Yair technically has a 50% chance beating Volk

[Slapjit]

I thought it was 92.6%-78.9%=13.7% chance of Cook winning even if Yair won?

Shiiii, my bad. Geometry and fractions were never my friend.

 

[mirellale]

Volk is going to make it look easy. Someone who was dominated by past-his-prime Frankie Edgar is not beating Volk.

It was 6 years ago

 

[Cowboy Kurt Angle]

I’m picking Volk by round 3 I don’t see Yair winning

 

[VAfan]

past statistics don't prove the current fight is 50/50. common sense says volk takes this easily.

 

[xhaydenx]

Technically, anyone has a 50/50 chance of beating anyone. They'll either win or they'll lose.

 

[Yep]

Its not your fault... Its not your fault.

X 50

 

[El Fernas]

Why the fuck was Yair vs Emmett for an interim belt again?

Besides Volk going for a 2nd belt there is the Mexican market the UFC has been after for years and now they just got the 2nd Mexican champion in Grasso, they are aiming hard at the 3rd with Yair Rodriguez, lot of content about him even for an Interim belt.

 

[Yep]

Technically, anyone has a 50/50 chance of beating anyone. They'll either win or they'll lose.

You have to throw in the chance of a draw.

 

[Hypetrainofthemonth]

You have to throw in the chance of a draw.

And a no contest, and how does disqualification come into play? Is it lumped in with a loss?

 

[Mohawk Banditó]

The people who think any binary choice is a 50/50 drive me up the fucking wall.
Go jump off a skyscraper. You'll either live or die, so it must be 50/50.

It was 6 years ago

Like most of Yair's relevant career

And a no contest, and how does disqualification come into play? Is it lumped in with a loss?

DQ's are legitimate win/loss situations, so that'll just get lumped.

 

[Bearknuckle]

Why the fuck was Yair vs Emmett for an interim belt again?

Because what the UFC does to market fighters , making them interim champs makes a title fight seem bigger.

 

[Ibm]

34 is prime! Since when is it old? Anderson was literally getting better and better in his 30's, Randy Couture started at 34. Teens and twenties are baby's but that does not make 30's old. Volk is a small compact dude full of energy.

 

[The XL]

Volk should win fairly easily. But historically guys in their mid 30s in lower weight classes don't age the greatest, so who knows when he'll start to decline.

 

[Vegesus44]

Why the fuck was Yair vs Emmett for an interim belt again?

Because Ultimate Fighting Circus. That's why.

 

[Talon81]

Yair technically has a 1/4 chance of beating Volk. He has 3x as many losses in their last 18 fights.
Yair technically has a 0% chance of beating Volk. He is 1-1 in Las Vegas, while Volk is 3-0.
etc, etc, etc. There are countless ways to dice this up. Your arbitrary measuring stick is dumb.

 

[Guy LeDouche]

What about draws?

Well that wouldn’t be winning, so either he’ll win or he won’t.
50/50

 

[Tayski]

Interim Champions are 7-7 in unification matches

The 7 interim champions that walked out undisputed are


Brandon Moreno


Israel Adesanya


Max Holloway


Conor McGregor


Fabrício Werdum


GSP


Randy Couture



The Numbers don’t lie


Side notes

Interim Featherweight champions are 2-0 in unification matches, and of course this doesn’t mean that Yair will necessarily win on Saturday. And I would have included Jones but his second fight was overturned.

You're on some strong shit my man, give me your dealer's number.

 

[tequilaboy]

Well either he wins or he looses so it is 50/50

 

[surgeyou1]

What if you add Kurt Angle to the mix?

 

[Davidjacksonjones]

Jon Jones v Paddy Pimblett possible outcomes

Jones - win, lose, draw
Paddy Pimblett - win, lose, draw

6 possibilities, each represented by a side of a dice. Therefore, if we roll a dice, Paddy Pimblett has 3 chances to win, same with Jones
Therefore, Jon Jones vs Paddy Pimblett is 50-50