Elections Democrat 2016 Primary Thread: V2 It's Still Hillary Edition

Who do you want to win?/ Who do you think will win? (Pick one of each)


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I've mentioned before Bernie does terrible with Black voters compared to Clinton. The only fact that he is still in the race is because the first two states are predominantly white. Once we get to places like SC and a decent majority of the map, he is going to have a lot of trouble unless he manages to change their views. Doesn't seem like he has much a chance of doing that with the way the debates were scheduled (just a few and on saturday nights) and he doesn't have persona advantages like other candidates would in identifying with them (Obama was black).

I think he'll make that up to. For a couple of different reasons. This may sound funny but I believe you have to give black people a little credit. A lot of them are smart enough to know that Hillary Clinton isn't Bill Clinton. Hillary Clinton recently caught a lot of flak for her incessant pandering to the black community and people on social media took notice.

http://mic.com/articles/131324/blac...-keeps-trying-to-be-black-friendly#.PAH591FOR

Also Bernie Sanders was the first candidate to directly mention names like Sandra Bland and Treyvon Martin He knows how important these issues are and the fact that he wants to go after the prison industrial complex also bodes well for him in that area.

Some more things that you may or may not think matter.



Killer Mike did a full six part series interviewing Bernie And really showcasing why he is the candidate to really address the problems going on in the African-American community in America. I'm telling you man it's closer than you think on all fronts.
 
I don't see any way Sanders is the nominee the same way in which I don't see Cruz or Trump being the nominee. The party will not allow it. They have tools at their disposal to ensure they get the outcome they want.
 
I think he'll make that up to. For a couple of different reasons. This may sound funny but I believe you have to give black people a little credit. A lot of them are smart enough to know that Hillary Clinton isn't Bill Clinton. Hillary Clinton recently caught a lot of flak for her incessant pandering to the black community and people on social media took notice.

http://mic.com/articles/131324/blac...-keeps-trying-to-be-black-friendly#.PAH591FOR

Also Bernie Sanders was the first candidate to directly mention names like Sandra Bland and Treyvon Martin He knows how important these issues are and the fact that he wants to go after the prison industrial complex also bodes well for him in that area.

Some more things that you may or may not think matter.



Killer Mike did a full six part series interviewing Bernie And really showcasing why he is the candidate to really address the problems going on in the African-American community in America. I'm telling you man it's closer than you think on all fronts.


I also think that, while blacks may support Hillary overall, the number that come out to vote will be much closer. It seems like the Sanders supported are more invested (literally and figuratively) and will certainly turn out. Hillary doesn't seem to inspire as much. We'll see.
 
hi and good late evening Jack,

It's pretty straightforward, actually. Jack sees both Clinton and Sanders as being decent but flawed candidates with similar platforms and ranks them about the same. To people who are boosters, that sounds like blasphemy. And there is a lot more bullshit spread about Clinton (being the frontrunner) than there is about Sanders. When someone spews bullshit about Sanders, I call them on it, too. Just happens a lot less.

why does Jack refer to himself in the third person?

well...nevermind that.

its interesting to me that you view Clinton and Sanders as "about the same". i've never had that impression from you, but i'm glad you posited that. i don't see them that way, though, particularly not on foreign policy.

i don't see your view on things as blasphemy - but i do see it as mistaken.

She doesn't have neocon foreign-policy credentials (to the extent that that terms means anything at all--more often, it's a vague term of abuse). I have commented on opposition to the TPP, which I don't think is well-thought-out. Etc

we've had spirited discussions on both the TPP and Mrs. Clinton's foreign policy predilections. no need to rehash it all again here; we just disagree.

Want to bet that I can find at least five recent posts of me disputing dumb attacks on Sanders?

not really. i can remember instances where you've defended him. i guess i've just found your defense of Mrs. Clinton peculiar on several occasions.

I've made about as many supportive comments about Sanders as I have about Clinton. Again, neither of them thrills me, but I think they're both pretty decent.

if you wouldn't mind, could you tell me (briefly, just 2 or 3 bullet points) why you're not more supportive of Mrs. Clinton...and why you're not more supportive of Mr. Sanders?

- IGIT
 
IGGY,

You are too kind.

I agree that Jack may seem subtle to the casual observer, but its fairly plain to see, and has been for a long time, that Jack is a Clinton supporter.
Its pretty obvious that he only makes partially positive posts re; Bernie because he's confident that Hillary will win and to cover his ass after I exposed him as a Clinton supporter early on. He wasn't nearly as complimentary of Sanders early on; calling Sanders unrealistic and radical. You can see SouthofMyAnus doing the same thing. If the polls, or even better, the betting lines, were closer he wouldn't be nearly as even handed (which he isn't to begin with). Not only that, he pretends to be a lefty and harasses conservative values while completely and deliberately ignoring Clinton's lies, and her votes on the war, gay rights, her ties to Wall Street, Pharma, the Military Industrial Complex, TPP etc, etc, etc....
One need but look at how heated and aggressively he argues for Clinton's position on TPP.

hiya AUR,

you know from my own participation in the threads you've mentioned that i don't really disagree with anything you're saying.

i've found Jack's support of Hillary (or ardent defense, if you want to look at it that way), coupled with a discernable lack of enthusiasm for Mr. Sanders hard to understand.

- IGIT
 
Lol Jack. Talk about being intellectually dishonest. You are being disgustingly dishonest and a hypocrite to boot, with this portrayal of my support for Paul and Johnson. And I've explained my position to you dozens of times.

There's nothing at all dishonest about what I said, and the reason you support right-wing extremists pushing policy to redistribute wealth upward is irrelevant. It's a fact that you did and do, isn't it?

How is supporting Paul or Johnson any more anti-poor than voting for Clinton, Obama, or Clinton?

Um, what? Paul and Johnson wanted to and wants to radically redistribute wealth away from the poor and middle class and to the rich, through changes in the tax code and massive reductions in income support for the poor. Clinton and Obama are the opposite (for example, the whole reason the right hates the ACA is that it adds a tax on people making more than $250K to pay for a benefit for lower-income folks, and there's the partial repeal of Bush cuts, the stimulus, etc.--and Clinton also has several policy proposals that would benefit the poor and middle class at the expense of the rich).

America has only slipped further into oligarchy under their reigns and there is no reason to suspect they won't continue the war on the middle class.

Huh? That is simply not true. Especially in contrast with Paul and Johnson.

Why would somebody vote for Hillary when she has only proven to be dishonest, ineffective, shifty, and loathed by all but her die hard supporters?

Again, WTF are you talking about? Other than Obama, Clinton is the single most popular politician in America right now on the national level.

As stark contrast, you have admitted just today that you feel Clinton is antiestablishment. Only then do you try to defend it with caveats etc. She is the antithesis of antiestablishment.

Admitted? WTF? I made the same point I've been making every time you bring the issue up, and I've defended it (and you have dodged any response to that). Her platform and voting record are very anti-establishment.

why does Jack refer to himself in the third person?

I'm in the thread, and you're talking about me as if I'm not. It's silly, and I'm calling it out.

its interesting to me that you view Clinton and Sanders as "about the same". i've never had that impression from you, but i'm glad you posited that. i don't see them that way, though, particularly not on foreign policy.

I've said that many, many times.

if you wouldn't mind, could you tell me (briefly, just 2 or 3 bullet points) why you're not more supportive of Mrs. Clinton...and why you're not more supportive of Mr. Sanders?

I summed it up in the other thread. Clinton is smarter and has a deeper understanding of policy, while Sanders is more to my liking in ideological terms. The best way to illustrate Clinton's advantages is to compare their ideas on financial reform (Sanders doesn't really know what he's talking about there, IMO, though his heart is in the right place). The best way to illustrate her disadvantages is to look at her pledge not to raise taxes on people making less than $250K (IMO, to make the kinds of improvements we need, more revenue is needed, and that can't come all from the very top).
 
I think he'll make that up to. For a couple of different reasons. This may sound funny but I believe you have to give black people a little credit. A lot of them are smart enough to know that Hillary Clinton isn't Bill Clinton. Hillary Clinton recently caught a lot of flak for her incessant pandering to the black community and people on social media took notice.

http://mic.com/articles/131324/blac...-keeps-trying-to-be-black-friendly#.PAH591FOR

Also Bernie Sanders was the first candidate to directly mention names like Sandra Bland and Treyvon Martin He knows how important these issues are and the fact that he wants to go after the prison industrial complex also bodes well for him in that area.

Some more things that you may or may not think matter.



Killer Mike did a full six part series interviewing Bernie And really showcasing why he is the candidate to really address the problems going on in the African-American community in America. I'm telling you man it's closer than you think on all fronts.


I'm not saying who Blacks should support and whether that questions or enforces their intelligence. I'm talking about polling data that shows Hillary is winning the black vote overwhelmingly. I'm not making assumptions saying this or showing anecdotal evidence. You can argue this could change with but it hasn't even narrowed over time. The polling and endorsements all point to Hillary this year.
 
I'm not saying who Blacks should support and whether that questions or enforces their intelligence. I'm talking about polling data that shows Hillary is winning the black vote overwhelmingly. I'm not making assumptions saying this or showing anecdotal evidence. You can argue this could change with but it hasn't even narrowed over time. The polling and endorsements all point to Hillary this year.

And I'm saying there wrong. There is certainly enough time to change it all. If it's the same way come mid-February that I might concede your point but it's too early to say right now. Even if she does when I don't think it'll be by a large amount. There are a lot of really prominent black people who support Bernie Sanders. Give it time.

Edit: Maybe they're not wrong but all of that data is still subject to change
 
And I'm saying there wrong. There is certainly enough time to change it all. If it's the same way come mid-February that I might concede your point but it's too early to say right now. Even if she does when I don't think it'll be by a large amount. There are a lot of really prominent black people who support Bernie Sanders. Give it time.

Edit: Maybe they're not wrong but all of that data is still subject to change

Fair enough. This is a bigger hole than Obama came out of though as there are far less undecideds and the endorsement primary isn't even close to 2008. Bernie has like 2 representatives and Hillary has just about everyone else. The DNC has super delegates so you can't say this doesn't matter as they make up a decent amount of primary votes so even in Bernie starts going neck and neck with Hillary, he isn't going to win the tie breaker.
 
Fair enough. This is a bigger hole than Obama came out of though as there are far less undecideds and the endorsement primary isn't even close to 2008. Bernie has like 2 representatives and Hillary has just about everyone else. The DNC has super delegates so you can't say this doesn't matter as they make up a decent amount of primary votes so even in Bernie starts going neck and neck with Hillary, he isn't going to win the tie breaker.

To me that just further underscores how broken our political system is. It's entirely within the means of possibilities that Bernie gets more votes but Hillary wins because of delegates. People who want to see things in politics stay the same just like Hillary will make sure there will.
 
hello Jack,

I've said that many, many times.

i must have missed it, but now i know.

fair enough.

I summed it up in the other thread. Clinton is smarter and has a deeper understanding of policy, while Sanders is more to my liking in ideological terms. The best way to illustrate Clinton's advantages is to compare their ideas on financial reform (Sanders doesn't really know what he's talking about there, IMO, though his heart is in the right place).

hmmmf. well, i would disagree with you a little here, though i understand you've made your own analysis of Mr. Sanders proposals for financial reform.

nothing i've read in the New York Magazine, the Atlantic, Salon, Slate, Huffpo, the NYT, or from Paul Krugman indicate that any of the beat writers and columnists think that Sanders doesn't know what he's talking about in regards to financial reform (with the exception of Huffpo, those sites make up my daily reading).

i guess you've got your own point of view on this topic.

The best way to illustrate her disadvantages is to look at her pledge not to raise taxes on people making less than $250K (IMO, to make the kinds of improvements we need, more revenue is needed, and that can't come all from the very top).

that may be an accurate cost analysis of what Mrs. Clinton has proposed via the income that can be generate via her tax plan. i prefer Sanders over Clinton for different reasons, though.

assuming we both agree that Mr. Sanders has pushed Mrs. Clinton to the left (or, at the very least, forced her to more clearly delineate her left leaning positions), my discomfort with her stems from a feeling that her shift has been one of political convenience. frankly, i just don't buy all the things she's saying on the campaign trail.

and that bugs me.

- IGIT
 
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Look Jack, you can't have it both ways.
You can't be a cunt and expect to be treated civilly and you can't misrepresent people's positions if you're not going to have those same standards thrown back in your face.

Yes, I supported Ron Paul and I voted for Gary Johnson because they had intentions to end the War on Drugs and America's War for Empire.
I didn't support/vote for the for their economic views. I actually voted for Obama for his first term because I thought he would be true to his word re: War on Terror. He wasn't. I learned. You equate that to me not caring about poor people.... Meanwhile, the poor are still poor (there are just more of them) and the middle class continues to shrink and the rich have gotten richer.
You voted for Barack Obama twice and you support Hillary Clinton. By your own standards you are for the killing of innocent people and imprisoning minorities for non violent crimes, sometimes for life. So if I don't care about poor people, then you are a racist who doesn't even value human life. And at the risk of being redundant, there are more people (as a %) living in poverty than there were 8 years ago, the middle class has shrunk, and the rich have gotten richer, so obviously don't even care about the poor either.
 
hiya AUR,

you know from my own participation in the threads you've mentioned that i don't really disagree with anything you're saying.

i've found Jack's support of Hillary (or ardent defense, if you want to look at it that way), coupled with a discernable lack of enthusiasm for Mr. Sanders hard to understand.

- IGIT

Hi IG,

I disagree. I think its fairly easy to understand :D
-AUR
 
Former Mayor Bloomberg commissions secret poll to calculate his chances in a third-party 2016 presidential run
genesis-generation-challenge.jpg

Former Mayor Michael Bloomberg secretly commissioned a poll last month to see how he might fare as a third-party 2016 candidate, according to a new report published Sunday.

Bloomberg commissioned the poll in December to see how he might perform as an independent in the 2016 race after watching the dazzling rise of Republican front-runner Donald Trump in the GOP race, CNN reported, citing a source familiar with the survey.

I know he's technically Republican but I thought this would fit better here as he does lean more liberal from a national perspective and would run to push gun issues.
 
I'm Canadian but hoping Sanders wins because I'm pretty sure Trump would invade Canada and/or North Korea one week after getting elected.
 
hmmmf. well, i would disagree with you a little here, though i understand you've made your own analysis of Mr. Sanders proposals for financial reform.

Uh, yeah.

nothing i've read in the New York Magazine, the Atlantic, Salon, Slate, Huffpo, the NYT, or from Paul Krugman indicate that any of the beat writers and columnists think that Sanders doesn't know what he's talking about in regards to financial reform (with the exception of Huffpo, those sites make up my daily reading).

i guess you've got your own point of view on this topic.

That's a kind of odd angle. You haven't seen journalists make the point so I must be the only one in the world who has noticed it?

There was a good piece in Vox on their differences on the issue that also hints at my point:

http://www.vox.com/2016/1/7/10725422/clinton-sanders-shadow-bank

Look Jack, you can't have it both ways.
You can't be a cunt and expect to be treated civilly and you can't misrepresent people's positions if you're not going to have those same standards thrown back in your face.

I have never misrepresented your positions, liar. You seem to be completely incapable of discussing an issue. You always just run from substance to make dishonest personal attacks.

Yes, I supported Ron Paul and I voted for Gary Johnson because they had intentions to end the War on Drugs and America's War for Empire.

So? You support both of them, which gives a strong sense of your values, and clearly rising standard of living for the poor and middle class is not high on the list.

Meanwhile, the poor are still poor (there are just more of them) and the middle class continues to shrink and the rich have gotten richer.

Actually, we've seen more to raise the standard of living for the poor and middle class during Obama's terms than we had in decades. Your whole premise is wrong (as is the implied premise that Obama is somehow more hawkish than McCain or Romney or that Obama just likes bombin' people and does so because he doesn't like non-whites--WTF?).
 
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good morning Jack,

That's a kind of odd angle. You haven't seen journalists make the point so I must be the only one in the world who has noticed it?

There was a good piece in Vox on their differences on the issue that also hints at my point:

http://www.vox.com/2016/1/7/10725422/clinton-sanders-shadow-bank
http://www.vox.com/2016/1/7/10725422/clinton-sanders-shadow-bank

its not an odd angle.

one reads analysis, one gathers from more than one source, one weighs the observations they've taken in, and one comes to a conclusion.

i'll read the Vox piece later, i've already read an article in Vox that stated that Clinton's detailed plans to address abuses in the "shadow banking" industry are more robust than Mr. Sanders - i've also read pieces that claim that Sanders will also address this aspect of the financial industry.

none of the analysis written on Clinton's and Bernie's financial reforms have concluded that Sanders "doesn't know what he's talking about". thats your conclusion, Jack, and yours alone.

- IGIT
 
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