Elections 2016 Democratic/GOP Super Tuesday Primary Thread

Who wins the most delegates in their party on Super Tuesday? (Pick one for each party)

  • Total voters
    23
  • Poll closed .
Kasich trying to pass Trump in Vermont
Rubio on pace to win Minnesota
 
LogicalInsanity said:
Is Texas a winner take all state or do they split the delegates?
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The delegate count between Cruz and Rubio hasn't really changed much because of this. Trump is pulling farther ahead cause they usually give bonus delegates to first outside of the allocation,
 
Looks like Bernie is done for. And it looks like the GOP bloodbath will continue since Rubio can now say he won a state.
 
Watching Texas really closely right now. That asshole Cruz did better than expected, and it's hurting Rubio. Cruz has won three states, but he has no presence outside the South, and Kasich (though I am pulling for him) has no presence outside the Northeast.

So I'm watching 5 states where Rubio has to hit a minimum of 20% of the vote to be awarded ANY delegates:
  • 23% = Georgia, 3rd place (83% of precincts reporting)
  • 20% = Tennessee, 3rd place (85% of precincts reporting)
  • 19% = Vermont, 3rd place (73% of precincts reporting)
  • 18% = Alabama, 3rd place (82% of precincts reporting)
  • 18% = Texas, 3rd place (64% of precincts reporting)
Whether or not Hillary Clinton is our next President likely rides on whether or not he can close those 1%-2% gaps in the lower three states, and if he can hold in Tennessee. If not, the delegates will be too split, and the GOP will either be forced to go with Trump, who again showed tonight that he can't manage a truly dominating victory anywhere and break his disfavorability "ceiling", nor who has proven he can do well with anybody but white GOP voters; or, alternatively, to "play defense" on the 1,237 with a split convention.

It has become relatively clear tonight that either of these scenarios will result in an lay-up general election win for Hillary.
 
speakhandsforme said:
I'm working on law stuff. What's the skinny on the Dem race: slaughter or salvageable beatdown? Also, how badly have uninformed black voters voted against their own interests.
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Much less badly than their white counterparts
 
Disclaimer: The National Review really hates Trump so this might be wishful thinking on their part but I'm curious if this is a plausible scenario.

http://www.nationalreview.com/artic...-republican-convention-will-decide-nomination

The race for the Republican nomination is going to the convention. It must sound strange to hear that — given that this perennial contingency never gets past political-nerd fan fiction. It certainly feels strange to write it. But that’s where we’re headed. While the networks will quickly declare Trump the winner tonight in most (if not all) Super Tuesday states, the math is plain to see. At the current trajectory, no one — not Trump, not Rubio, not Cruz — will secure the necessary delegates to win the nomination outright. Nor, given the calculus, does anyone have any incentive to drop out. The very Mexican standoff that has enabled Trump thus far is likely to trigger a convention-floor failsafe. Somewhere John Nash is smiling.
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jk7707 said:
Looks like Bernie is done for. And it looks like the GOP bloodbath will continue since Rubio can now say he won a state.
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It's not over till its over


Madmick said:
Watching Texas really closely right now. That asshole Cruz did better than expected, and it's hurting Rubio. Cruz has won three states, but he has no presence outside the South, and Kasich (though I am pulling for him) has no presence outside the Northeast.

So I'm watching 5 states where Rubio has to hit a minimum of 20% of the vote to be awarded ANY delegates:
  • 23% = Georgia, 3rd place (83% of precincts reporting)
  • 20% = Tennessee, 3rd place (85% of precincts reporting)
  • 19% = Vermont, 3rd place (73% of precincts reporting)
  • 18% = Alabama, 3rd place (82% of precincts reporting)
  • 18% = Texas, 3rd place (64% of precincts reporting)
Whether or not Hillary Clinton is our next President likely rides on whether or not he can close those 1%-2% gaps in the lower three states. If not, the delegates will be too split, and the GOP will either be forced to go with Trump, who again showed tonight that he can't manage a truly dominating victory anywhere and break his disfavorability "ceiling", nor who has proven he can do well with anybody but white GOP voters; or, alternatively, to "play defense" on the 1,237 with a split convention.

It has become relatively clear tonight that either of these scenarios will result in an lay-up general election win for Hillary.
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He can't keep losing states. He has yet to win I mean how can he win at this point?

Also I'd bet that Clinton destroys Rubio but think he has the best shot at beating her.
 
COTUR1@43 said:
This is why Cruz doesn't have more support. He always goes on forever and acts like he is still on the Princeton debate team or in the well of the Senate conducting a filibuster.
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Its the fundamental error in Cruz's strategy. He runs on a platform that appeals to people who are put off by him personally.
 
Madmick said:
Watching Texas really closely right now. That asshole Cruz did better than expected, and it's hurting Rubio. Cruz has won three states, but he has no presence outside the South, and Kasich (though I am pulling for him) has no presence outside the Northeast.

So I'm watching 5 states where Rubio has to hit a minimum of 20% of the vote to be awarded ANY delegates:
  • 23% = Georgia, 3rd place (83% of precincts reporting)
  • 20% = Tennessee, 3rd place (85% of precincts reporting)
  • 19% = Vermont, 3rd place (73% of precincts reporting)
  • 18% = Alabama, 3rd place (82% of precincts reporting)
  • 18% = Texas, 3rd place (64% of precincts reporting)
Whether or not Hillary Clinton is our next President likely rides on whether or not he can close those 1%-2% gaps in the lower three states, and if he can hold in Tennessee. If not, the delegates will be too split, and the GOP will either be forced to go with Trump, who again showed tonight that he can't manage a truly dominating victory anywhere and break his disfavorability "ceiling", nor who has proven he can do well with anybody but white GOP voters; or, alternatively, to "play defense" on the 1,237 with a split convention.

It has become relatively clear tonight that either of these scenarios will result in an lay-up general election win for Hillary.
Click to expand...
This has been the most interesting part of the night for me. Rubio has been coming in 3rd for most of the night (think it is 8 states now), and like you said, if he does not hit 20% in those states, he is completely screwed.

I think my big question from tonight is: is a split convention where 'the establishment' chooses Rubio a worse outcome than Trump just outright winning?
 
Madmick said:
Watching Texas really closely right now. That asshole Cruz did better than expected, and it's hurting Rubio. Cruz has won three states, but he has no presence outside the South, and Kasich (though I am pulling for him) has no presence outside the Northeast.

So I'm watching 5 states where Rubio has to hit a minimum of 20% of the vote to be awarded ANY delegates:
  • 23% = Georgia, 3rd place (83% of precincts reporting)
  • 20% = Tennessee, 3rd place (85% of precincts reporting)
  • 19% = Vermont, 3rd place (73% of precincts reporting)
  • 18% = Alabama, 3rd place (82% of precincts reporting)
  • 18% = Texas, 3rd place (64% of precincts reporting)
Whether or not Hillary Clinton is our next President likely rides on whether or not he can close those 1%-2% gaps in the lower three states, and if he can hold in Tennessee. If not, the delegates will be too split, and the GOP will either be forced to go with Trump, who again showed tonight that he can't manage a truly dominating victory anywhere and break his disfavorability "ceiling", nor who has proven he can do well with anybody but white GOP voters; or, alternatively, to "play defense" on the 1,237 with a split convention.

It has become relatively clear tonight that either of these scenarios will result in an lay-up general election win for Hillary.
Click to expand...

Are you sure you are not bias?

You seem to be doing a good job at downplaying Trump's success. Lol at acting like Trump has little appeal its clearly false.
 
RNC gonna adopt dem Superdelegates after Trumpnado '16.
 
SouthoftheAndes said:
Are you sure you are not bias?

You seem to be doing a good job at downplaying Trump's success. Lol at acting like Trump has little appeal its clearly false.
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He is talking about the % voters Trump gets. He is still hitting around the same "ceiling" for most of his wins, which is only around 30 something percent.
 
This sucks. Trump is going to be the nominee and there is no damn way he is winning in the general.

the only good thing is, at least it's not going to be Sanders.
 
SouthoftheAndes said:
It's not over till its over




He can't keep losing states. He has yet to win I mean how can he win at this point?

Also I'd bet that Clinton destroys Rubio but think he has the best shot at beating her.
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He just moved the goal post. He's basically saying he's stinking around till convention. I don't think he thinks he can win, he just needs to stop trump.
 
Work Play said:
Between slaughter and salvageable beatdown. Texas really stuck it to him but he did well where he had a shot. As to your second question, though I differ with how you frame it...Severely.
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It's basically open racism. That kind of thing isn't going to change anyone's mind.
 
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