Jiri can win any fight at LHW and even though Pereira is a very tough matchup for him, he could just get it done, but only if he stays composed throughout the entire fight. He likes to move his head and use that hands down, unorthodox style of his, but as far as I can tell the one time he didn't, he got punished for it immediately (video is timestamped):
He lunged in for a right overhand but kept his head right on the center line, and Pereira just sniped him with a gnarly right hook left hook combination. Jiri seemed to be getting some momentum as well but it looks like he got overzealous, and instantly paid the price.
I have no favorite in this fight and could see both winning, but slightly leaning towards Pereira because his best weapons (soccer calf kick and left hook) just seem a little bit more lethal than Jiri's best weapons. But if Jiri stays composed, keeps moving his head and makes it a dogfight, I could see him reclaiming that belt.
How do you think this fight plays out?
Jiri Procházka has a chaotic chance, with his power, but the trouble is he gets eaten-up 90% of the time he's in there with Alex Pereira.
Procházka was getting lit up by Rakić also — who doesn't have Alex' power — and who also doesn't have Alex' professionalism.
Yes, when Procházka begins his "chaotic moves," and starts putting out that pressure, he starts to eat
lesser amateurs alive (as he did Reyes and then Rakić after him).
That amateurish bullishit didn't work with Alex Pereira.
Yeah, he clipped Alex, got him backing up for a second — but the differenc is,
Alex = A Professional, stepped forward and just clinched with Jiri, tied him up, and stopped that bullshit momentum.
Once stopped, Jiri had to reset, and it took him quite a while to try that "chaotic stuff" again — and the next time Alex KO'd him, anticipating this sloppy entry, on Jiri's second attempt to put on that chaotic pressure.
So sure, Procházka is powerful enough and chaotic enough to hit lightning in a bottle and maybe nail Alex — but most likely he will get eaten alive worse this time around, and KO'd more decisively.
Jiri is there to be hit, and his loss wasn't due to "one colossal mistake" — it was due to the fact Alex is too much of a seasoned pro to fall for Jiri's amateurishness as lesser fighters tend to.