Weird take. Obviously, the topic requires individual analysis, and the fact that some quarterbacks exceed the average drop in rating while others play below it should in fact support the existence of clutch traits.
It wouldn't. Performance variation would be expected. If your rating is 93.0, it wouldn't be expected to be 93.0 exactly in every subset. What you'd want is evidence that the variation is not random.
And I wasn't using Favre as proof of a clutch vs. non-clutch trait across all quarterbacks but rather as proof that, whatever the moniker seeks to describe, he's a great example.
Let's take three of the quarterbacks most considered "clutch" in the past few decades:
Joe Flacco (career passer rating 3.7 points higher in playoffs than regular season)
Eli Manning (career passer rating 3.3 points higher in playoffs than regular season)
Joe Montana (career passer rating 3.3 points higher in playoffs than regular season).
Brett Favre during the seasons in question: playoff passer rating (77.8) is 16.4 points below regular season (94.2). During his entire career, his playoff passer rating is approximately 7.8 points lower (86.0) than regular season in corresponding playoff years (93.8).
I'm seeing this for Favre:
https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/F/FavrBr00.htm. 86.0 for his career and 86.3 in the playoffs. And remember, "variation is random" /= "no variation exists." Is it hard to believe that a guy with an 86.0 rating for his career would put up 86.3 in any randomly selected 24-game period? Would predicting that people who outperform in the playoffs one year (or one group of years) will continue to outperform expectations lead to more-accurate results than predicting that the overall numbers (adjusted for QoO) will be a better guide? Those are the kinds of questions you want to answer, and the evidence is not on the side of the effect you're describing "definitely existing." At best, you can say, "the evidence isn't there yet, but there's a chance that it might turn up, though it can't be a very large effect."
Goddamn Bleacher Report embedding.
bleacherreport.com/articles/1649603-comparing-lebron-james-playoff-buzzer-beating-shots-to-michael-jordans-best
Not a fan of this. First, the criteria are so narrow that there's no decent sample. Second, it's a very restricted look. And this kind of thing: "In fact, Jordan was the only player who attempted at least 13 shots and managed to even hit on 42 percent or more of them." should send up screaming red flags that the thing is bullshit. And then let's take a moment to admire this one: "Per
ESPN.com, since LeBron entered the league in 2003, he has hit on the highest number of clutch field goals in the NBA. Thus far, he is 7-of-16 on those shots, good for a 43.8 percent clip, significantly lower than Jordan's [50%]."
Hughes was one of my favorites getting into the sport but yeah everything I've heard of him makes him out to be an asshole and a bully. I think it was Sean McCorkle who went through his autobiography and summarized it in a thread on here and he basically brags about being a massive cunt. Hates attention from fans(says he regrets giving one guy a photo), shit on other fighters(trashed Chuck for giving attention to fans, shit on Tim Sylvia and Lesnar), treated his wife like trash(took her out to a shitty diner for their "honeymoon", boned her right her after her boob job when she was still on the effects of the sedatives and reopened her scars). If you wrote a character that shitty people wouldn't believe it.
Something I personally witnessed at UFC 201: Early in the show, a guy asks Hughes for an autograph or photo. He's like, "I'm busy, but I'll get you back later." At the time, the area was pretty much empty, and I was thinking, "that guy's never going to see Hughes again." Seems like I'm right as the crowd fills up, and guys aren't just walking around anymore. But, sure enough, he comes back, politely pushes through people, like he has something to do. Gets to the guy and signs and autograph and takes a picture with him. Not a big deal, but a nice thing he did that goes against his reputation.