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Chad Mendes has never lost a fight to anyone not named Jose Aldo. He would be a odds favorite over McGregor or I'll eat my shoes. Its not that Conor is ducking anything and I never said he was. The UFC will not dare miss the Aldo/Conor fight, its all about money, not about Conor being the next coming, because he isn't. I would be willing to bet my left arm he loses to Frankie, Mendes, or Aldo, take your pick. And a 50/50 against Lamas.
Conor is +100 against Aldo. Mendes was +250 and +140, respectively, for his fights with Aldo. According to vegas Conor has a better shot to beat Aldo than anyone Jose has ever faced, including Mendes.
Matchups obviously dictate odds, but Conor could conceivably be the favorite over Mendes if that was the next fight judging by these odds comparisons using the only common fighter.
Aldo and Mendes may beat Conor. I think there is a big enough gap in competition between them and Conor's other fights to cast doubt, but I also think we've seen enough to think Conor could be the best fighter in the division.