ESPN+ 2 Assuncao vs Moraes II BETS

2.5u Aldo +155
.1u Aldo KO +865
.625u Aldo NSC +206

2.5u Maia -104 (doubled with Colbert - boxing)
.25u Maia Dec +400

1.75u Teymur +120 (had some doubled with Bader)
.25u Teymur dec +381

1u Alves +195
.25u Alves dec +350
.05u Alves rd3 +2100

.5u Ledet +265

.625u Perez NSC +140
.25u Perez Sub +485

.25u Albini Sub +940

.1u Bontarin Sub +1245
.05u Nurmy rd3 +2000

Watching Moraes and Santos lines, will likely be on them for 1-2u if movement continues.
 
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Stunna77 said:
2.5u Aldo +155
.1u Aldo KO +865
.625u Aldo NSC +206

2.5u Maia -104 (doubled with Colbert - boxing)
.25u Maia Dec +400

1.75u Teymur +120 (had some doubled with Bader)
.25u Teymur dec +381

1u Alves +195
.25u Alves dec +350
.05u Alves rd3 +2100

.5u Ledet +265

.625u Perez NSC +140
.25u Perez Sub +485

.25u Albini Sub +940

.1u Bontarin Sub +1245
.05u Nurmy rd3 +2000

Watching Moraes and Santos lines, will likely be on them for 1-2u if movement continues.
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Really like that Albini +940 sub bet! Good on ya! When I checked the odds they were down to +450. Also got me a full unit of Aldo KO/TKO @+900. Seems crazy to me, I would give Aldo a good 25% chance of getting the KO.
 
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Ricardo Ramos itd @ 3.65 1u

Thiago Alves itd @ 6 1u

Rogerio Bontori itd @ 6.8 1u

Taila Santos dec @ 2.25 1u

Markus Perez itd @ 3 1u

Junior Albini itd @ 2.7 1u

JohnnyWalker dec @ 3.56 1u

Charls Oliveira itd @ 2.17 1u

Demian Maia itd @ 2.22 1u

Thiago and charles parlay @ 7.5 1u

all brazilians parlay to win 1M.

i dont like to bet wide, but I think the time for brazilians to go 9/9 has come.
 
Sauna said:
Ricardo Ramos itd @ 3.65 1u

Thiago Alves itd @ 6 1u

Rogerio Bontori itd @ 6.8 1u

Taila Santos dec @ 2.25 1u

Markus Perez itd @ 3 1u

Junior Albini itd @ 2.7 1u

JohnnyWalker dec @ 3.56 1u

Charls Oliveira itd @ 2.17 1u

Demian Maia itd @ 2.22 1u

Thiago and charles parlay @ 7.5 1u

all brazilians parlay to win 1M.

i dont like to bet wide, but I think the time for brazilians to go 9/9 has come.
Click to expand...
Straight bets against your religion?
 
JimGunn said:
Straight bets against your religion?
Click to expand...

Region? Don't know what you are saying, but I'm knee deep in snow so I don't think those Northmen can handle the climate change.

edit. Yes, they are.
 
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Moraes -166 $500

Aldo +151 $500

Maia -171 $750
Maia DEC +400 $45

Teymur DEC +375 $100

Souza -185 $185

Perez NSC +140 $100

Santos -188 $250
Borella NSC -115 $230
Borella SUB +585 $25

Albini sub +940 $45

Likely adding to Souza if I can get -1xx. Will play Ramos and Teymur ML small at + odds. $45 bets = trying not to move the line (if you bet less than 50% of your max allowed at 5dimes, the lines don't move)
 
Moraes ML - 3u for 1.8u
Assuncao-Moraes Draw - 0.1u for 7u

Moicano ML - 2u for 1.6u
Moicano Decision - 1u for 2.3u
Aldo +3.5 Points - 2u for 1u
Over 2.5 Rounds - 3u for 1.3u
Moicano Round 3 - 0.25u for 2.4u
Aldo Round 1 - 0.25 for 2.9u

Maia ML - 3u for 1.8u
Maia Sub - 1u for 1.5u
Good Decision - 0.5u for 2.5u

Teymur ML - 4u for 3.5u
Teymur KO - 0.5u for 1.4u

Frota ML - 1u for 1.9u

Alves ML - 2u for 3.8u
Alves KO - 2u for 13u
Alves Round 3 - 0.5u for 10.5u

Ledet ML - 1.5u for 2.6u

Ramos ML - 2u for 1.7u

Bontorin ML - 1u for 3.4u
Bontorin Sub - 1u for 9.5u

Albini ML - 2.5u for 2.4u
Albini Sub - 0.5u for 2.5u
Over 1.5 Rounds - 2u for 1.6u
Starts Round 3 - 1u for 1.2u

Borella ML - 3u for 4.4u

Hernandez+Moraes - 1u for 1u
Assuncao-Moraes ITD + Aldo +3.5 points + Maia Sub + Teymur KO - 0.01u for 4u

This is me. Pretty much anything will be an improvement over ESPN+ 1's debacle so in that regard I'm confident in the above not being all wrong. haha
A shade over 40u committed and I'm good with that. I think I'm going to have to change strategies after this event though. There's just so many coming and there's no way I can see myself keeping up. I barely even watch tape too. Kudos to those of you who do and contribute here. Saves some of us immense amounts of time.

Good luck all.
 
5u Albini @ 1.85 (-117)
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Maxed- I know, I know.. Lots of juice.

Pending 2/2/19 10:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1141 Aldo points handicap +3½ -195* vs Moicano points handicap
Pending 2/2/19 9:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1204 Fight won't go 3 round distance -215* vs Good / Maia goes 3 round distance
Pending 2/2/19 9:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1304 Fight won't go 3 round distance -205* vs Oliveira / Teymur goes 3 round distance
Pending 2/2/19 8:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1542 Souza points handicap -3½ -115* vs Frota points handicap
 
Likely my final plays for this card:

Jose Aldo +145 vs. Renato Moicano $250 to win $362.50

Ricardo Ramos -115 vs. Said Nurmagomedov $287.50 to win $250
Ricardo Ramos -110 vs. Said Nurmagomedov $275 to win $250
Ricardo Ramos wins inside the distance +300 $82.50 to win $250

Sarah Frota +210 vs. Livia Renata Souza $625 to win $1,312.50
Sarah Frota wins inside the distance +430 $62.50 to win $268.75

Demian Maia -150 vs. Lyman Good $750 to win $500
Demian Maia wins by submission +165 $150 to win $250

Junior Albini +110 vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik $500 to win $550
Junior Albini vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik under 1.5 rounds +110 $250 to win $275
Junior Albini vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik does not go to decision -185 $462.50 to win $250

Markus Perez +205 vs. Anthony Hernandez $625 to win $1,281.25
Markus Perez wins by decision +625 $50 to win $312.50

David Teymur -130 vs. Charles Oliveira $650 to win $500
David Teymur +100 vs. Charles Oliveira $500 to win $500
Charles Oliveira wins by submission +165 $700 to win $1,155

Mara Romero Borella +180 vs. Talia Santos $250 to win $450
Mara Romero Borella wins by submission +585 $50 to win $292.50

Raphael Assuncao vs. Marlon Moraes does not start round 5 +150 $250 to win $375
Raphael Assuncao wins by ko/tko +1025 $62.50 to win $640

Thiago Alves vs. Max Griffin under 2.5 rounds +185 $250 to win $462.50

$25 to win $1,801:
  • Junior Albini wins by submission
  • Demian Maia wins by submission
  • Charles Oliveira wins by submission

+$1,060 / 4.24 units
 
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Maia ML -175 2u
Aldo ML +120 1u
Aldo KO/TKO +730 1u
Albini Wins in Rd. 3 +1050 1u
 
Moraes Dec 1u for 1.7u

Aldo ML 1u for 1.22u
Aldo KO .5u for 3.5u

Maia Sub 1u for 1.7u
Good 3 or Dec 1u for 4u

Teymur KO 1u for 3.5u
3rd or dec 1u for .99u

Ledet ML 1u for 2.02u
u2.5 2u for 1.6u

Frota ML 1u for 1.93u
Frota ko .5u for 3.75u

Perez ML 2u for 3.96u

Borella ML 1u for 1.46u

Alvez ML 2u for 3.72u
Alvez ko .5u for 3.75u

Albini Sub 1u for 5u
u1.5 1u for 1u

Colares 1u for 1.07u

Bontorin 2u for 7.7u
Bontorin sub .5u for 5u

Ramos ML 2u for 1.68u

Had too much time to make bets again.. Looking forward to the card! GL all
 
moraes 1.52 3u
de la rosa @1.48 9.8u
olivera @2.5 5u
borella [email protected] 1.8u
aldo @2.39 5.2u
ledet@ 3.25 2.4u
moicano @1.8 1.2u

will trade at least half of my de la rosa bets out to raise my avg price, and completely freeroll olivera, aldo, ledet and beralla lines.
 
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Lot of confidence on Albini is one of the themes I'm seeing this week.

I hope it's warranted, I'm probably going to tuck him into a parlay.
 
LiquidNuke said:
Lot of confidence on Albini is one of the themes I'm seeing this week.

I hope it's warranted, I'm probably going to tuck him into a parlay.
Click to expand...
Whether confidence in Albini is justified has been controversial to say the least! ;) But it's one of the bets on this card that I'm most satisfied with!
 
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LiquidNuke said:
Lot of confidence on Albini is one of the themes I'm seeing this week.

I hope it's warranted, I'm probably going to tuck him into a parlay.
Click to expand...

I definitely wouldn't put him into a parlay. I think it's a poor idea betting on Albini to begin with, but if you absolutely must, just do a solo bet. I actually like the Albini sub line for +900, but that is no longer available.
 
Ramos -115 1.1u
Alves +195 1.25u
Santos -160 0.8u
Perez +170 1u
Frota +180 0.5u
Frota/Souza U2.5 -125 1u
Ledet +175 0.5u
Teymur -125 1.25u
Teymur DEC +330 0.25u
Aldo +140 2.5u
Aldo ITD +550 0.3u
Aldo KO/TKO +830 0.25u
Assuncao KO/TKO +815 0.5u
Moraes/Assuncao wont start R5 +170 0.6u
Moraes -165 4.5u

Good luck fellas!
 
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