ESPN+ 2 Assuncao vs Moraes II BETS

Was busy last night so just watched it now on fightpass. That was the exact opposite Teymur I expected to show up. As much as people warned about betting on cavemen like Frota and Albini, I didn't listen. Next card I'm picking 4-5 spots and seeing how it goes. This all-fight action is not working.

Got my ass kicked for 13u. I'm glad I bet gumball money, masked by the word 'unit', because that's two rough one's in a row now.

 

Down ~1.5U. Terrible start to the year but I'm optimistic.

 

Up 18.4u from this.

 

In hindsight going so big on diaper wearing Junior Albini wasn't such a great idea even though he had Rozenstruik down in round one and in mount, but couldn't finish him by submission or by ground & pound like he should have. Demian Maia and Marlon Moraes winning on the main card helped keep this from being a bigger bloodbath and limited my loss to 15.1 units.

UFN 144 on ESPN+ 2 Results Risk $6,697.75

Marlon Moraes (-150) vs Raphael Assuncao $300.00 for $200.00= $200.00
Marlon Moraes wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+275) $40.00 for $110.00= -$40.00
Raphael Assuncao wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+1025) $25.00 for $256.25= -$25.00

Renato Moicano (-135) vs Jose Aldo $540.00 for $400.00= -$540.00

Demian Maia (-150) vs Lyman Good $300.00 for $200.00= $200.00
Demian Maia (-150) vs Lyman Good $300.00 for $200.00= $200.00
Demian Maia wins inside distance (+140) $50.00 for $70.00= $70.00
Demian Maia wins by submission (+165) $50.00 for $82.50= $82.50
Demian Maia/Lyman Good Under 1½ (+130) $100.00 for $130.00= $130.00
Demian Maia/Lyman Good won't go 3 round distance (-180) $180.00 for $100.00= $100.00

David Teymur (+102) vs Chales Oliveira $100.00 for $102.00= -$100.00
David Teymur (+100) vs Charles Oliveira $100.00 for $100.00= -$100.00
David Teymur wins by TKO/KO (+309) $35.00 for $108.15= -$35.00
Charles Oliveira wins by submission (+158) $65.00 for $102.70= $102.70
Charles Oliveira wins in round 1 (+300) $40.00 for $120.00= -$40.00
David Teymur wins in round 2 (+800) $25.00 for $200.00= -$25.00
David Teymur wins in round 3 (+1200) $20.00 for $240.00= -$20.00

Johnny Walker (-207) vs Justin Ledet $207.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Johnny Walker wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+170) $75.00 for $127.50= $127.50
Johnny Walker/Justin Ledet Under 2½ (-132) $132.00 for $100.00= $100.00

Sarah Frota (+185) vs Livia Renata Souza $200.00 for $370.00= -$200.00
Sarah Frota wins by TKO/KO +(725) $25.00 for $181.25= -$25.00
Livia Renata Souza wins by submission (+185) $50.00 for $92.50= -$50.00
Sarah Frota/Livia Renata Souza Under 2½ (-130) $130.00 for $100.00= -$130.00

Markus Perez (+145) vs Anthony Hernandez $200.00 for $290.00= $290.00

Thiago Alves/Max Griffin Over 2½ (-207) $155.25 for $75.00= $75.00

Taila Santos (-170) vs Mara Romero Borella $170.00 for $100.00= -$170.00
Taila Santos wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+500) $30.00 for $150.00= -$30.00

Junior Albini (+110) vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik $200.00 for $220.00= -$200.00
Junior Albini (+110) vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik $200.00 for $220.00= -$200.00
Junior Albini (+110) vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik $100.00 for $110.00= -$100.00
Junior Albini (+109) vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik ~$448.50 for ~$488.87= -~$448.50
Junior Albini (+105) vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik $200.00 for $210.00= -$200.00
Junior Albini (+100) vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik $300.00 for $300.00= -$300.00
Junior Albini (+100) vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik $200.00 for $200.00= -$200.00
Junior Albini (+100) vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik $200.00 for $200.00= -$200.00
Junior Albini wins by TKO/KO (+270) $50.00 for $135.00= -$50.00
Junior Albini/Jairzinho Rozenstruik Under 1½ (+110) $100.00 for $110.00= $110.00
Junior Albini/Jairzinho Rozenstruik Under 1½ (+105) $100.00 for $105.00= $105.00
Junior Albini/Jairzinho Rozenstruik won’t start round 3 (-135) $135.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Junior Albini/Jairzinho Rozenstruik won't go 3 round distance (-205) $205.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Junior Albini/Jairzinho Rozenstruik won't go 3 round distance (-240) $240.00 for $100.00= $100.00

Felipe Colares/Geraldo de Freitas Under 2½ (+112) $75.00 for $84.00= -$75.00

Ricardo Ramos (-115) vs Said Nurmagomedov $230.00 for $200.01= -$230.00

Magomed Bibulatov -3½ points (-175) vs Rogerio Bontorin $70.00 for $40.00= -$70.00
-----
Sub-Total= -$1,062.30
Sub-Total= -~$448.50

Total Loss= -$1,510.80

 

Late as usual but just to keep on track:

Aldo ML: 2.5u to win 3.68u

Total: 3.68u up

 

1u Moraes -151 +0.66u

1u Moicano -129 -1u

0.05u Good RD3 +1325 -0.05u

0.12u Oliveira +833 +1u

0.75u Ledet +250 -0.75u

0.025u Teymur DEC/Good KO/Moicano DEC/Moraes DEC +11412 -0.025u

NET: -0.165u

Pretty much a wash. Should have gone with my gut and played Aldo when he was +150 or better.

 

Won a shade under $2,400 or 12u. Great night betting wise and even better night getting to see Aldo continue his WEC version resurgence! Hope all did well. Oh and the pacing of ESPN+ is fucking great, hope that is the new normal.