Makes sense except I want to see Bolkov fight Aspinall. Of course Putin won’t exit Ukraine solely because of athletes not being allowed to compete, but part of his propaganda machine has been to highlight Russian athletes’ success.
I think most Russians are against this war and the more they see that is taken away from them, the more they will be dissatisfied. They are losing jobs, money, can’t compete in sports, can’t travel. Worst case they are being pushed into becoming North Korean zombies, best case there will sooner or later be an uprising. The more the people are suffering, the more will demonstrate against the ruler(s) of Russia. This could eventually lead to other with power having a good reason to get rid of Putin.
Overall, it’s impossible to say what will happen as it’s all pure speculation. If I had to bet, Putin will either disappear or end up behind bars solely due to the financial crisis Russia will suffer in the near future.