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Had Fedor not injured himself and fought Cro Cop that night in 2003, I think that 2003 Cro Cop had a better chance at beating 2003 Fedor than 2005 Cro Cop had against 2005 Fedor. At that point in 2003, Cro Cop had never lost in MMA, he'd just annihilated Herring and Igor, he was flying high with all the confidence in the world, he was as fast and explosive as he'd ever be, while Fedor's striking wasn't as sharp, he wouldn't have had the extra two years to study Cro Cop as he watched Cro Cop beat his brother Aleks and their teammate Ibragim Magomedov, and he wouldn't have had the benefit of sharpening his MT with Ernesto Hoost.
It would be interesting to see for sure. Never thought about it from this perspective. The other side of the coin is that the loss to Nog convinced Mirko he needed to sharpen his BJJ and invite Werdum to live with him for 2 years and teach him how to play a tight closed guard and defend from GnP. Without that I think a 2003 Fedor would have fucked him up on the ground. But still a solid perspective and point of discussion.