Probably he could win, but he'd need to address why he lost both fights.
Tentative in the first... and he admitted it openly after, so it's not like he doesn't already know this.
SO tentative in the second that even I didn't watch the whole thing and I'll watch just about anything.
There's too much on the line for him to come out guns blazing, so he wont. He would have done it already if he could.