Elections 2020 Democratic Primary Thread v4

Who do you support most out of the remaining Democratic candidates?

  • Tom Steyer (Entrepreneur)

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Useful twitter thread for us to prepare for the real enemy once Sanders wins the nomination; rabid right wing reactionaries. Liberals and centrists should be viewed as prostitutes and neutered cuckolds of the right and nothing more, doing their dirty work for them. They will be simply ceaseless and non-stop in their attacks, but revolutionaries don’t need to stop for the barking of dogs. Focus on reaching working class people, building alliances with the poor in the countryside, and listening to the struggles of minorities.




It's fucking crazy that someone like Bernie should have to even entertain those smooth-brained cretins with ''muh Stalin and muh gulags'', I think if you are dumb enough to fall for that kind of red scare you are not even worth addressing because you are unrecoverably stupid. Imagine asking that shit in Europe, like for instance to the new president of Finland (another socdem just like Bernie), they would look at you like you are insane, and rightly so.
 
It's fucking crazy that someone like Bernie should have to even entertain those smooth-brained cretins with ''muh Stalin and muh gulags'', I think if you are dumb enough to fall for that kind of red scare you are not even worth addressing because you are unrecoverably stupid. Imagine asking that shit in Europe, like for instance to the new president of Finland (another socdem just like Bernie), they would look at you like you are insane, and rightly so.

bread lines are a good thing
 
Primary done officially sturted. Iowa today, NH a week from Tuesday.
 
qMkJ2fK.jpg

Good lord, ew.

Same picture, but different context. Biden isn't on record saying he's sexually attracted to his daughter. Trump is.
 
The whole Unity argument was rendered empty already. It's been knives out the whole time as key party members attack Bernie in the media and the few times Bernie or anybody on the Progressive side has decided to voice their objections too loud they get shouted down. See the Clinton example.

People forget Bill Clinton perfected that tactic. It IS a tactic. He would always slam the left of the party in the media when they started to voice their opinions.

They are afraid Bernie will upend the apple cart and they will have to find a new job. Trump did a similar thing to the Republican consultant class at least in DC.

In those circles nobody knows how to ge to Trump and that town works off of favors and networks. They have to keep having to go through an endless rotation of random fools in the WH who keep leaving. Whoever is there the longest around Trump would be enormously powerful and wealthy just because nobody would have a choice but to go through them.

They are afraid, and should be, that Bernie would end even that as he has already made clear who would get into key posts (lead by a parade of academics).

One final thing. The person arguably most successful in getting things done even under Bush with Republicans was Bernie via amendments to a point where his nickname was the Amendment King. He did that during an already impossible time to get anything done. He already knows things are worse and the only way things can change is via unrelenting enormous public pressure. He cannot do it alone and said so. He is the only one to admit this and propose to fight openly. There is literally no other way to progress.
Knives out? This primary has been very tame.

And I’m referring to unity within the party not the unity Biden claims he can bring between Dems and Reps. I don’t believe he’s that naive and it’s political (voters like to hear you’re willing to work with the other party) but if he is serious it’s obviously delusional. I’m not predicting this will happen but it looks like Dems are concerned that Bernie will tear apart their coalition, which would inevitably lead to Republican rule. But I trust they know a lot more about those dynamics than I do.
 
Good lord, ew.

Same picture, but different context. Biden isn't on record saying he's sexually attracted to his daughter. Trump is.

I really don't get kissing your kids on the lips it's always been super weird to me.
 
Good lord, ew.

Same picture, but different context. Biden isn't on record saying he's sexually attracted to his daughter. Trump is.
And what makes it even worse is that Trump is a confirmed creep. He’s walked in to beauty pageant dressing rooms unannounced, banged a porn star while his wife recovered from pregnancy, 20+ accusations of sexual assault, on and on. Joe is a decent family man who is way too touchy feely. The two are not comparable.

If the right wants a left wing creep look to Bill Clinton instead.
 
I've pointed out the issue here before. In 2020, there's a huge volume of media out there, and someone with enough time on their hands can pile up anecdotes to make any case. If someone is actually interested in knowing the truth, rather than just producing propaganda for rubes, they need to look at systematic data. I understand that it's an uphill battle trying to convince people who are passionate about something to try to avoid confirmation bias, though.



I don't recall any previous conversations with you, but sometimes if I don't recognize someone, I don't read notifications from them.



To represent the state of the race. Either choice (combine them or don't) is defensible and the best one isn't obvious. It doesn't mean that there's some kind of conspiracy or bad intention if they make one rather than the other. Chill out. Furthermore, if there's one thing I wish that partisans of any stripe could get their heads around, it's that polls, predictions, or presentations showing X beating Y A) don't necessarily help X in an actual election and B) aren't perceived by the media to help X in an actual election. Every election, there are ridiculous arguments where backers of the candidate that is behind think that the MSM and/or polling agencies are conspiring against their candidate by showing them trailing.



You don't think a former mayor, who spent 12 years in the House of Representatives and 13 in the Senate and is a millionaire is part of the "establishment"? I think that goes back to the issue of the fluid definition of "the establishment."



The odd thing about this is that I don't particularly dislike his policies (no more than the other candidates') or how he gets things done. I just disagree with some stuff his hardcore supporters say, and they simply don't have it in them to understand that good people who are intelligent and well-informed can nevertheless not agree with them about everything. It's sad, really.


I've pointed out the issue here before. In 2020, there's a huge volume of media out there, and someone with enough time on their hands can pile up anecdotes to make any case. If someone is actually interested in knowing the truth, rather than just producing propaganda for rubes, they need to look at systematic data. I understand that it's an uphill battle trying to convince people who are passionate about something to try to avoid confirmation bias, though.

I'm not so sure that covers it.. We're talking about the top news companies doing this on a constant basis to the runner up of the 2016 primaries. Someone who won more than 20 states and became one of the top primary vote-getters of all time.

20200203-072745.jpg0



That's not somebody who the tops news companies in the country should be constantly "forgetting" about.. You bring up systematic data, while then please show me other top candidates who've been getting this same treatment with constant "mistakes" being made leaving them out of the conversation. I showed you over 30 examples, you choosing to ignore each and every one of them by saying they're "conveniently picked out" is incredibly disingenuous.



To represent the state of the race. Either choice (combine them or don't) is defensible and the best one isn't obvious. It doesn't mean that there's some kind of conspiracy or bad intention if they make one rather than the other. Chill out. Furthermore, if there's one thing I wish that partisans of any stripe could get their heads around, it's that polls, predictions, or presentations showing X beating Y A) don't necessarily help X in an actual election and B) aren't perceived by the media to help X in an actual election. Every election, there are ridiculous arguments where backers of the candidate that is behind think that the MSM and/or polling agencies are conspiring against their candidate by showing them trailing.

How can you call it defensible when the former D.N.C chair herself said it was an incorrect way of reporting it? Furthermore, trying to bring up that polls, predictions and presentations don't necessarily help anyone in the elections isn't much of counter argument here.. You're avoiding my major point about this, which is that the majority of American voters were not educated enough to what the hell is a superdelegate and that was fully taken advantage of by combining the delegates who weren't even pledged yet. I've posted a NYT article from 2008 yesterday that shows that they only counted delegates which were official.

Why did that change? Can you not see how the average voter would look at that and lose motivation to vote seeing such an uphill climb? You're saying this doesn't "necessarily help" and I'm not sure how that's realistic once again.

You don't think a former mayor, who spent 12 years in the House of Representatives and 13 in the Senate and is a millionaire is part of the "establishment"? I think that goes back to the issue of the fluid definition of "the establishment."

Not really, I don't see him effecting voters on a federal level as a town mayor. It's once he got into the race that he became a target.


The odd thing about this is that I don't particularly dislike his policies (no more than the other candidates') or how he gets things done. I just disagree with some stuff his hardcore supporters say, and they simply don't have it in them to understand that good people who are intelligent and well-informed can nevertheless not agree with them about everything. It's sad, really.

If some fan boy supporters is the biggest issue here, I'm not so sure that needs to be the focus.. Hillary supporters and Biden supporters can come off as nasty and entitled as well. It seems like there's a different set of standards for his supporters compared to everyone else.

Bernie Bros
Bernie Bots
Sexists
Hillary shitting on his supporters at this time..

Meanwhile other supporters can say whatever they feel like and it's just "politics." Enough with the hypocrisy please.
 
So much talk about Bernie supporters not voting the nominee if Bernie loses..

EPvstyRWoAEuriW



Only a two percent difference between Buttigieg and Sanders' supporters.. Will the people who've been moaning about this "issue" have anything to say?
 
And what makes it even worse is that Trump is a confirmed creep. He’s walked in to beauty pageant dressing rooms unannounced, banged a porn star while his wife recovered from pregnancy, 20+ accusations of sexual assault, on and on. Joe is a decent family man who is way too touchy feely. The two are not comparable.

If the right wants a left wing creep look to Bill Clinton instead.

Yeah, it's bad faith but i think it will be very effective with casual voter, particularly those who are sympathetic to the right's culture wars arguments and think Democrats/the left are attacking men or empowering illegitimate accusations of impropriety.
 
So much talk about Bernie supporters not voting the nominee if Bernie loses..

EPvstyRWoAEuriW



Only a two percent difference between Buttigieg and Sanders' supporters.. Will the people who've been moaning about this "issue" have anything to say?

Don't see how that's your lone takeaway from that graph. Only 53% of Bernie bros said yes which is significantly lower than every other dem candidate (save the low polling Yang)

It's a discussion about the "issue" due to that whopping 31% "it depends" and what does that mean from those supporters very on the fence if they'll support any dem candidate except Bernie.
 
So much talk about Bernie supporters not voting the nominee if Bernie loses..

EPvstyRWoAEuriW



Only a two percent difference between Buttigieg and Sanders' supporters.. Will the people who've been moaning about this "issue" have anything to say?

Depends how you read it. The absolute "no" is close, but the "yes" has quite a bigger margin.

LOL @ the hardcore Yang supporters. They ain't playing.
 
I'm not so sure that covers it.. We're talking about the top news companies doing this on a constant basis to the runner up of the 2016 primaries. Someone who won more than 20 states and became one of the top primary vote-getters of all time.

They're not doing anything on a constant basis, is the point. As I said, it's very easy to gather a bunch of examples to make points that aren't necessarily true.

That's not somebody who the tops news companies in the country should be constantly "forgetting" about.

I promise that if you open up any major paper, you will see coverage of Bernie. He's not being constantly forgotten. He's not being forgotten at all.

You bring up systematic data, while then please show me other top candidates who've been getting this same treatment with constant "mistakes" being made leaving them out of the conversation. I showed you over 30 examples, you choosing to ignore each and every one of them by saying they're "conveniently picked out" is incredibly disingenuous.

Do you know what I mean when I say you have to look at systematic data? And do you see the issue with accusing someone of being disingenuous here? I'm making a point about how we acquire true beliefs, as opposed to being led astray by propaganda or some natural flaws in how we perceive information. I could say, "OMG, the MSM is obsessed with crickets! Why are there so many stories about crickets, these days? Is the country being overrun?" And you could challenge that, and then (if I were enterprising enough), I could bury you in links to MSM stories about crickets. You wouldn't retract your challenge at that point. You'd just point out that there's a ton of MSM stories, and of course you can find a lot of them about any subject. I encourage you to apply that same thinking here.

How can you call it defensible when the former D.N.C chair herself said it was an incorrect way of reporting it?

I don't share the premise that the former DNC chair is infallible. I can call it defensible because if you want to know the state of the race, that's clearly relevant information. So the question is what is the update supposed to show.

Furthermore, trying to bring up that polls, predictions and presentations don't necessarily help anyone in the elections isn't much of counter argument here.. You're avoiding my major point about this, which is that the majority of American voters were not educated enough to what the hell is a superdelegate and that was fully taken advantage of by combining the delegates who weren't even pledged yet. I've posted a NYT article from 2008 yesterday that shows that they only counted delegates which were official.

I don't know if "counterargument" is le mot juste, but I'm trying to get you to see that the conspiracy doesn't make any sense. There's no benefit--real or perceived--to a media company to misrepresent the state of a race. They're trying to inform the readers/viewers and be the source that those news consumers go to get informed. I'd also disagree with what you call your major point, but I also don't think it's material to the discussion when you consider what you called a "counterargument."

Why did that change? Can you not see how the average voter would look at that and lose motivation to vote seeing such an uphill climb? You're saying this doesn't "necessarily help" and I'm not sure how that's realistic once again.

The average voter might be just as likely to see their favored candidate winning and decide, "guess I don't need to vote." Or to see their favored candidate losing and decide, "shit, gotta make sure to turn out and to encourage everyone I know to turn out." And there were some important differences in the 2008 and 2016 races (most especially that the 2008 race was neck and neck down to the wire, while the 2016 race was never close).

If some fan boy supporters is the biggest issue here, I'm not so sure that needs to be the focus.. Hillary supporters and Biden supporters can come off as nasty and entitled as well. It seems like there's a different set of standards for his supporters compared to everyone else.

Bernie Bros
Bernie Bots
Sexists
Hillary shitting on his supporters at this time..

Meanwhile other supporters can say whatever they feel like and it's just "politics." Enough with the hypocrisy please.

Given the numbers, it's likely that Clinton and Biden had obnoxious supporters, but they weren't visible. Certainly not here, but I also don't think pundits were getting hate mail and death threats, etc. for making observations that were/are arguably unfavorable to those candidates in anything like the volume that they get from Bernie fans. Plus, given the small gap in terms of expectations between Bernie and those other candidates, the rank hatred displayed toward them by Bernie fans comes off as very irrational.
 
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