Three things. Firstly, you've chosen characteristically favorable odds for Khabib in the Conor fight; he isn't such a strong favorite on other lines. Secondly, you forgot to remove the juice; betting Tony and Conor and your lines would also be odds-on. Thirdly, the lines are swayed by the public; what I say in the OP would be even more true were you to take the opening odds. The odds are there on www.bestfightodds.com -- I'm not lying.
Just for you, the parlay calculator let me use American odds but the result is decimal (0.86) and when I saw that, I was like fuck, what is that and I converted it to American -115.
I used the very first odds listed on www.bestfightodds.com. Those are website odds so the juice is already included. No one submits a bet online only to see “juice” added at the end.
Decimal odds are the simplest or making any sort of calculation, from basic returns, to more complicated formulas. Moneyline odds require conversion to work stats out. However, moneyline odds have the advantage of showing how much juice is on the line, to look for arbitrage bets. For example, a fight in which one fighter has -105 odds and another has +120 odds (across different bookmakers) lets you quickly identify a fight for which you can play both sides. Both are better than the typical fractional UK odds IMO, which are the least useful for practical purposes.
Remove the juice if you wanna see the implied probabilities, without betting in mind. Otherwise, add up the odds and the implied probabilities are above 100%, which obviously makes no sense in practical terms. If you use the juice to make statements like I have in the OP, then you're also saying that the bookmakers think there's ABOVE a 100% chance the fight takes place, which makes no sense.
What juice on top of a listed odds on a website? Have you ever placed a bet before?
Multiple reasons. Look beyond the records and divisions to the details behind the fights themselves. Conor has way above average TDD at this point, while Khabib has below average takedown success. The cardio is an issue for Conor, I make no denial about that. Conor showed success in the first fight that others haven't, winning most rounds in the process. Finally, I expect more improvement from Conor than I do Khabib. Disagree but don't act like I haven't provided reasoning for my belief. I've NEVER suggested it's crazy for someone to think Khabib will win a rematch. I think either could win. But I favor Conor.
No, not saying any of that. You somehow misunderstood my post. I'll try and explain for you. Were there no juice on a fight that's viewed to be even, the odds would be +100 and +100. Implied probabilities would add up to 100%. Add juice, and the lines become something like -115 and -115, with implied probabilities adding up to about 107%. The bookmakers aren't saying there's a 107% chance of the fight happening. They obviously think it has a 100% chance of happening. The juice is just the bookmakers' profit. Remove that and get real life odds.
I used SportsInt odds, which give Khabib a 46% chance of winning both, with the juice removed. Keep the juice if you fuckin want; the odds you get for Khabib losing one of them is still better than him winning them both. Use opening lines and outlook looks even worse for Khabib.
I trust you, you seem like an upstanding citizen. And I'm a huge fan of scat porn. AND I see the link between a Conor USADA announcement and scat porn. But I'm feeling lazy. You do it for me and I'll like the post.
