc), losing 48-47 or 49-46
 

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