Dvalishvili is the underdog? That's insane. Umar at -350 is bizarre.

[WoozyFailGuy]

I recall people complaining Umar didn’t deserve the fight vs Corey because he didn’t beat anyone. Then Vegas made him -350 favorite and Then he 50-45 Sandhagen. Vegas knows what’s up. They don’t obsess about rankings like sherbros.

It was a 48-47 fight for Umar, 50-45 wasn't the correct call IMO

Value bets on Merab by decision will shift the lines by saturday.

 

[Neck&Neck]

It’s going to be easy work for the winner

 

[Hellowhosthat]

Makes perfect sense to me, styles make fights. Umar with his wrestling base is not good for Merab.

Merab doesn't wrestle in the classic sense though, he's all about shooting over and over again against the cage and having insane cardio.

 

[Hymen Crusher]

I feel like merab is going to win. I have never seen someone able to just keep wrestling other then guida. Merab is 3x the wrestler guida was and that dude won so many fights just being crazy at one thing.

 

[World eater]

Hell, I'm picking Umar yet I even bet on Merab at +275. I'm wrong all the time on my picks so here's to hoping I'm wrong on this one. Only $60 but +275 on a champion who's been as dominant as Merab as a fighter looked way too sweet to just let slip by.

My thoughts exactly. This is a fight I would never bet on if the margin was close, but at such a huge betting gap between the two, putting a small sum on the underdog (who is a dominant fighter as well) makes perfect sense.

 

[gentel]

Overall I think the Vegas odds are way too lopsided in Islam and Umar's favor - solid value in both the underdogs

 

[smalliebiggs]

those are not opening odds. or closing lines. it's not decided by the bookies. basically, more people are putting money on Umar. you should go and find them all and argue your case for Merab

 

[fortheo]

if you kept both guys' resumes the same as they are now, but changed Merab's last name to Nurmagomedov and Umar's last name to blahbegov, Merab would be the favorite by a long shot.

 

[legedema]

well , Meral is very annoying to me lately.
hope that Umar wins but I agree also with Merabs coach. Merab can win this with his pace and don't think that Umar is the better grappler here.

anyway, I want Umar to win this but I think Merab will get this one

 

[CroCopsLHK]

When Jon Jones stepped in to face Shogun he was like a 3 to 1 favorite

 

[Pious Augustus]

if you kept both guys' resumes the same as they are now, but changed Merab's last name to Nurmagomedov and Umar's last name to blahbegov, Merab would be the favorite by a long shot.

Islam doesn't have a Nurmagomedov last name and even u favored him over Oliveira even though he had an inferior resume.

I wonder why didn't you compare the resumes and pick Oliveira?

 

[RockyLockridge]

Hell, I'm picking Umar yet I even bet on Merab at +275. I'm wrong all the time on my picks so here's to hoping I'm wrong on this one. Only $60 but +275 on a champion who's been as dominant as Merab as a fighter looked way too sweet to just let slip by.

My mentality is the same I cannot let those odds slide by

 

[MisfitsBR]

both last fight was boring in my opinion
Merab x Suga and Umar x Sandman

but Merab is more fun outside the cage, so I think I will root for him lol

Merab was more dominant too, people say that Umar is a wrestler so this is not good for Merab, but by this logic, Merab is a wrestler too and this is not good for Umar

Maybe this is going to be like Sterling x Evloev, I just hope that Merab doesn't commit the same error that Sterling, please be agressive

 

[BroRogan]

Would laugh my ass off if Merab grinds out a decision W - Sherbros and Dana rage quitting then for the rest of Sat night

 

[chinarice]

Seems like a not-so-great matchup for Merab but I am definitely not counting him out. That pace, cardio and relentless pressure he puts on won't be ignored by me. It's an intangible that will give him a shot against basically anyone.

 

[Donutdude]

I'm actually picking Merab in this fight. If Merab fights like he fought Petr Yan and Henry Cejudo, I think he gets it done. If instead he fights like he fought Sean O'Malley, it probably favors Umar.

 

[Tito Tapped]

That's right Fremi, It's kind of insane that they think Umar is THAT much better because of his win against sandhagen.

Popularity is baked into the betting lines. It's not solely about who's better and by how much.

 

[KAZSoliloquy]

how quickly people forget umar vs. bekzat almakhan