ESPN+ 2 Assuncao vs Moraes II BETS

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by Naught2Sixty, Jan 25, 2019.

  1. Stunna77

    Stunna77 Purple Belt

    Joined:
    Dec 10, 2015
    Messages:
    2,141
    Likes Received:
    3,303
    2.5u Aldo +155
    .1u Aldo KO +865
    .625u Aldo NSC +206

    2.5u Maia -104 (doubled with Colbert - boxing)
    .25u Maia Dec +400

    1.75u Teymur +120 (had some doubled with Bader)
    .25u Teymur dec +381

    1u Alves +195
    .25u Alves dec +350
    .05u Alves rd3 +2100

    .5u Ledet +265

    .625u Perez NSC +140
    .25u Perez Sub +485

    .25u Albini Sub +940

    .1u Bontarin Sub +1245
    .05u Nurmy rd3 +2000

    Watching Moraes and Santos lines, will likely be on them for 1-2u if movement continues.
     
    Last edited: Jan 29, 2019
  2. BaruchSpinoza

    BaruchSpinoza Optical lens grinder

    Joined:
    Jan 13, 2019
    Messages:
    131
    Likes Received:
    122
    Really like that Albini +940 sub bet! Good on ya! When I checked the odds they were down to +450. Also got me a full unit of Aldo KO/TKO @+900. Seems crazy to me, I would give Aldo a good 25% chance of getting the KO.
     
    Last edited: Jan 29, 2019
    Stunna77 likes this.
  3. Sauna

    Sauna White Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 31, 2018
    Messages:
    41
    Likes Received:
    33
    Ricardo Ramos itd @ 3.65 1u

    Thiago Alves itd @ 6 1u

    Rogerio Bontori itd @ 6.8 1u

    Taila Santos dec @ 2.25 1u

    Markus Perez itd @ 3 1u

    Junior Albini itd @ 2.7 1u

    JohnnyWalker dec @ 3.56 1u

    Charls Oliveira itd @ 2.17 1u

    Demian Maia itd @ 2.22 1u

    Thiago and charles parlay @ 7.5 1u

    all brazilians parlay to win 1M.

    i dont like to bet wide, but I think the time for brazilians to go 9/9 has come.
     
    Sadistics and Naught2Sixty like this.
  4. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Nov 21, 2013
    Messages:
    12,878
    Likes Received:
    7,986
    Straight bets against your religion?
     
    zeckdo and ClipYourDirtyWings like this.
  5. Sauna

    Sauna White Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 31, 2018
    Messages:
    41
    Likes Received:
    33
    Region? Don't know what you are saying, but I'm knee deep in snow so I don't think those Northmen can handle the climate change.

    edit. Yes, they are.
     
    Last edited: Jan 29, 2019
  6. Sadistics

    Sadistics Purple Belt

    Joined:
    Dec 22, 2015
    Messages:
    1,628
    Likes Received:
    3,763
    Moraes -166 $500

    Aldo +151 $500

    Maia -171 $750
    Maia DEC +400 $45

    Teymur DEC +375 $100

    Souza -185 $185

    Perez NSC +140 $100

    Santos -188 $250
    Borella NSC -115 $230
    Borella SUB +585 $25

    Albini sub +940 $45

    Likely adding to Souza if I can get -1xx. Will play Ramos and Teymur ML small at + odds. $45 bets = trying not to move the line (if you bet less than 50% of your max allowed at 5dimes, the lines don't move)
     
  7. Mortex2

    Mortex2 Green Belt

    Joined:
    Jan 12, 2012
    Messages:
    989
    Likes Received:
    142
    Jordan3399 likes this.
  8. Soccer Steve

    Soccer Steve Green Belt

    Joined:
    Apr 7, 2016
    Messages:
    1,042
    Likes Received:
    938
    Location:
    Canada
    Moraes ML - 3u for 1.8u
    Assuncao-Moraes Draw - 0.1u for 7u

    Moicano ML - 2u for 1.6u
    Moicano Decision - 1u for 2.3u
    Aldo +3.5 Points - 2u for 1u
    Over 2.5 Rounds - 3u for 1.3u
    Moicano Round 3 - 0.25u for 2.4u
    Aldo Round 1 - 0.25 for 2.9u

    Maia ML - 3u for 1.8u
    Maia Sub - 1u for 1.5u
    Good Decision - 0.5u for 2.5u

    Teymur ML - 4u for 3.5u
    Teymur KO - 0.5u for 1.4u

    Frota ML - 1u for 1.9u

    Alves ML - 2u for 3.8u
    Alves KO - 2u for 13u
    Alves Round 3 - 0.5u for 10.5u

    Ledet ML - 1.5u for 2.6u

    Ramos ML - 2u for 1.7u

    Bontorin ML - 1u for 3.4u
    Bontorin Sub - 1u for 9.5u

    Albini ML - 2.5u for 2.4u
    Albini Sub - 0.5u for 2.5u
    Over 1.5 Rounds - 2u for 1.6u
    Starts Round 3 - 1u for 1.2u

    Borella ML - 3u for 4.4u

    Hernandez+Moraes - 1u for 1u
    Assuncao-Moraes ITD + Aldo +3.5 points + Maia Sub + Teymur KO - 0.01u for 4u

    This is me. Pretty much anything will be an improvement over ESPN+ 1's debacle so in that regard I'm confident in the above not being all wrong. haha
    A shade over 40u committed and I'm good with that. I think I'm going to have to change strategies after this event though. There's just so many coming and there's no way I can see myself keeping up. I barely even watch tape too. Kudos to those of you who do and contribute here. Saves some of us immense amounts of time.

    Good luck all.
     
  9. Kyle Stephens

    Kyle Stephens Blue Belt

    Joined:
    Nov 11, 2018
    Messages:
    670
    Likes Received:
    554
    5u Albini @ 1.85 (-117)
    [​IMG]
     
    Reign Supreme, edole, Roads55 and 3 others like this.
  10. TrueAscension

    TrueAscension Yellow Belt

    Joined:
    Jun 15, 2018
    Messages:
    167
    Likes Received:
    116
    Maxed- I know, I know.. Lots of juice.

    Pending 2/2/19 10:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1141 Aldo points handicap +3½ -195* vs Moicano points handicap
    Pending 2/2/19 9:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1204 Fight won't go 3 round distance -215* vs Good / Maia goes 3 round distance
    Pending 2/2/19 9:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1304 Fight won't go 3 round distance -205* vs Oliveira / Teymur goes 3 round distance
    Pending 2/2/19 8:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1542 Souza points handicap -3½ -115* vs Frota points handicap
     
  11. ClipYourDirtyWings

    ClipYourDirtyWings The Best is Blessed

    Joined:
    May 16, 2018
    Messages:
    327
    Likes Received:
    350
    Likely my final plays for this card:

    Jose Aldo +145 vs. Renato Moicano $250 to win $362.50

    Ricardo Ramos -115 vs. Said Nurmagomedov $287.50 to win $250
    Ricardo Ramos -110 vs. Said Nurmagomedov $275 to win $250
    Ricardo Ramos wins inside the distance +300 $82.50 to win $250


    Sarah Frota +210 vs. Livia Renata Souza $625 to win $1,312.50
    Sarah Frota wins inside the distance +430 $62.50 to win $268.75


    Demian Maia -150 vs. Lyman Good $750 to win $500
    Demian Maia wins by submission +165 $150 to win $250


    Junior Albini +110 vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik $500 to win $550
    Junior Albini vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik under 1.5 rounds +110 $250 to win $275
    Junior Albini vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik does not go to decision -185 $462.50 to win $250


    Markus Perez +205 vs. Anthony Hernandez $625 to win $1,281.25
    Markus Perez wins by decision +625 $50 to win $312.50

    David Teymur -130 vs. Charles Oliveira $650 to win $500
    David Teymur +100 vs. Charles Oliveira $500 to win $500

    Charles Oliveira wins by submission +165 $700 to win $1,155

    Mara Romero Borella +180 vs. Talia Santos $250 to win $450
    Mara Romero Borella wins by submission +585 $50 to win $292.50

    Raphael Assuncao vs. Marlon Moraes does not start round 5 +150 $250 to win $375
    Raphael Assuncao wins by ko/tko +1025 $62.50 to win $640

    Thiago Alves vs. Max Griffin under 2.5 rounds +185 $250 to win $462.50

    $25 to win $1,801:
    • Junior Albini wins by submission
    • Demian Maia wins by submission
    • Charles Oliveira wins by submission

    +$1,060 / 4.24 units
     
    Last edited: Feb 2, 2019
  12. Guffman

    Guffman Orange Belt

    Joined:
    Sep 3, 2013
    Messages:
    324
    Likes Received:
    561
    Location:
    Chicago
    Maia ML -175 2u
    Aldo ML +120 1u
    Aldo KO/TKO +730 1u
    Albini Wins in Rd. 3 +1050 1u
     
    Jordan3399 and t6p like this.
  13. Cockadoodle

    Cockadoodle Yellow Belt

    Joined:
    Nov 8, 2018
    Messages:
    229
    Likes Received:
    199
    Moraes Dec 1u for 1.7u

    Aldo ML 1u for 1.22u
    Aldo KO .5u for 3.5u

    Maia Sub 1u for 1.7u
    Good 3 or Dec 1u for 4u

    Teymur KO 1u for 3.5u
    3rd or dec 1u for .99u

    Ledet ML 1u for 2.02u
    u2.5 2u for 1.6u

    Frota ML 1u for 1.93u
    Frota ko .5u for 3.75u

    Perez ML 2u for 3.96u

    Borella ML 1u for 1.46u

    Alvez ML 2u for 3.72u
    Alvez ko .5u for 3.75u

    Albini Sub 1u for 5u
    u1.5 1u for 1u

    Colares 1u for 1.07u

    Bontorin 2u for 7.7u
    Bontorin sub .5u for 5u

    Ramos ML 2u for 1.68u

    Had too much time to make bets again.. Looking forward to the card! GL all
     
    Jordan3399 and t6p like this.
  14. Roads55

    Roads55 Brown Belt

    Joined:
    Nov 4, 2010
    Messages:
    3,949
    Likes Received:
    1,480
    Location:
    up A mountain in Wales
    moraes 1.52 3u
    de la rosa @1.48 9.8u
    olivera @2.5 5u
    borella [email protected] 1.8u
    aldo @2.39 5.2u
    [email protected] 3.25 2.4u
    moicano @1.8 1.2u

    will trade at least half of my de la rosa bets out to raise my avg price, and completely freeroll olivera, aldo, ledet and beralla lines.
     
    Last edited: Feb 1, 2019
  15. LiquidNuke

    LiquidNuke Orange Belt

    Joined:
    Sep 13, 2018
    Messages:
    488
    Likes Received:
    287
    Lot of confidence on Albini is one of the themes I'm seeing this week.

    I hope it's warranted, I'm probably going to tuck him into a parlay.
     
    streetSub101 likes this.
  16. BaruchSpinoza

    BaruchSpinoza Optical lens grinder

    Joined:
    Jan 13, 2019
    Messages:
    131
    Likes Received:
    122
    Whether confidence in Albini is justified has been controversial to say the least! ;) But it's one of the bets on this card that I'm most satisfied with!
     
    Last edited: Feb 1, 2019
    LiquidNuke likes this.
  17. PolarBearPaulVarelans

    PolarBearPaulVarelans Green Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 14, 2018
    Messages:
    1,127
    Likes Received:
    1,467
    I definitely wouldn't put him into a parlay. I think it's a poor idea betting on Albini to begin with, but if you absolutely must, just do a solo bet. I actually like the Albini sub line for +900, but that is no longer available.
     
    BaruchSpinoza likes this.
  18. Ryan Kelly

    Ryan Kelly Orange Belt

    Joined:
    Oct 17, 2017
    Messages:
    346
    Likes Received:
    299
    Ramos -115 1.1u
    Alves +195 1.25u
    Santos -160 0.8u
    Perez +170 1u
    Frota +180 0.5u
    Frota/Souza U2.5 -125 1u
    Ledet +175 0.5u
    Teymur -125 1.25u
    Teymur DEC +330 0.25u
    Aldo +140 2.5u
    Aldo ITD +550 0.3u
    Aldo KO/TKO +830 0.25u
    Assuncao KO/TKO +815 0.5u
    Moraes/Assuncao wont start R5 +170 0.6u
    Moraes -165 4.5u

    Good luck fellas!
     
  19. Shoulder

    Shoulder #29 most average paid MMA bettor on Sherdog.

    Joined:
    Mar 21, 2016
    Messages:
    1,850
    Likes Received:
    1,742
    Location:
    Sweden
  20. Reign Supreme

    Reign Supreme Blue Belt

    Joined:
    Jan 12, 2011
    Messages:
    842
    Likes Received:
    444
    Location:
    Renton, WA
    My one and only bet. 2U on Aldo by KO/TKO at +700
     
    Sadistics and Naught2Sixty like this.

Share This Page

  1. This site uses cookies to help personalise content, tailor your experience and to keep you logged in if you register.
    By continuing to use this site, you are consenting to our use of cookies.