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UFN 92 - Caceres vs Rodriguez - Utah

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I kinda like the under 1.5 on the Rony Jason / Dennis B. fight. Jason is a 1st round fighter that comes out swinging. I think Rony can get the win in round 1 or leave himself open to get finished early.

I am a bit concerned because Dennis isn't massively agressive and may just cruise a bit. I still like the under just looking at Jason's record and how many of the fights end in r1.
 
http://www.bloodyelbow.com/2016/8/3...boxing-commissions-amends-mma-s-unified-rules

No more open hand fingers pointing towards opponents face or 1-2 fingers on the floor to prevent knee to face, some changes to grappling and striking, not 100% but it sounds like they are favouring damage or more fight ending strike/s over accumulation of shots, so maybe 4-5 big power punches over 30 jabs to the face.

Wrestling and grappling again looking for more damage done with the take down and with dominating positions and sub attempts, but more damage done counts more, even if its the guy on the bottom it sounds like.

Could explain the roy nelson/bb and more recent fights outcomes lately, but may change judges decisions.

I could be wrong on the above so what's the opinion from others ?
 
http://www.bloodyelbow.com/2016/8/3...boxing-commissions-amends-mma-s-unified-rules

No more open hand fingers pointing towards opponents face or 1-2 fingers on the floor to prevent knee to face, some changes to grappling and striking, not 100% but it sounds like they are favouring damage or more fight ending strike/s over accumulation of shots, so maybe 4-5 big power punches over 30 jabs to the face.

Wrestling and grappling again looking for more damage done with the take down and with dominating positions and sub attempts, but more damage done counts more, even if its the guy on the bottom it sounds like.

Could explain the roy nelson/bb and more recent fights outcomes lately, but may change judges decisions.

I could be wrong on the above so what's the opinion from others ?
Rob Hinds - "If effective striking and grappling are 100% equal, then we move to effective aggressiveness. If that's 100% equal, then we move to cage control."

This criterion will be the deciding factor in a high majority of decisions when scoring a round. The next two criteria must be treated as a backup plan and used ONLY when Effective Striking/Grappling is 100% equal for the round.

That is very good to know
 
Ponz down to -150.. and I'm hitting it
 
kawajiri-swanson is yet another "fight pass feature fight" in which live betting absence is going to hurt (with crusher winning rd 1 and then gassing)

it's getting old. fast.

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I kinda like the under 1.5 on the Rony Jason / Dennis B. fight. Jason is a 1st round fighter that comes out swinging. I think Rony can get the win in round 1 or leave himself open to get finished early.

I am a bit concerned because Dennis isn't massively agressive and may just cruise a bit. I still like the under just looking at Jason's record and how many of the fights end in r1.

Agreed Jason's best shot is r1 but more often than not you are relying on him landing a low percentage finisher such as a flying knee. Bermudez will be able to bully Jason he bullied the ultimate leach in Kawajiri. Bermudez will use his boxing to clinch up and take Jason down against the fence thus making him ineffective from his back. This will wear the hell out of him and by r2 and r3 Bermudez should have his way with a gassed Jason. At least thats what his gameplan should be imo.

I dont agree with him not being aggressive. Watch his fights with Stephens and Kawajiri. Bermudez fights aggressive.
 
Ponz down to -150.. and I'm hitting it

Also hit it now, and a maxbet of 5u. The second maxbet for me this year, and really only see Ponz loosing here if Cummins continually can keep him down. Even though Cummins has decent boxing as well, Ponz is miles ahead in striking IMO. He should more often than not atleast win 1st round, and pretty much win the fight everytime it stays standing. I would give Ponz 75-80%, so with how the odds are now I have to max it. Ponz is hitting his prime as a UFC fighter, and feels pretty comfortable in there. Cummins has too push the pace to make ponz uncomfortable, but even if he does that, Ponz only need a counter or two to switch it up. Ryan Jimmo is the only fighter Cummins has fought that is closer too Ponz striking wise, but still not the same as Ponz.
 
Ahhhh I wanna join you guys but something tells me Ponz's price will get even better. Tough decision
 
Ehh Camozzi is unplayable now and this card sucks ass. Complete pass for me

Agreed. Maybe a 2-leg but that's it. Cya at 202.

i don't agree at all. i like SEVERAL spots already. and who knows where lines will move.

i have solid bets in place on ponz, novelli, o2.5 in camozzi and mcgee fights, and a good sized bet on camozzi before the line kept dropping (which i was confident it would)

i'm liking this card quite a bit.
 
I'm actually liking the under in the Moroz/Taylor fight. Taylor has some legit chin-clipping ability by WMMA standards, and Moroz has extremely dangerous subs.
 
i don't agree at all. i like SEVERAL spots already. and who knows where lines will move.

i have solid bets in place on ponz, novelli, o2.5 in camozzi and mcgee fights, and a good sized bet on camozzi before the line kept dropping (which i was confident it would)

i'm liking this card quite a bit.

The lines are pretty strong this card imo, just like last week. Surprised they got it so right with Ishihara... was hoping for close to evens there.

I favor Ponz, and I don't expect him to get taken down, but Cummings makes huge improvements with his technical boxing every fight, so not overly enthusiastic about his line.

I'm actually on the other side of the Novelli fight, though not big. His striking is pretty generic muay thai, Teymur will have the better hands. I don't see the huge edge you do in the grappling. Novelli has the edge in takedown defense, but I doubt his offense will be effective.
 
Does anyone like Teymur at this price?
 
Yeah I am either going to take Teymur or not bet it. Leaning toward just a small bet for action.
Yeah as much as I do like Teymur here, not worth any sizeable wager. Dude still has a lot to prove, is a raw prospect, and still have bad memories of Polish Zombie beating him on TUF
 
Yeah as much as I do like Teymur here, not worth any sizeable wager. Dude still has a lot to prove, is a raw prospect, and still have bad memories of Polish Zombie beating him on TUF
JB who is that in your avatar? ive been wanting to ask lol
 
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