Elections 2018 Midterms: Polls, predictions and results.

[waiguoren]

In other words :

America loses 'cause the Dems are not going to allow any more Policies from Donald Trump to pass.

Instead, they're going to go full impeachment and ignore their voters to do just that.


I really....REALLY PRAY you're wrong and the Democrats fall short of the +23.

What? The Democrats falling short of +23 is consistent with the above prediction.

 

[Cooz]

If Republicans hold the House, it means that Blue Wave was neutralized by a Red Tsunami. After all, the House usually flips during the POTUS's first term, right? Dems are expected to take the House. If they can't even manage that, it will be recorded as a resounding loss, and a stringing rejection of everything the Democrats stand for.

Nailed it.

What’s your take if Dems win the majority in the house?

What about the very unlikely event of them winning the Senate?

 

[waiguoren]

What's the threshold for Hawley "smashing" McCaskill?

Any outcome that makes Fawlty salty.

 

[Fawlty]

Any outcome that makes Fawlty salty.

That number's probably +7. I think Hawley takes a close one, +2.

 

[Rational Poster]

In other words :

America loses 'cause the Dems are not going to allow any more Policies from Donald Trump to pass.

Instead, they're going to go full impeachment and ignore their voters to do just that.


I really....REALLY PRAY you're wrong and the Democrats fall short of the +23.

Someone should tell this guy that Trump has held both houses for 2 years and still couldn't do anything in Congress except increase the deficit

 

[waiguoren]

That number's probably +7. I think Hawley takes a close one, +2.

Be honest, you're going to be salty when Hawley wins.

 

[Pupi]

In other words :

America loses 'cause the Dems are not going to allow any more Policies from Donald Trump to pass.

Stopping an idiot from doing idiocy will, according to you, make America fail...solid Trumpian anti-logic right there.

 

[BAM]

Well they'd get me, because I'm not going any-fucking-where near a Saudi's beard to verify.

just saw this article about an 82 year old woman in Texas voting for the first time. She went republican down ticket to "drain the swamp" and then immediately dropped dead. That's what happens when you vote Cruz, God strikes you down.

 

[glenwo2]

What? The Democrats falling short of +23 is consistent with the above prediction.

Then I'm not understanding the <38 net you put up.

 

[Quipling]

just saw this article about an 82 year old woman in Texas voting for the first time. She went republican down ticket to "drain the swamp" and then immediately dropped dead. That's what happens when you vote Cruz, God strikes you down.

Huh.

Does that vote count?

 

[bobgeese]

No Senate is a mathematical reality as the very likely outcome. I'll give you a heads up: 2020 and 2022 are bad maps for senate Republicans, and it's going to be nearly impossible to keep it. That's also mathematical reality. It would take something special to prevent Rs from keeping it today, and something special to prevent Ds from taking it by 2022.

Right, if they lose the senate today, that’s a blue wave, if not, a fairly typical midterm.


Now, if republicans keep the house, THATS IMPRESSIVE.

 

[Sano]

I've put a lot out there already. I predicted that Hawley smashes McCaskill, Gillum defeats DeSantis, Knight defeats Hill, Republicans hold the Senate, net (D) House gain < 38 seats.

Thanks. What's your thoughts on Beto vs Cruz?

 

[glenwo2]

just saw this article about an 82 year old woman in Texas voting for the first time. She went republican down ticket to "drain the swamp" and then immediately dropped dead. That's what happens when you vote Cruz, God strikes you down.

I want that link.

It's like....a bad thing to happen but in some twisted morbid way, it's funny.

 

[waiguoren]

Your overall prediction. Who takes house and senate and within which margin/with home many seats. Or whichever predictions you want to make. Put something out there.

Any predictions for the "tossup" races? We could go head-to-head on a few of them.

 

[Fawlty]

Be honest, you're going to be salty when Hawley wins.

Grow up.

 

[Pupi]

Someone should tell this guy that Trump has held both houses for 2 years and still couldn't do anything in Congress except increase the deficit

Trumps been clear that he doesn't need congress since he's got Executive Orders. Apparently, tyranny is the means of "Making America Great Again."

 

[tkotom]

Someone should tell this guy that Trump has held both houses for 2 years and still couldn't do anything in Congress except increase the deficit

Lol at this shit tier poster pretending as though holding just over 50 senate seats means you can pass anything you want.

Trump doesn’t hold anything. That’s literally the point of the senate and the constitution - that the president doesn’t hold it in any circumstance.

You don’t know anything.

 

[Culombo]

just saw this article about an 82 year old woman in Texas voting for the first time. She went republican down ticket to "drain the swamp" and then immediately dropped dead. That's what happens when you vote Cruz, God strikes you down.

smh lol nice try .. but she was already dying


https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-brie...-woman-dies-days-after-casting-her-first-ever

 

[BAM]

I want that link.

It's like....a bad thing to happen but in some twisted morbid way, it's funny.

https://www.canberratimes.com.au/wo...first-time-then-she-died-20181107-p50ef8.html

 

[waiguoren]

Then I'm not understanding the <38 net you put up.

It means that the Democrats will gain less than 38 seats on net. So, for example, if the Democrats were to net < 23 seats, (and the Republicans therefore keep the House), that would be consistent with my prediction.

Essentially my prediction is that there is no "blue wave".

If you want to see a real "wave", consider the 2010 elections. Republicans netted 63 seats that year.