ESPN+ 2 Assuncao vs Moraes II BETS

[Soccer Steve]

Moraes ML - 3u for 1.8u
Assuncao-Moraes Draw - 0.1u for 7u

Moicano ML - 2u for 1.6u
Moicano Decision - 1u for 2.3u
Aldo +3.5 Points - 2u for 1u
Over 2.5 Rounds - 3u for 1.3u
Moicano Round 3 - 0.25u for 2.4u
Aldo Round 1 - 0.25 for 2.9u

Maia ML - 3u for 1.8u
Maia Sub - 1u for 1.5u
Good Decision - 0.5u for 2.5u

Teymur ML - 4u for 3.5u
Teymur KO - 0.5u for 1.4u

Frota ML - 1u for 1.9u

Alves ML - 2u for 3.8u
Alves KO - 2u for 13u
Alves Round 3 - 0.5u for 10.5u

Ledet ML - 1.5u for 2.6u

Ramos ML - 2u for 1.7u

Bontorin ML - 1u for 3.4u
Bontorin Sub - 1u for 9.5u

Albini ML - 2.5u for 2.4u
Albini Sub - 0.5u for 2.5u
Over 1.5 Rounds - 2u for 1.6u
Starts Round 3 - 1u for 1.2u

Borella ML - 3u for 4.4u

Hernandez+Moraes - 1u for 1u
Assuncao-Moraes ITD + Aldo +3.5 points + Maia Sub + Teymur KO - 0.01u for 4u

This is me. Pretty much anything will be an improvement over ESPN+ 1's debacle so in that regard I'm confident in the above not being all wrong. haha
A shade over 40u committed and I'm good with that. I think I'm going to have to change strategies after this event though. There's just so many coming and there's no way I can see myself keeping up. I barely even watch tape too. Kudos to those of you who do and contribute here. Saves some of us immense amounts of time.

Good luck all.

Was busy last night so just watched it now on fightpass. That was the exact opposite Teymur I expected to show up. As much as people warned about betting on cavemen like Frota and Albini, I didn't listen. Next card I'm picking 4-5 spots and seeing how it goes. This all-fight action is not working.

Got my ass kicked for 13u. I'm glad I bet gumball money, masked by the word 'unit', because that's two rough one's in a row now.

 

[DevilsPt2]

Lost about 10U on the last card.

Assuncao +195 3U
Aldo +150 3U
Teymur +105 2U
Ledet +225 1U
Bibulatov DEC -110 1.1U

Only fav I feel compelled to bet is Maia but decided against it. There are probably other good dogs on this card as well but I think all the dogs I bet besides maybe Ledet should be favored.

Down ~1.5U. Terrible start to the year but I'm optimistic.

 

[Macaque]

Up 18.4u from this.

 

[null]

In hindsight going so big on diaper wearing Junior Albini wasn't such a great idea even though he had Rozenstruik down in round one and in mount, but couldn't finish him by submission or by ground & pound like he should have. Demian Maia and Marlon Moraes winning on the main card helped keep this from being a bigger bloodbath and limited my loss to 15.1 units.

UFN 144 on ESPN+ 2 Results Risk $6,697.75

Marlon Moraes (-150) vs Raphael Assuncao $300.00 for $200.00= $200.00
Marlon Moraes wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+275) $40.00 for $110.00= -$40.00
Raphael Assuncao wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+1025) $25.00 for $256.25= -$25.00

Renato Moicano (-135) vs Jose Aldo $540.00 for $400.00= -$540.00

Demian Maia (-150) vs Lyman Good $300.00 for $200.00= $200.00
Demian Maia (-150) vs Lyman Good $300.00 for $200.00= $200.00
Demian Maia wins inside distance (+140) $50.00 for $70.00= $70.00
Demian Maia wins by submission (+165) $50.00 for $82.50= $82.50
Demian Maia/Lyman Good Under 1½ (+130) $100.00 for $130.00= $130.00
Demian Maia/Lyman Good won't go 3 round distance (-180) $180.00 for $100.00= $100.00

David Teymur (+102) vs Chales Oliveira $100.00 for $102.00= -$100.00
David Teymur (+100) vs Charles Oliveira $100.00 for $100.00= -$100.00
David Teymur wins by TKO/KO (+309) $35.00 for $108.15= -$35.00
Charles Oliveira wins by submission (+158) $65.00 for $102.70= $102.70
Charles Oliveira wins in round 1 (+300) $40.00 for $120.00= -$40.00
David Teymur wins in round 2 (+800) $25.00 for $200.00= -$25.00
David Teymur wins in round 3 (+1200) $20.00 for $240.00= -$20.00

Johnny Walker (-207) vs Justin Ledet $207.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Johnny Walker wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+170) $75.00 for $127.50= $127.50
Johnny Walker/Justin Ledet Under 2½ (-132) $132.00 for $100.00= $100.00

Sarah Frota (+185) vs Livia Renata Souza $200.00 for $370.00= -$200.00
Sarah Frota wins by TKO/KO +(725) $25.00 for $181.25= -$25.00
Livia Renata Souza wins by submission (+185) $50.00 for $92.50= -$50.00
Sarah Frota/Livia Renata Souza Under 2½ (-130) $130.00 for $100.00= -$130.00

Markus Perez (+145) vs Anthony Hernandez $200.00 for $290.00= $290.00

Thiago Alves/Max Griffin Over 2½ (-207) $155.25 for $75.00= $75.00

Taila Santos (-170) vs Mara Romero Borella $170.00 for $100.00= -$170.00
Taila Santos wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+500) $30.00 for $150.00= -$30.00

Junior Albini (+110) vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik $200.00 for $220.00= -$200.00
Junior Albini (+110) vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik $200.00 for $220.00= -$200.00
Junior Albini (+110) vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik $100.00 for $110.00= -$100.00
Junior Albini (+109) vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik ~$448.50 for ~$488.87= -~$448.50
Junior Albini (+105) vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik $200.00 for $210.00= -$200.00
Junior Albini (+100) vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik $300.00 for $300.00= -$300.00
Junior Albini (+100) vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik $200.00 for $200.00= -$200.00
Junior Albini (+100) vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik $200.00 for $200.00= -$200.00
Junior Albini wins by TKO/KO (+270) $50.00 for $135.00= -$50.00
Junior Albini/Jairzinho Rozenstruik Under 1½ (+110) $100.00 for $110.00= $110.00
Junior Albini/Jairzinho Rozenstruik Under 1½ (+105) $100.00 for $105.00= $105.00
Junior Albini/Jairzinho Rozenstruik won’t start round 3 (-135) $135.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Junior Albini/Jairzinho Rozenstruik won't go 3 round distance (-205) $205.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Junior Albini/Jairzinho Rozenstruik won't go 3 round distance (-240) $240.00 for $100.00= $100.00

Felipe Colares/Geraldo de Freitas Under 2½ (+112) $75.00 for $84.00= -$75.00

Ricardo Ramos (-115) vs Said Nurmagomedov $230.00 for $200.01= -$230.00

Magomed Bibulatov -3½ points (-175) vs Rogerio Bontorin $70.00 for $40.00= -$70.00
-----
Sub-Total= -$1,062.30
Sub-Total= -~$448.50

Total Loss= -$1,510.80

 

[SalvadorAllende]

Late as usual but just to keep on track:

Aldo ML: 2.5u to win 3.68u

Total: 3.68u up

 

[t6p]

1u Moraes -151 +0.66u

1u Moicano -129 -1u

0.05u Good RD3 +1325 -0.05u

0.12u Oliveira +833 +1u

0.75u Ledet +250 -0.75u

0.025u Teymur DEC/Good KO/Moicano DEC/Moraes DEC +11412 -0.025u

NET: -0.165u

Pretty much a wash. Should have gone with my gut and played Aldo when he was +150 or better.

 

[Stunna77]

2.5u Aldo +155
.1u Aldo KO +865
.625u Aldo NSC +206

2.5u Maia -104 (doubled with Colbert - boxing)
.25u Maia Dec +400

1.75u Teymur +120 (had some doubled with Bader)
.25u Teymur dec +381

1u Alves +195
.25u Alves dec +350
.05u Alves rd3 +2100

.5u Ledet +265

.625u Perez NSC +140
.25u Perez Sub +485

.25u Albini Sub +940

.1u Bontarin Sub +1245
.05u Nurmy rd3 +2000

Watching Moraes and Santos lines, will likely be on them for 1-2u if movement continues.

Won a shade under $2,400 or 12u. Great night betting wise and even better night getting to see Aldo continue his WEC version resurgence! Hope all did well. Oh and the pacing of ESPN+ is fucking great, hope that is the new normal.